Commodities

JM Bullion Offering 2014 Silver Eagles At $2.49 Over Spot And Other Deals

Anyone been watching the price of silver lately? The spot price is currently $18.58 an ounce as I type this. In case any Survival And Prosperity readers are looking to acquire more physical silver at the beaten-down prices these days, you may want to drop by the website of affiliate marketing partner JM Bullion (reviewed here) to check out their 2014 American Silver Eagle $2.49 over spot any quantity up to 499 deal and other silver coin specials. From the company’s e-mails this week:

This week we are offering the 2014 American Silver Eagle at just $2.49 over spot for any quantity up to 499 and just $2.35 over spot for Monster Box or more quantities. These coins are in stock and ready to be shipped…

For the first time ever, Sunshine Mint Buffalo Rounds are now available for purchase! Each round has been struck in 1 troy ounce of .999 fine silver and boasts Sunshines MintMark SI security feature on the reverse. The 1 oz Sunshine Mint Silver Buffalo Round is now available on presale for as low as 84¢ over spot (shipping from 9/17). With silver spot prices falling under $19 per ounce as of this post, today can be a great opportunity to take advantage of these low prices…

On sale while supplies last is the $1,000 face value bag of 90% silver coins which is available for just 89¢/oz over spot price. Each bag contains approximately 715 troy ounces of pure silver and includes pre-1965 U.S. dimes and/or quarters and/or half dollars. Be sure to take advantage of these low premiums while supplies are still available!

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

All orders at JM Bullion are shipped completely free of charge and include full tracking and insurance.

Click on the banner ad below, where you’ll be taken to the JM Bullion website. Please note that by clicking on the ad and purchasing a product, I receive a commission from the sale.

JM Bullion

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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JM Bullion Has Silver Britannia, Silver Wood Bison Coins On Sale

Speaking of silver this afternoon, I received the following e-mail this morning from an affiliate marketing partner of Survival And Prosperity, JM Bullion (reviewed here):

2013 Silver Wood Bison Just $3.99 Over Spot + Silver Britannias On Sale

Discounted this week via our On Sale page is the 2013 Silver Britannia (BU), the 2014 Silver Britannia (BU), and the 2013 1 oz Canadian Silver Wood Bison (BU). These coins are available for just $2.99, $3.29, and $3.99 over spot respectively. All of these deals apply for purchases of any quantity and this special pricing will only be available while supplies last…

Remember, free shipping on all orders at JM Bullion.

Click on the banner ad below, where you’ll be taken to the JM Bullion website. Please note that by clicking on the ad and purchasing a product, I receive a commission from the sale.

JM Bullion

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Peter Schiff Bullish On Foreign Stocks, Gold, And Silver

Euro Pacific Capital CEO/Chief Global Strategist Peter Schiff appeared on the FOX Business show Countdown to the Closing Bell last Wednesday. Host Liz Claman asked Schiff, who correctly-predicted the housing market crash and 2008 economic crisis, about where he was investing these days. He replied:

Well, my strategy has been the same for quite some time because I understand the problems that underlie the U.S. economy, how the Federal Reserve is exacerbating them in the name of trying to solve them, and so I want to invest abroad. We still favor equities, but I look at international equities. I look at value. I look at good dividends. And I want to own companies that are not dependent on the consumer…

A map was subsequently displayed that showed “Peter’s Global Area Picks”- Australia, Chile, China, Denmark, Hong Kong, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Singapore, and Sweden.

Claman also brought up precious metals in the discussion. Particularly, silver. From their exchange:

CLAMAN: Let’s put up the miners, because you feel that the miners now have an opportunity to really rise. Silver below $20 an ounce these days. That seems to me like a good buy because it’s so cheap.
SCHIFF: Well, it did get as high as $50 a couple of years ago. But it started the rally from below $4. So, we’re in a big bull market. We’ve been pausing for the last couple of years. But I think it’s the pause that’s going to refresh. I think what drove the metals market lower in 2013 was the false belief in a U.S. recovery, and the idea the Fed was through with QE, and that we were on the verge of a tightening cycle. None of that is true. We are slipping back into recession. Janet Yellen is going to launch an even bigger round of QE than what Bernanke launched. And this is going to be very bullish for gold and silver. But it’s not going to be bullish for the U.S. economy.


