Colorado State University Releases Latest Forecast For 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Last Friday, the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University released their latest forecast for the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season (June 1-November 30). From Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2016:

Information obtained through July 2016 indicates that the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season will have activity near the median 1981-2010 season… We estimate that 2016 will have an additional 5 hurricanes (median is 6.5), 11 named storms (median is 12.0), 50 named storm days (median is 60.1), 20 hurricane days (median is 21.3), 2 major (Category 3-4-5) hurricane (median is 2.0) and 4 major hurricane days (median is 3.9). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 95 percent of the long-period average…

So, besides January’s Hurricane Alex, CSU is predicting five more hurricanes out in the Atlantic Ocean this season, with two of them being classified as “major.”

As for other Atlantic hurricane season forecasts? Chris Dolce, Jon Erdman, and Linda Lam reported on The Weather Channel website on July 1:

The Weather Company, an IBM Business, updated its seasonal forecast in mid-June, increasing each category by one storm, calling for the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season to be the most active since 2012. A total of 15 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes are forecast, the outlook said.

The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued their forecast at the end of May, calling for 10-16 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes and 1-4 major hurricanes

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Those living in potentially-affected areas might want to visit the “Hurricane Preparedness” section of the National Hurricane Center website to assist in preparations for these severe weather events.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Dolce, Chris, Erdman, Jon, and Lam, Linda. “2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Update Predicts 15 Named Storms.” The Weather Channel. 1 July 2016. (https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2016-hurricane-season-forecast-atlantic-colorado-state-csu-twc-noaa). 7 July 2016.

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Thursday, July 7th, 2016 Preparedness, Weather

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