Jim Rogers: ‘There Will Be A Lot Of Turmoil In The Financial Markets Next Year’

Zunaira Saieed of The Star (Malaysia) recently interviewed well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers. The former investing partner of George Soros was asked about the impact of economic/financial turmoil on countries belonging to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), and the exchange included the following. From the paper’s website last Saturday:

Q: What is the outlook of the financial markets next year?

A: The troubles in the financial markets have started. There will be a lot of turmoil in the financial markets next year, eventually leading to some sort of crisis, perhaps even a full blown crisis.

Some emerging-market currencies are already having problems this year, and this is spreading to bigger things since this is the first time in history that all the major central banks are printing huge amounts of money.

My main concern is that the US Federal Reserve doesn’t know what it’s doing. It does not know what it is going to do next as interest rates are going to go higher so it has to start withdrawing huge artificial oceans of liquidity. When that takes place, 2016 and 2017 are not going to be fun years because these guys have made mistakes and they have to correct it…

The Singapore-based investor did offer up some potential investment opportunities to readers. From the piece:

What sectors should investors look to in light of the US rate hike and China’s slower growth?

You should invest in only what you know about. However, I have put some of my money in places that are depressed like Japan, Russia and agricultural commodities. I do own some real assets like silver and gold. However, I have not bought silver and gold for a while, but if prices fall further, I will buy more gold, and again the best is to stay with what you know.

Asean has lots of agricultural produce, so this might be a relatively less dangerous place to be. While agricultural prices are depressed and we may see more problems, we’re not going to see disastrous problems. Stocks in the New York Stock Exchange can fall by 60% to 70% when things get bad but I don’t see sugar or rice prices falling by that amount. Agricultural prices have fallen and may start to turn around.

Avoid technology stocks, especially the mainly US-listed social media and biotechnology stocks as their valuations are extremely high. Salaries of employees are also very high. Even if there’s no tech bubble, the share prices certainly look expensive.

I will not be putting my money there.

Nicely done by Saieed to extract that last bit about technology stocks from Rogers. I, for one, don’t recall him talking about it recently.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Source:

Saieed, Zunaira. “Gearing up for the turmoil.” The Star. 19 Sep. 2015. (http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2015/09/19/Gearing-up-for-the-turmoil/?style=biz). 22 Sep. 2015.

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