Jim Rogers Talks About Potential Investment Opportunities In Commodities, His Portfolio

I don’t like to buy things that are moving up. I like to buy things that are moving down… I don’t want to buy anything for a 5 to 10 percent move- that’s not the way I invest. Now, there are many short-term traders who make brilliant amounts of money as short-term traders and a 5 or 10 percent move up is great for them. It’s not my way of investing. I like to find things that are going to go up for many years and go up many many percentages.

-Investor Jim Rogers, on CNBC Awaaz (India) in early September

Legendary investor Jim Rogers recently appeared on the Indian financial news channel CNBC Awaaz. On their Market Leaders show, Rogers talked primarily about commodities, potential investment opportunities in hard assets, and what his portfolio looks like these days.

When asked if the commodities bully market is over, the Singapore-based investor who correctly predicted its beginning back in 1999 told viewers:

Oh no no no, not at all. It will be over eventually. It will be over someday. All bull markets have come to an end. But Gorica (spelling?), it will not come to an end until a lot of supply comes on-stream.

On the topic of supply, Rogers said:

I don’t expect world economic conditions to get better anytime soon. I would suspect that 2013 and 2014 will see worse economic conditions after the American election is over, and after the German election is over. I think you’ll see worse conditions. Which means, of course, that there’s not much supply. Now Gorica, if the world economy gets better, then obviously they are going to be shortages of commodities because we don’t have much supply. But, let’s assume I’m right, and the world economy doesn’t get better, then you’re going to have most governments printing a lot of money- that’s not good for the world. But unfortunately, that’s what politicians do. And when people debase currencies, when they print money, the way to protect yourself is to own real assets.

The creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI) back in 1998 said there were potential investment opportunities in agriculture, precious metals, and crude oil. On agriculture, Rogers said:

If I were an investor looking to invest in commodities, I would start by looking at the things that are most depressed…

Sugar, for instance, is 65 or 70 percent below it’s all-time high… You know, sugar is down 65 to 70 percent from where it was 38 years ago Gorica. That’s astonishing…

Cotton had a big run-up two or three years ago. Made all-time highs. It has come down sharply since then because people planted more cotton. But I would be optimistic about cotton because the prices are down dramatically from where they were. They still are not high enough to bring in lots of new production yet. The world economy has not collapsed yet. China is a net importer of cotton. So, I would be looking favorably at cotton. If someone were looking for a potential place for new investments in agriculture, I would suggest cotton as a place to start looking, because the prices are down from historic highs.

Regarding precious metals, the Chairman of Rogers Holdings repeated a lot of what he’s been saying lately about gold. Rogers said:

I own gold. I am not selling gold. Whenever gold goes down, I buy more. If it goes down a lot, I hope I’m smart enough to buy a lot more, because the price is going to go up much higher over the next decade. Gorica, politicians around the world are printing a lot of money. That’s the wrong thing to do but that’s what they’re doing. And whenever they print money, the way to protect yourself is to own gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Any precious item will protect you in periods like that.

The former investing partner of George Soros likes the prospects of silver more than gold. Rogers explained:

Well, of the two, if I had to buy one today, Gorica, I would buy silver… Silver is about 40 percent below its all-time high. Gold is about 10 or 15 percent below its all-time high. I usually prefer the things that are cheaper. I’m not buying either today, but if I were buying one today, Gorica, I would buy silver on a valuation basis. I own them both. I’m keen on both. Both will go much higher over the next decade. Silver, at the moment, happens to be the cheaper of the two.

The commodities guru sees crude oil going over $150 a barrel in the coming decade. Rogers told viewers:

If America goes to war with Iran, crude’s going to go to $200. If Spain goes bankrupt next month, or somebody, some big surprise occurs in the market, then crude could go to $80 or $70. Who knows where it would go with some sort of sudden bankruptcy. It depends on world conditions. When crude goes down, I buy more. If it goes up, I sit and watch, because I do know that crude is going to go over $150, over $200 a barrel- U.S. dollars a barrel- over the course of the decade…

But I own it, and I don’t plan to sell it for a long time to come.

Talking about his investment portfolio, Jim Rogers revealed:

I mainly am long commodities and long currencies. And I’m short stocks in my portfolio…

I happen to be very bullish on commodities. I think I know what I’m doing. I think that the big shortages are developing, as I said. Whether the economy gets better or doesn’t get better, I want to have my money in commodities.

Great interview.


“Market Leaders: Jim Rogers”
YouTube Video

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

2 Comments to Jim Rogers Talks About Potential Investment Opportunities In Commodities, His Portfolio

  1. “Oil Little Changed as Jobless Claims Curb Gasoline Rally”

    – Oil was little changed as gasoline and heating oil futures climbed while more Americans than

    forecast applied for unemployment benefits.