“Safeguarding Your Portfolio By Investing Abroad”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Marc Faber: ‘The Gold Market Has Bottomed-Out’

Well-known investment advisor/money manager Marc Faber was on the FOX Business show Opening Bell last Wednesday. Speaking by phone, the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report was asked by host Maria Bartiromo about the geopolitical instability going on and investing in such an environment. From their exchange:

BARTIROMO: Mark, what do you think? What would you be doing right now as an investor?
FABER: Well, basically, I always own some shares. Most of my shareholdings are in Asia… In Asia, the Indian market is up 22 percent year-to-date. The Thai market is up 20 percent in dollar terms. Jakarta is up 24 percent. Philippines up 18 percent. Karachi up 17. Ho Chi Min up 17.
BARTIROMO: So you want to continue to stay exposed to Asia then and not the U.S.?
FABER: Yes. Yes. I worry about the geopolitical tensions, and they have an impact on Vietnam. But I think all the Asian countries are so China-centric that there won’t be a military conflict. There’ll be rattling and disputes and so forth. But the U.S. doesn’t have the power to really wage a war in Asia. That we have to be very clear about.
BARTIROMO: Mark, very quickly, the bottom line on the U.S.- do you think we’re going to see a sell-off this year?
FABER: Yes.
BARTIROMO: How significant?
FABER: As I told you before, I would own some gold, because I think the gold market has bottomed-out. Year-to-date, the junior gold mining index is up 40 percent.


“How geopolitical issues could derail the markets”
FOX Business Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Jim Rickards Suspects China Behind Gold Price Manipulation As It Buys Metal To Hedge Against Dollar Devaluation

Euro Pacific Capital CEO and Global Strategist Peter Schiff just got done interviewing Jim Rickards, an American lawyer, economist, investment banker, and best-selling author. Rickards, who released The Death of Money: The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System, this spring, spoke with Schiff about the global gold markets. What he had to say about China and its steady accumulation of physical gold (reserves now totaling close to 4,000 tons, Rickards speculates) was extremely interesting. Some might say shocking. From the exchange:

Now there’s been a lot of speculation the reason they’re doing this is they want to launch a gold-backed yuan currency to defeat the dollar. That’s not going to happen. That’s not even close. The reason is that the yuan’s not ready to be a reserve currency because they don’t have investable assets. There’s no rule of law. There’s no mature bond market in China. But what they are doing, is creating a very simple hedge position… So you’ve got $4 trillion of paper reserves, most of them U.S. dollars. You can’t dump them. If you’re going to try and sell a fraction… the Treasury market’s big- it’s not that big. If they try and do something more aggressive, the President of the United States can actually stop them just by freezing their accounts. So what you do is buy up a pile of gold. So now, the Chinese want a stable dollar. They would love a stable dollar. But if the U.S. tries to devalue the dollar, tries to cheapen the dollar through inflation- remember, every 10 percent of dollar inflation is a $300 billion wealth transfer from China to the United States. So if you cheapen the dollar with inflation, they lose money on the paper, but they make money on the gold. So they’re building a hedge position. They’re not done yet.

I’ve heard it claimed before that China is accumulating gold to back the renminbi. But Rickards says this isn’t the case. Even more eye-opening than the dollar hedge theory was something he said later on in the interview:

The gold manipulation, by the way, is so blatant at this point, if I were the manipulator I’d be embarrassed… The question is, who’s doing it? And people like to point a finger at the Fed and maybe through the BIS- they have a hand in it. But my number one suspect is China for the reason you mentioned, Peter. If you’re out to buy 3,000 tons, you don’t want the price to be high yet. Maybe later you do. But for now you want the price to be low.


