NOAA Updates 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast: ‘Shaping Up To Be Above Normal’ And Possibly ‘Very Active’

Earlier this week, I blogged about meteorologists from The Weather Channel and AccuWeather warning the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season might be on the verge of picking up steam.

Yesterday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) followed suit.

From their website:

NOAA issued its updated Atlantic hurricane season outlook today saying the season is shaping up to be above normal with the possibility that it could be very active. The season has already produced four named storms, with the peak of the season – mid-August through October – yet to come.

“Our confidence for an above-normal season is still high because the predicted atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are favorable for storm development have materialized,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. “Also, two of the four named storms to-date formed in the deep tropical Atlantic, which historically is an indicator of an active season.”

The conditions in place now are similar to those that have produced many active Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995, and include above-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures and a stronger rainy season in West Africa, which produces wind patterns that help turn storm systems there into tropical storms and hurricanes.

The updated outlook calls for a 70 percent chance of an above-normal season. Across the Atlantic Basin for the entire season – June 1 to November 30 – NOAA’s updated seasonal outlook (which includes the activity to date of tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dorian) projects a 70 percent chance for each of the following ranges:

• 13 to 19 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including

• 6 to 9 hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which
• 3 to 5 could be major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)

These ranges are above the 30-year seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

Although the potential exists for an active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA has now downgraded its forecast for “extreme levels of activity.” From the piece:

The updated outlook is similar to the pre-season outlook issued in May, but with a reduced expectation for extreme levels of activity. Motivating this change is a decreased likelihood that La Niña will develop and bring its reduced wind shear that further strengthens the hurricane season. Other factors are the lack of hurricanes through July, more variability in the wind patterns across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and slightly lower hurricane season model predictions. In May, the outlook called for 13-20 named storms, 7-11 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes.

“The peak of the hurricane season is almost upon us and it’s important to remain prepared for hurricanes through November,” said Joe Nimmich, FEMA Associate Administrator for Response and Recovery. “Make sure to review your family emergency plan, check that your emergency kit is stocked and consider insurance options. Learn more about how you can prepare for hurricanes at www.ready.gov/hurricanes.”

You can read the entire updated 20113 Atlantic hurricane season outlook on the NOAA website here.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Share

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

PLEASE RATE this blog HERE,
and PLEASE VOTE for the blog below:



Thank you very, very much!
Advertising Disclosure here. Ad captions last reviewed/updated 2/18/17.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Family-Owned & Operated in Chicago Suburbs! Save 10% Off all items (promo code- home page); Free Shipping (U.S. orders) & Returns. Review coming soon.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins 90% JUNK SILVER SALE; Secondary Market Silver Sale (1 oz. coins, 1 oz. & 100 oz. bars; Huge Silver Bar Sale (10 oz. individual & monster boxes)! World Gold (Bullion) Coins/Bars also on sale; Free Shipping on U.S. orders $99 and up (only $5.95 below $99!). BGASC reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault World's Largest Online Investment Gold Service taking care of $2 billion for over 65,000 users from 175 countries. BullionVault.com reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Presidents' Day Sale! 1-Week Emergency Food Supply $17.76 (thru 2/21); Save 20% off All #10 Cans; Big Savings on "Deal Of The Day" page; Free Shipping on orders over $79. MyPatriotSupply.com reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
bullet proof vestsWorld's First Bulletproof Baseball Cap only $129; Bulletproof Ceramic Plate (NIJ Level III Stand-Alone) only $169; Bulletproof Backpack/Messenger Bag Panel only $99. BulletSafe reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% Save 35% on All Martial Arts Titles (promo code- home page); Discontinued Title Sale- Savings up to 75% Off Original Price. Paladin Press reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
This project dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



happyToSurvive

Categories

 

Archives

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • Thoughts On Safe Deposit Box Article By The Straits Times
    Yesterday I came across an article on The Straits Times (Singapore) website entitled “Time to part ways with safe deposit boxes.” Business editor Lee Su Shyan wrote Sunday: Growing up, having a safe deposit box symbolised financial adulthood, even more than scoring that exclusive credit card. But that’s not a view shared by many nowadays. […]
  • Next Degussa Numis Day To Take Place February 23, 24
    Speaking of numismatics this morning, Degussa, a leading international player in the precious metals world which also offers safe deposit boxes (for customers) at branches in Germany, Singapore, Spain, and Switzerland, has posted information about the next Numis Day (first blogged about here) at their Geneva and Zurich showrooms. From their website: The Next Numis […]
  • Related Reading: Precious Metals, Collectible Coins Have Shined In The New Millenium
    Just recently, I brought up a MarketWatch piece that focused on rare coins as investments. Collectible coins are often placed in safe deposit boxes for safekeeping. Today, I want to point out a February 2 article on the website of Numismatic News that analyzed the performance of precious metals against U.S. stocks from the end […]
  • Latest Offshore Safe Deposit Box Promotions
    Here are the latest limited-time specials from offshore safe deposit box facilities listed on this blog’s sister site (link included to web page where each promotion is displayed): Asia Titanium Safe Deposit Box (Kota Kinabalu, Sandakan, and Tawau in Sabah, Malaysia)- “Senior citizens 60 years old and above enjoy 25% off safe deposit box rental.” […]
  • List Of Offshore Private Vaults Updated
    Updates have recently been performed on the list of private, non-bank vaults outside the United States (offering safe deposit boxes/lockers at a minimum) located on this blog’s sister site- Offshore Private Vaults. Safe deposit facilities now open for business have been added under the following countries: -Germany (pro aurum, Bad Homburg) -Hong Kong (UltraVault by […]