Goldman Sachs: About 20 Years’ Worth Of Known Mineable Gold Left

Leading global investment banking, securities, and investment management firm Goldman Sachs has put the spotlight back on gold and other prized commodities. Myra P. Saefong reported on the MarketWatch website this morning:

In another two decades, rare commodities may become seriously scarce.

According to Goldman Sachs, the world has about 20 years’ worth each of known minable reserves of gold, diamonds and zinc. Platinum, copper, nickel reserves only have about 40 years or less left.

“The combination of very low concentrations of metals in the Earth’s crust, and very few high-quality deposits, means some things are truly scarce,” Eugene King, European metals and mining analyst at Goldman Sachs, wrote in a recent research note…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Could “peak gold” really have arrived? Regular observers of the precious metal shouldn’t be surprised to hear of its mention. Lawrence Williams reported on Mineweb.com (web-based international mining publication focusing on mining financial and corporate news and comment) back on March 25, 2013:

A new study from research and data provider IntierraRMG has pointed to a disturbing trend in terms of a decline in new global discoveries and in particular in gold grades. According to a study which covers announced gold deposit finds over the past 10 years, this decline has been accelerating over the past four years and if the trend continues, which seems likely as the easier-to-find deposits have perhaps mostly already been discovered, then the future of global mined gold supplies will gradually become affected. Indeed global production of mined gold has been plateauing and although running at or around its historic high levels, as the amount of new gold being found diminishes, then global production levels may not be sustainable beyond the next few years unless there is a dramatic turnaround in discoveries

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Last fall, the chief executive of the world’s biggest gold miner (by market capitalization) was warning of “peak gold.” Alistair MacDonald reported on The Wall Street Journal website on September 8, 2014:

Miners have reached “peak gold,” in which production of the precious metal has hit its high as easy-to-mine gold deposits become harder to find, said Chuck Jeannes, chief executive of Goldcorp, the world’s largest gold miner by market capitalization.

Mr. Jeannes said in an interview that a falloff in supply will support the gold price, but make mining it even harder and lead to further consolidation in the industry…

“Whether it is this year or next year, I don’t think we will ever see the gold production reach these levels again,” he said. “There are just not that many new mines being found and developed.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

If “peak gold” is truly taking place here, there’s a good chance investors are going to pay more attention to the shiny yellow metal going forward.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Sources:

Saefong, Myra P. “In 20 years, the world may run out of minable gold.” MarketWatch. 31 Mar. 2015. (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/in-20-years-the-world-may-run-out-of-minable-gold-2015-03-30). 31 Mar. 2015.

Williams, Lawrence. “New gold discoveries declining at accelerating rate – IntierraRMG.” Mineweb. 25 Mar. 2013. (http://www.mineweb.com/archive/new-gold-discoveries-declining-at-accelerating-rate-intierrarmg/). 31 Mar. 2015.

MacDonald, Alistair. “Goldcorp CEO Jeannes Sees “Peak Gold” in Sector This Year or Next.” The Wall Street Journal. 8 Sep. 2014. (http://www.wsj.com/articles/goldcorp-ceo-jeannes-sees-peak-gold-in-sector-this-year-or-next-1410188689). 31 Mar. 2015.

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