“Interview: Jim Rickards & Peter Schiff Discuss Global Gold Markets [Full Discussion]”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Peter Schiff On Direction Of Interest Rates, Housing, And Gold

Last Friday, “crash prophet” Peter Schiff added a new entry to his YouTube video blog- The Schiff Report. The CEO/Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital warned viewers that the Federal Reserve is bluffing about raising interest rates. Schiff- who correctly-called the bursting of the housing bubble in addition to the 2008 economic crisis- also touched on the direction of the residential real estate market and gold. On interest rates and housing, he pointed out:

The risk is that the Fed doesn’t tighten at all, which is exactly what’s going to happen, because they can’t tighten. If the Fed actually tightens, the recovery is over. The recovery that is supposedly giving them the confidence to raise rates- it can’t exist if they raise rates. In fact, if the Fed could raise rates, they would have already raised them. I mean, it’s been over five years. They’re still at zero. And they’re saying rate hikes are a year way maybe. Why? If the economy is recovering, why can’t the Fed raise rates? Because if the Fed raised rates, we’d be right back in recession. Because it’s a phony recovery. That’s what people have to understand. It’s not real. It’s only here as long as the Fed can artificially sustain it, which she might. The minute they raise interest rates, that party’s over. The stock market’s going down. The real estate market’s going down.

And by the way, we had a plethora of negative numbers all week for the housing market. You could put a fork in this phony housing recovery, because it’s done. The market is going down. Housing prices are heading back down. Housing activity is slowing. I think a lot of layoffs are coming in construction because this market’s grinding to a halt…

The Fed is bluffing. This is all bark and no bite. It is impossible for the Fed to raise interest rates. If they could do it, they would have already done it. If they raise interest rates now, they destroy the very recovery that the low interest rates created. The problem is, if it isn’t a real recovery, it’s phony. If it was real, it wouldn’t need the Fed to support it. The only reason it does need the Fed’s support is because it’s imaginary. It’s phony. Because the actual economy is getting worse.

What the Fed is doing to goose the stock market, and the real estate market, to create this phony wealth effect, is undermining legitimate wealth creation. All the money we’re borrowing to spend is interfering with legitimate, genuine economic growth. And we’re just digging ourselves into a bigger and bigger hole…

The problem is, we’re going to have the next recession, and the Fed’s still going to be at zero. They’re still going to have this bloated balance sheet. And again, it’s not that the Fed is never going to raise rates. They’re just not going to do it voluntarily. They’re not going to do it as a decision. They’re not going to do it until they have to. And it’s not going to be a strong economy that’s going to force them to raise rates. Because I don’t care how strong the economic data is- they ain’t going to raise rates. And it doesn’t matter how bad the inflation data is- they’re still not going to raise rates. They’re not going to raise rates until the dollar collapses. Until foreigners no longer want to hold the dollar, because they understand the predicament that the Fed is in. They understand that it is QE forever. That it is all just talk. There is no exit strategy. There never was. Because exit is too painful. This is the end game of QE. This is the all in. This is the overdose.

On gold, Schiff predicted:

Janet Yellen is not going to wage war against inflation. She has already surrendered to inflation. It’s just that a lot of people haven’t figured that out yet. So, because people think that Janet Yellen might raise interest rates sooner rather than later because of inflation, they sold gold. If they knew the truth, that Janet Yellen isn’t going to care about the inflation, that’s she’s just going to let it get worse because she is too afraid to challenge inflation for fear of what it will do to the economy, to the stock market, to the housing market, the job market. So she is going to allow inflation to not only continue, but accelerate. And that is what’s good for gold.


“Ending QE is Bad, Not Ending it is Worse”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Jim Rogers On Coming Fed Moves, Investing Opportunities

I just got finished reading an interview of well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers by The Economic Times (India) a short time ago. Published yesterday, the former investing partner of George Soros shares his thoughts on a number of topics, including:

• Investing opportunities during wartime (commodities, including crude oil, gold)
• Federal Reserve coming moves (continued tightening, then full-reverse)
• Crude oil price movement (higher and in a holding pattern)
• Gold price movement (suspected buying opportunity in next year or two)
• Other investment opportunities (industrial metals, natural gas)

