The Next Mumbai-Style Terrorist Attack

A nearly 8-month long travel warning for Americans in Europe will expire on Saturday and not be renewed, the Associated Press reports.

In October, the State Department advised Americans to be wary of a Mumbai-style attack on a European city.

The threat expires–who knows what that means–on Saturday, one day after the Royal Wedding will draw millions to London.

-Aol Travel, April 28, 2011

“Who knows what that means.” Perhaps that means if a terrorist attack similar to what took place in Mumbai, India, on November 26, 2008, were to occur in a European city, it would most likely take place by tomorrow.

Think the U.S. Department of State and our intelligence agencies might be anticipating a “Royal Surprise” for Friday?

It wouldn’t be too much of a stretch to expect a Mumbai-style terrorist attack on London tomorrow. After all, the United Kingdom is an American partner in the “war on terror,” the eyes of the world will be trained on the English capital, the bad guys/girls would have had plenty of time to plan for an attack, and that part of Europe has more than its share of Muslim extremists who might be willing to participate in a terrorist strike. From ABC News’ Megan Chuchmach on April 25:

As the Royal Wedding nears and the eyes of the world turn to London this week, a radical Muslim cleric in Britain who plans to protest outside the ceremony tells ABC News the celebrations are a “prime target” for Al Qaeda franchises and wannabe jihadis alike.

Top Al Qaeda operatives Ayman al-Zawahiri and Anwar al-Awlaki are “actively encouraging people to carry out [do-it-yourself] operations]” similar to the attempted attack by alleged ‘Underwear Bomber’ Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab on a Christmas Day flight from Amsterdam to Detroit in 2009, says Anjem Choudary in an interview on the current episode of “Brian Ross Investigates.”

“There’s nothing really which is outside of the realm of a possible attack, from biological to nuclear to very high profile events like 9/11,” said Choudary, whose extremist Islam4UK organization was recently banned by the British government under counter-terrorism laws. “So I think it’s a case of all-out war.”

He said there is a “very real possibility” that attackers “will come into [Britain] via the sea or via ports where they can slip under the security.”

While the British have that very-plausible threat to contend with, should we as Americans be concerned with a Mumbai-style terrorist attack happening on our shores? Definitely, according to chatter picked up by Massad Ayoob, a captain with the Grantham (New Hampshire) Police Department and an internationally-known firearms and self-defense instructor. He wrote yesterday in his blog Massad Ayoob on Guns on the Backwoods Home Magazine website that:

The general consensus of police, military, and national intelligence is that it’s only a matter of time before this nation experiences an incident reminiscent of Beslan or Mumbai: armed, trained, committed terrorists massacring the innocent with automatic weapons and explosive.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

The head of the Massad Ayoob Group (MAG) also talked about the Mumbai attack last summer. He wrote in his blog on June 13, 2010:

There have been indications that America’s enemies intend multiple terrorist attacks in this country, patterned after the 11/26-29/07 incident in Mumbai, India that left 168 civilians and authorities dead, and 308 wounded. It was perpetrated by ten members of Pakistan’s Lashkar-e-Taiba group, armed with explosives and automatic rifles. Only one of the terrorists survived.

Note that some of the responding police in India were unarmed, and some others were equipped with hastily-issued WWI technology Lee-Enfield bolt action rifles, and cartridges issued by the handful. They were poorly trained by American standards. By contrast, American police have gone heavily to coordinated “active shooter response” training since the Columbine tragedy more than a decade ago, and AR15-type patrol rifles are widely distributed. US law enforcement can be expected to respond much more swiftly and effectively to a Mumbai-style incident.

In India, the citizens were effectively unarmed and helpless against the ten terrorists who slaughtered them at will. Armed Americans are likely to respond differently, particularly in the Southwest where there are indications that such potential terrorists have already crossed the border, and may “stage” near it. In Southern Arizona recently, it became apparent to me that more ranchers and even townsfolk are now storing rifles in their cars, and carrying handguns routinely. They can be expected to shoot back, an assessment that comes not from this writer’s guesswork, but from history…

An American Mumbai? Yes, it could happen, and seems more likely than ever based on recent intelligence projections. If it does occur, look for a MUCH faster and more decisive response by American police than those of India…and if it happens near the Arizona or Texas border, look for bullets from armed citizens’ hunting and defense rifles in the bodies of at least some of the dead terrorists.

If an American Mumbai occurs, I’m guessing it will go down in a high-profile, internationally-known city whose residents/workers are likely to be unarmed and incapable of defending themselves against rampaging terrorists with automatic weapons- like my hometown of Chicago.

Still, it doesn’t hurt for Americans outside of the “Windy City” to prepare for such an event. Consider what Gabe Suarez, a decorated veteran of Southern California law enforcement and president of the personal safety training outfit Suarez International, wrote in his blog Warrior Talk News on May 6, 2010:

Put yourself in the enemy’s shoes….err, sandals…..which option would YOU pick? Which offers the easiest implementation, least chance for detection, greatest chance for success – bombs or bullets?

The mass shooting and not the improvised and unsuccessful bomb is the “easy button”, and that fact cannot be ignored by us as it will not be overlooked by the enemy.

So what do we do?

1). We must identify who the enemy is. Please go back and peruse the list of events above, both failed and successful. What is the common thread connecting the attackers?

2). Carry your gun everywhere…..a REAL fighting gun….not some sissy “suitable for CCW” 5 shot “self defense gun”. The times are not such that concern over a mugger is the issue anymore. Carry extra ammo with you. It is not difficult at all to carry a full sized pistol with a couple of extra magazines. I have done so since 1983.

These are not the times to be seeking political correctness over public safety. It is not the time to fear false labels created and assigned by the mass media. The Israelis learned that lesson long ago. After all is said and done, it is better to be a live “intolerant racist” (as the MSM would call us) than a dead “co-existing”, tolerant “paragon of political correctness”. I suspect that had Shahzad’s bomb been successful, lots of tolerant, “co-exist” types would have died right alongside us “intolerant racists”. The times call for careful profiling and suspicious curiosity as well as daily preparation.

Dress everyday as if you had a business meeting in Mumbai on 26 November 2008 with a bunch of Jews, Christians, and atheist Americans at a cafe right across the street from the Jihad School Of Terrorism.

Be ready or be a victim.

“Be ready or be a victim.” Great words to live by.

Sources:

Chuchmach, Megan. “Royal Wedding Attractive Target for Al Qaeda, Says Radical U.K. Cleric.” ABC News. 25 Apr. 2011. (http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/anjem-choudary-royal-wedding-attractive-target-al-qaeda/story?id=13451893). 28 Apr. 2011.

Ayoob, Massad. “Sobering Knowledge From Cops.” Massad Ayoob on Guns. 27 Apr. 2011. (http://backwoodshome.com/blogs/MassadAyoob/2011/04/27/sobering-knowledge-from-cops/). 28 Apr. 2011.

Ayoob, Massad. “An American Mumbai?” Massad Ayoob on Guns. 13 June 2010. (http://backwoodshome.com/blogs/MassadAyoob/2010/06/13/an-american-mumbai/). 28 Apr. 2011.

Suarez, Gabriel. “The Coming Jihad… in America.” Warrior Talk News. 6 May. 2010. (http://www.warriortalknews.com/2010/05/the-coming-jihadin-the-usa-.html). 28 Apr. 2011.

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