Harvard Poll: Millennials Prefer Democrats To Control Congress, Stricter Gun Control Laws

I spotted the following headline on the Washington Examiner website yesterday:

“Harvard: Millennials now biggest voting group in U.S., 2-1 Democratic”

Considering this Gen Xer always strives to get a good picture of where the country might be heading and Millennials surpassed Baby Boomers last year as the nation’s largest living generation, I thought I’d go to the source and see what this is all about. From Harvard University’s Institute of Politics website:

“Two-thirds of youth fearful about America’s future, prefer Democratic control of Congress, Harvard youth poll finds”

CAMBRIDGE, MA – A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29-year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the Kennedy School of Government, finds that two-thirds of young Americans (67%) are more fearful than hopeful about America’s future. Less than one year before the 2018 midterm elections, likely young American voters cite preference for Democratic control of Congress, 65% to 33%.

The Fall 2017 poll, the IOP’s 34th major public opinion poll since 2000, also shows that President Trump’s approval ratings continue to decline, heightened concern about the state of race relations in the country and increased support for stricter gun control laws.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Key findings included:

4. Democratic control of Congress preferred 2:1; Democrats more engaged, Republicans less so, compared to 2014 midterm cycle; motivation among Democrats +9 since January

Among 18- to 29-year-olds who are likely to vote, 65% would prefer to see Democrats control Congress after the 2018 midterms. One third of young voters (33%) prefer Republican control. Independent voters prefer Democratic control by over 30 points (66% to 32%). Across most measures, young Democrats in our poll are more engaged politically than they were at a comparable time in the 2014 midterm cycle, while Republicans are less engaged. The percentage of Democrats who consider themselves politically engaged has increased 8 points, from 24% to 32%, while Republican engagement is down 7 points, from 31% to 24%.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Among the additional findings:

7. 61% of young Americans believe gun laws should be more strict, representing a marked change since 2013 when less than half (49%) felt the same way.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

These poll findings suggest the U.S., with Millennials at the helm, could be headed “left,” with more gun control laws being enacted.

That being said, I did observe the following in the poll’s “Topline Report” which could raise questions about the findings/claims made:

6. When it comes to voting, with which party do you consider yourself to be affiliated?

Net: Democrat… 38%
Net: Republican… 22%

Independent/Unaffiliated… 39%
Lean Democrat… 10%
Lean Republican… 6%

7. When it comes to most political issues, do you think of yourself as a…?

Net: Liberal… 37%
Moderate… 28%
Net: Conservative… 32%

Critics might point out the “shortage” of Republican, Republican-leaning Independent, and Conservative poll respondents.

Still, the findings of this new Harvard poll only increases my suspicions of what could be in store for America down the road.

More on that later. In the meantime, you can read about the poll on the Institute of Politics’ site here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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