Lots of good insights dragged out of Mr. Rogers by the Times crew, which you can read all about on their website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Peter Schiff On Gold: ‘We’re Going To Have A Big Rally Probably Beginning Here In The Second Half Of 2014’

It’s been a little over a month since I last blogged about “crash prophet” and head of Euro Pacific Capital Peter Schiff. But tonight, I’ll be talking about the first-ever installment of Peter Schiff’s Gold Videocast (which replaces the monthly Peter Schiff’s Gold Newsletter). Schiff, who also heads up Euro Pacific Precious Metals, told videocast viewers on July 9:

I think that the sellers have been exhausted in the gold market, and the buying continues. And when we run out of sellers- again, there’s only one direction for the price of gold. And I think once all of these speculators that have been shorting gold discover that their premise is wrong- that we’re not going to get this vibrant recovery. And that we’re not going to get less QE, we’re going to get more. That we’re not going to get rate hikes, but the Fed is going to keep interest rates at zero in order to prop up this phony, bubble economy that they’ve inflated. You’re going to have to see this mad rush from all the short sellers who are going to be anxious to buy back their money losing positions. But that’s going to be a lot more difficult, because there’s not going to be a lot of gold around. Because a lot of the gold that was liquidated in the second half of 2013 is not going to be available for sale in the second half of 2014. That gold was probably purchased by entities that never intend to sell it.

So I think we’re going to have a real short squeeze and we’re going to have a big rally probably beginning here in the second half of 2014. But maybe gathering momentum as the year comes to a close.

Schiff, who is credited for calling the U.S. housing bust and 2008 economic crisis, added:

I expect the price of silver to rise. Other precious metals- platinum- and commodities in general are all responding to the inflation that the Fed is creating to prop up this phony economy. All the while denying that inflation is a problem.


“Gold Videocast: Gold’s 2014 Half-Time Report”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Jim Rogers: Some Currencies, Real Assets Could Shine When Coming Bust Arrives

Enough about Chicago already. Let’s talk money.

Last time I blogged about well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers, he shared this warning regarding the ocean of liquidity that’s been created by unprecedented money printing via the world’s central banks:

When it ends, we will all pay a terrible price.

That was the end of May. And now?

Disturbingly, he’s singing the same tune.

Elena Torrijos reported on the Yahoo! Finance Singapore website yesterday:

He doesn’t know when the party is going to end, but he believes when it does, “we’re all going to suffer very, very badly”. He said the US would also fare worse than it has in previous economic setbacks because the country’s debt is now so much higher than before.

“So the next one [economic bust] is going to be much worse… so be worried, be careful and be prepared,” he warned.

Everybody should have a game plan, he said. “Learn how to cut back if you need to, even learn how to sell short. Short sellers are going to earn a lot of money the next time around,” he pointed out.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

The Singapore-based Rogers suggested certain currencies could initially offer refuge when the “bust” arrives. Torrijos added:

He believes some currencies are going to do well in that time of turmoil. “The Chinese renminbi, for instance, will probably continue to do extremely well over the next few years. I even own the US dollar at the moment. The US dollar is a terribly, terribly flawed currency, but at the moment I own it because when the turmoil comes many people will flee to what they see as a safe haven,” he said.

When invariably central banks start printing money to pump prime their economies, he’s not sure which currency he’d flee to. “Maybe the renminbi, maybe gold, probably real assets, because once the floodgates open even more, the value of paper money everywhere is going to go down a great deal,” he said.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

What about commodities- something with which the former investing partner of George Soros is so closely identified with? Back on December 3, 2013, Rogers appeared on The Lang and O’Leary Exchange, a Canadian business news television series which airs weekdays on CBC Television and CBC News Network. He told host Amanda Lang:

This is going to end badly. We’re all floating around on a sea of artificial liquidity right now Amanda. This is not going to last. No, no. And when it ends, the bull market in commodities will probably end too. But, the bull market in a lot of stuff will end.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Source:

Torrijos, Elena. “Jim Rogers reveals his Singapore investment strategy.” Yahoo! Finance Singapore. 14 July 2014. (https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/jim-rogers-reveals-his-singapore-investment-strategy-153319907.html). 15 July 2015.

