Jim Rogers, Martin Armstrong Predict Strengthening U.S. Dollar To Push Gold Price Down Before Take-Off

Still on the topic of gold tonight, I want to talk about two well-known individuals in the investing community- Jim Rogers and Martin Armstrong- and their thoughts about the yellow metal.

In what might be somewhat of a disappointment to the “goldbugs,” neither is predicting the price of gold will take off from here.

Let’s go back to that Midas Letter interview of Rogers that I blogged about the other day. Rogers, who predicted the commodities rally that began in 1999, was asked if he thought the bottom for gold had been reached, or was he still looking for the price to come down further to around $900. The former partner of George Soros in the legendary Quantum Fund replied:

Look guys… I want to remind you that I’m the single worst market timer in the world. I’m the single worst short term trader in the world. So asking me is a waste of all of our time. I don’t think we’ve hit the bottom. I’m still looking for a bottom under 1,000. Who knows if it will get there, but if it does, I hope I’m smart enough to buy a lot of gold. In the end, gold’s going to turn into a bubble, and it’s going to go much, much higher. I just don’t know when. But I’m not buying gold yet

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Okay- so long-time Survival And Prosperity readers have heard Rogers say that before. On a number of occasions. But it’s what he said next in the interview I found very interesting. Rogers predicted:

What I do expect to happen, is that as the turmoil spreads, I expect more people will flee toward the U.S. dollar – I own a lot of U.S. dollars – but because of that, people think it’s a safe haven. It is not a safe haven, as you well know, but people think it is. So the dollar will go higher, it will get overpriced, it may turn into a bubble. Gold will go down in a time like that, because often – not always, but often – gold goes down when the dollar goes up. So I will sell my dollars at that point, and put it into something else – perhaps gold. If that scenario works – the dollar gets overpriced, gold gets beaten down because of the panic, then I hope I’m smart enough to buy gold or renminbi or whatever it happens to be at that point

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I’ve heard this scenario before, one where the price of gold falls more due to a strengthening U.S. dollar stemming from a global flight to “perceived” safety. Do any readers follow Martin Armstrong, economist at Armstrong Economics (and former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd.) and the creator of the Economic Confidence Model? While the jury’s still out on him (for me), I do read his blog almost daily. And if my memory serves me correctly, what Jim Rogers just said sounds a lot like what Armstrong has also been saying in recent times. Back on November 20 he blogged:

Gold is being overpowered by the rise in the dollar…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

He added just two weeks ago:

I have stated this many times, so here it goes again: Gold rises when people lose confidence in government. It has nothing to do with inflation. So, you start to worry about government survival or who’s going to win a war when gold rises — not before.

Short term, we still have the risk of gold going under $1,000 per ounce. It’s going to flip when everything is right — not before. It will probably max out at $5,000 per ounce or perhaps $6,000 at best. That we will not know until we have the low and the projection angle from that low…

Gold will respond ONLY when the majority sees the crisis unfolding. Just because you may understand it and see the logical outcome does not mean that the bulk of the population will…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Very interesting. Which brings up the question:

Have Americans lost confidence in government?

More tomorrow…

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Sources:

Armstrong, Martin. “Gold, Geopolitics, & the Dollar.” Armstrong Economics Blog. 20 Nov. 2015. (http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/39465). 27 Jan. 2016.

Armstrong, Martin. “Gold- No Time Left For Conspiracy Theory.” Armstrong Economics Blog. 14 Jan. 2016. (http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/40680). 27 Jan. 2016.