    – Oil for October delivery settled at $91.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the fourth

    consecutive decline.

    – Total gasoline inventories fell 1.41 million barrels to 196.3 million, the eighth consecutive

    decline and also the lowest level since October 2008.

    Regard
    Time Leverage Capital

  2. Time Leverage Capital News on September 22nd, 2012
  3. -Arabica coffee futures dropped to a one-month low on Tuesday as the risk premium continued to be taken out of the market due to crop flowering in top grower Brazil, while cocoa climbed on profit-taking by dealers holding short positions.

    – Raw sugar continued to consolidate after flirting with a two-month high, supported by industry data showing a slowdown in Brazil’s harvest caused by wet weather in the second half of September.

    – Heavy rainfall and poor sunshine across Nigeria’s main cocoa regions in recent months will delay harvesting the new season’s crop by at least a month, farmers and analysts saig, with dealers noting this as a possible source of support in the market.

    For more details: futures facts

  4. Futures Facts on October 17th, 2012

Leave a comment

Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

This Project Dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



Please Rate this Blog HERE

happyToSurvive

NEW! Advertising Disclosure HERE
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins BGASC Reviewed HERE. Silver Bars & Coins On Sale! 1 Oz., 10 Oz., 100 Oz., 1 Kilo, Monster Boxes Of 1 Oz. Bars/Coins (500 Ct.)
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault BullionVault.com Reviewed HERE
ANY CHARACTER HERE
MyPatriotSupply.com Reviewed HERE
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Nitro-Pak--The Emergency Preparedness Leader Nitro-Pak Reviewed HERE. Presidents' Day Sale! Save Up To 41% Off Wise Emergency Foods
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Food Insurance Reviewed HERE. Valentine's Day Promo! Buy 1, Get 1 Bug-Out Bag Specials; Buy Select 4-Can Case, Get Free Upgrade To 6-Can Case; Freeze-Dried Food Sampler Pack Now Only $35
<link>Free Pistol Case w/ Bag Purchase @Cheif</link> CHIEF Supply Reviewed HERE. President's Day Sale! 25% Off Entire Order w/ 3 Or More Items Thru 2/15 (Code Needed); 25% Off Propper Jackets (Code Needed) Thru 2/29; Fieldtex Products 20% Off Thru 2/29; Tru-Spec Tactical 9 Side-Zip Boots Only $55.96
ANY CHARACTER HERE
bullet proof vests BulletSafe Reviewed HERE
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Not all airguns preform the same in colder weather. Click to learn more. PyramydAir.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Airsoft Megastore Reviewed HERE. 20% Off Any Purchase Over $100 (Code Needed)
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% Paladin Press Reviewed HERE
 

Categories

Archives

Prepper Website

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • Related Reading: Additional Glasgow Vaults Launch Coverage From The Evening Times
    Another Scottish newspaper has written about the launch of new safe deposit box facility Glasgow Vaults in Scotland’s largest city. Catriona Stewart reported on the Evening Times website Tuesday: SCOTLAND’S first independent safe deposit box service has opened in Glasgow – with owners saying a Hatton Gardens-style heist would be impossible. Opened with a £1 […]
  • Related Reading: Vault Security Article By Metropolitan Safe Deposits Of London
    I really haven’t mentioned London, England-based Metropolitan Safe Deposits much on Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes except in conjunction with talk about “Operation Rize.” However, I recently discovered an insightful article on the website of this major player in the U.K. private vault industry. Chief executive Christopher Barrow published “Security is a process, not a product” […]
  • Related Reading: Glasgow Vaults Launch Covered By The Scotsman
    Back on January 20, I alerted blog readers about the opening of a new private vault- Glasgow Vaults- in Scotland’s largest city. Monday morning, I saw an article about the new non-bank safe deposit box facility on The Scotsman (UK) website. Scott Reid reported: What is being billed as “Scotland’s first independent safe deposit box […]
  • Latest Offshore Safe Deposit Box Promotions
    Here are the latest limited-time specials from offshore safe deposit box facilities listed on this blog’s sister site (link included to web page where each promo is displayed): Asia Malaysia mySAFEBOX (Seri Kembangan, Selangor)- “From Jan 11 to Feb 29. Give & Get RM 300 Cash Rebate.” (1/27/16 Facebook post) Titanium Safe Deposit Box (Kota […]
  • Safe Deposit Federation Launched As ‘Self-Regulating Federation Of Independent Safe Deposit Box Companies’
    Since last spring, I’ve been aware of efforts to construct an international trade association for private, non-bank safe deposit box facilities. As recent as last week I discussed the subject. In a January 26, 2016, follow-up post on that series about the 1980s U.S. private vault boom, I blogged: Something else I came across I […]