Sheila Bair, Stephen Roach See Financial Crash Coming

Two notable U.S. economists- one an original “crash prophet”- are warning of a coming financial crash.

Join the club.

It’s been a while since I blogged about Yale economist Stephen Roach. From a February 27 post:

One of the handful of people to see the recent global financial crisis coming was Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley’s chairman for Asia and chief economist, who just announced his retirement from the firm earlier this month. Roach said something very memorable back in 2004. Brett Arends wrote in the Boston Herald’s “On State Street” column on November 23, 2004:

Stephen Roach, the chief economist at investment banking giant Morgan Stanley, has a public reputation for being bearish.

But you should hear what he’s saying in private.

Roach met select groups of fund managers downtown last week, including a group at Fidelity.

His prediction: America has no better than a 10 percent chance of avoiding economic “armageddon.”’

Press were not allowed into the meetings. But the Herald has obtained a copy of Roach’s presentation. A stunned source who was at one meeting said, “it struck me how extreme he was – much more, it seemed to me, than in public.”

Roach sees a 30 percent chance of a slump soon and a 60 percent chance that “we’ll muddle through for a while and delay the eventual armageddon.”

The chance we’ll get through OK: one in 10. Maybe…

Last Friday, Roach was speaking at a conference on global risks sponsored by the Rand Corporation and Thomson Reuters in Santa Monica, California. Also attending was Sheila Bair, the former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Tim Reid wrote on Reuters website November 16:

Two leading U.S. economists expressed deep pessimism on Friday that politicians in Washington will be able to strike a deal to rein in America’s soaring national debt.

Sheila Bair, the former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and Stephen Roach, a veteran economist at Yale University’s School of Management, also said the Federal Reserve was creating another catastrophic financial bubble with attempts to stimulate the economy through its policy known as quantitative easing

Bair, who stepped down as head of the FDIC in July 2011, said the Federal Reserve’s policy of pumping money into the economy, combined with an unprecedented period of historically low interest rates, was creating “the mother of all bond bubbles.”

Bair said she believed the United States was heading for a financial crash on the scale seen when the housing market collapsed six years ago, but this time because of investors who were looking for higher and riskier returns in other asset classes.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

I don’t recall Ms. Bair being so vocal about such things when she was FDIC Chairman. Now she can speak her mind as she’s no longer in that position, right?

Reid added:

Roach called the Federal Reserve policy of low interest rates and quantitative easing a “ticking time bomb that keeps on ticking.”

Both economists think the so-called “fiscal cliff” will be avoided by Congress electing to punt on fiscal responsibility.

As do I. Which will only make the coming pain even worse as the nation’s debt keeps piling up.

Source:

Reid, Tim. “U.S. heading for another crash, debt crisis looms: top economists.” Reuters. 16 Nov. 2012. (http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/16/us-usa-debt-rand-idUSBRE8AF1EF20121116). 16 Nov. 2012.

Share

Tags: , , , , ,

Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

PLEASE RATE this blog HERE,
and PLEASE VOTE for the blog below:



Thank you very, very much!
Advertising Disclosure here. Ad captions last reviewed/updated 3/7/17.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Freeze Dried Food FREE GIFT WITH PURCHASE; Free Shipping (domestic orders). Review coming soon.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Family-Owned & Operated in Chicago Suburbs! SAVE 10% OFF ALL ITEMS (promo code- home page); Free Shipping (U.S. orders) & Returns. Review coming soon.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins U.S. GOLD (BULLION) COIN/BAR SALE!; 90% Silver U.S. Dimes & Quarters Sale; Secondary Market Silver Sale (1 oz. coins, 10 oz., & 100 oz. bars); World Gold Bullion Coins/Bars also on sale; Free Shipping on U.S. orders $99 and up (only $5.95 below $99!). BGASC reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault World's Largest Online Investment Gold Service taking care of $2 billion for over 65,000 users from 175 countries. BullionVault.com reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
FLASH SALE! 2-WEEK EMERGENCY FOOD SUPPLY $67; SAVE 15% OFF ALL CASE PACKS; Big Savings on "Deal Of The Day" page; Free Shipping on orders over $79. MyPatriotSupply.com reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
bullet proof vestsWorld's First Bulletproof Baseball Cap only $129; Bulletproof Ceramic Plate (NIJ Level III Stand-Alone) only $169; Bulletproof Backpack/Messenger Bag Panel only $99. BulletSafe reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% SAVE 35% ON SELF-DEFENSE, COMBATIVES TITLES (promo code- home page); Discontinued Title Sale- Savings up to 75% Off Original Price. Paladin Press reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
This project dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



happyToSurvive

Categories

 

Archives

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • Next Degussa Numis Day To Take Place March 30, 31
    Rare numismatic coins often find their way into safe deposit boxes. And Degussa, a leading international player in the precious metals world which also offers safe deposit boxes (for customers) at branches in Germany, Singapore, Spain, and Switzerland, has posted information about the next Numis Day (first blogged about here) at their Geneva and Zurich […]
  • Related Reading: Switzerland, Canada, United Kingdom Top U.S. News & World Report’s 2017 ‘Best Countries’ Rankings
    Here’s an annual survey one might consider when selecting an offshore safe deposit box location. U.S. News & World Report just released its “Best Countries” rankings for 2017. Kevin Drew reported Tuesday morning on the American media company’s website: Switzerland is viewed as the No. 1 overall country, according to a survey of more than […]
  • Related Reading: London’s Sharps Pixley Spotlighted By The Spectator Magazine
    Monday evening I read an interesting article about London, England-based precious metals showroom/safe deposit box service Sharps Pixley (first blogged about here). Margareta Pagano wrote on the website of The Spectator (UK) this past weekend: When the going gets tough, the tough go shopping. And when the going is seriously tough- as it may be […]
  • Economist Martin Armstrong Warns Of Storing Assets In U.S. Bank Safe Deposit Boxes
    We’re back after a short break. And to jump start the continued discussion about asset protection outside the United States, I’d like to point out a February 25 blog post by economist Martin Armstrong on his company’s website. Regular readers of Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes know that Armstrong brings up bank safe deposit boxes from […]
  • Related Reading: Harrods Safe Deposit Article On The Huffington Post Website
    While putting together the list of offshore private vaults offering safe deposit boxes/lockers for this blog’s sister site, I learned that two of the best-known department stores in the world- Harrods and Selfridges in London, England- provided this service. Yesterday, The Huffington Post website published a piece about Harrods Safe Deposit, which opened in 1896 […]