Share

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

2 Comments to Jim Rogers, Martin Armstrong Predict Strengthening U.S. Dollar To Push Gold Price Down Before Take-Off

  1. Dont you think Trump leading in polls tells us that ppl have lost confidence in the politicians

  2. stephen wright on January 31st, 2016
  3. Thanks for the comment Stephen. “Don’t you think Trump leading in polls tells us that ppl have lost confidence in the politicians.” Not necessarily. Huh? If one’s referring to “politicians” in a broad sense, such as “Congress,” then poll/survey results suggest that confidence is definitely low. But I seem to recall past polls/surveys often indicating significant constituent satisfaction concerning their own elected representative. In other words, “The politicians in D.C. may suck, but our man/woman in Washington is doing an okay/good job.” Obviously, this isn’t always the case. And I don’t know if more recent polls/surveys still reflect such thinking.

  4. Editor on February 1st, 2016

Leave a comment

Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

This Project Dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



Please Rate this Blog HERE



happyToSurvive
Advertising Disclosure here. "Code Needed"=Promo Code Found On Advertiser Website. Ad Captions Last Updated 12/3/16.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault World's Largest Online Investment Gold Service Taking Care Of $2 Billion For More Than 60,000 Users. BullionVault.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins 1 Oz. Silver Rounds (Secondary Market), 10 Oz. Silver Bars (Secondary Market), 100 Oz. Silver Bars (Secondary Market), Australian, Canadian, Chinese, French, Mexican Gold Coins On Sale! Free Shipping On U.S. Orders $99 And Up. BGASC Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
3-Month Food Supply $397 Limited Time Only; Survival Starter Kit X-Mas Tote $74.95 + Free Shipping; Alexapure Pro Water Filtration System $147; Patriot Seeds Gift Set $69.95; Big Savings On "Deal Of The Day" Page; Free Shipping On Orders Over $79. MyPatriotSupply.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
bullet proof vestsWorld's First Bulletproof Baseball Cap Only $129; Bulletproof Ceramic Plate (NIJ Level III Stand-Alone) Only $169; Bulletproof Backpack/Messenger Bag Panel Only $99. BulletSafe Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Blade HQ Knives Holiday Sale!; Free Patch Orders Over $49 (Code Needed); Free Shipping All Domestic Orders Over $99. Blade HQ Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% Discontinued Title Sale- Savings Up To 75% Off Original Price. Paladin Press Reviewed HERE.
 

Categories

Archives

Prepper Website

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • Related Reading: Malca-Amit’s New UltraVault Safe Deposit Box Service Profiled By South China Morning Post
    Malca-Amit, “widely recognized as the world’s leader in diamonds, jewellery and precious metals logistics and storage,” recently launched its UltraVault safe deposit box service in Asia. According to the UltraVault website: Our innovative portable safe deposit box enables you to: -View, withdraw or store your assets any time of the day or night -Select the […]
  • Related Reading: The Economic Times Article On India’s Safe Deposit Boxes
    I’ve had India on my mind recently. In particular, I’ve been thinking about the country’s safe deposit box industry in light of the ongoing “currency experiment.” Vikram Doctor over at The Economic Times (India) has also been speculating as to what the blitzkrieg on cash means for safe deposit boxes, publishing a piece entitled “Crackdown […]
  • Related Reading: SurvivalBlog.com Post About U.S. Bank Safe Deposit Boxes
    Back on February 2 I blogged about James Wesley, Rawles (comma not a typo), an author, lecturer, and founder/Senior Editor of SurvivalBlog.com, a preparedness blog that receives more than 320,000 unique visits per week. The former U.S. Army intelligence officer had just advised SurvivalBlog readers to “get a safe deposit box offshore, and store some […]
  • Happy Thanksgiving
    Just wanted to wish the American readers of Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes a Happy Thanksgiving. Thank you for your continued readership and support (that applies to everyone!). Christopher E. Hill Editor
  • U.S. Bullion Dealer Miles Franklin Launches Private Safe Deposit Box Program In Canada
    While pulling material together for the blog this morning, I learned about a new “offshore” safe deposit box program that’s just been launched by a well-known American precious metals dealer. Andrew Hoffman, Marketing Director for Miles Franklin (“one of America’s oldest, most trusted bullion dealers”) wrote on SilverSeek.com on November 2: We’ve spent more than […]