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Resource Of The Week: Gold & Silver Vault App By GoldSilver.com

I meant to end last week on a high note- with a “Resource Of The Week” post- but was just too spent being sick and all. I’ve recovered. And before I start getting on a roll with this week’s blog material, I wanted to get that ROTW out to readers.

Now, as I’ve mentioned before on Survival And Prosperity, I’ve been a keen observer of gold and silver for some years now. And people who’ve been following the price action of these precious metals lately will tell you these are very interesting times (gold dropped to a 16-week low, silver to an 11-month low, last week).

Particularly if you hold either of the two as an investment/trading vehicle.

With all that’s been going on lately, more people might desire to keep a close eye on the latest gold and silver news and prices. Perhaps even keep track of the value of their holdings.

Enter the Gold & Silver Vault App by affiliate marketing partner GoldSilver.com. The Santa Monica, California-based gold and silver educator and dealer (reviewed here) now offers a free “app” for the Apple iPhone and Android which lets users track their gold and silver investment value 24/7:


“Gold & Silver Vault Phone App TVC V2”
YouTube Video

Looks very useful and informative. Too bad I don’t own a smartphone (maybe one of these days). But readers might.

Check out the Gold & Silver Vault App on GoldSilver.com via the banner ad below. The app can be found on the “Goldsilver” tab, in the “Knowledge Center” drop-down menu near the top of the page. Please note that by clicking on the ad and purchasing a product from GoldSilver.com, I receive a commission from the sale.


GoldSilver.com - Buy Gold & Silver

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: Link added to SP “Resources” page)

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Quote For The Week

“The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit.”

-Ralph Waldo Emerson (American essayist, lecturer, and poet. 1803-1882)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Jim Rogers: ‘We’re All Going To Pay A Terrible Price’ When ‘Artificial Ocean Of Liquidity’ Ends

Tonight, I want to talk about well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers. The former investing partner of George Soros- who I recently heard is worth approximately $300 million (Soros $23 billion)- recently shared his thoughts about the global financial system and potential investment opportunities.

On May 27, Nina Xiang of the China Money Network contributed the following on the Forbes website:

Legendary investor Jim Rogers has been warning about “the ocean of artificial liquidity” as a result of the unprecedented money printing by central banks around the world for quite some time now.

But with the U.S. stock market at an all-time high, his cautionary words seem to have hardly been heeded…

“When it ends, we will all pay a terrible price,” says Rogers…

Read it as an advocacy for an alternative attitude that is unpopular at the moment: the attitude of awareness that we are in this “artificial period” and it will end one day; the attitude of fearfulness that there will be more turmoil in the next ten years; the attitude of preparedness, that includes stocking up some extra food, a spare flashlight, and gold coins — instead of gold bars — for when the time of emergency comes…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)


“Jim Rogers: We Will All Pay A Terrible Price For Today’s Artificial Liquidity”
YouTube Video

Note that in the Chinese Money Podcast that was uploaded onto YouTube the same day as that Forbes piece, Xiang and Rogers talked about regional conflicts and the Singapore-based investor predicted:

I would suspect that sometime in the next ten years, the world’s going to have a bigger conflict.

On May 26, the text of another interview with Jim Rogers was published on the website of The Economic Times (India). Rogers, who correctly predicted the commodities rally that started in 1999, talked about the following investment opportunities:

• Gold and silver- “If it goes down, I assure you I will be buying more gold and more silver.”
• Crude oil- “Remember, all the other known reserves in the world are in decline, even if the supply from the US is rising. Everywhere else, there has been declining reserves, because there have been no great oilfield discoveries in over 40 years.”
• Sugar- “I am bullish on sugar.”
• U.S. dollar- “I own the US dollar and have not sold any. In fact, probably I would have bought some more, if I weren’t talking to you.”

Rogers concluded this discussion by sharing that:

I am still trying to find some more things to buy in Russia, maybe some Chinese shares and maybe some more Japanese shares…

Nice job by The Economic Times getting this information from Rogers.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Sources:

Xiang, Nina. “Why We Should All Take A Moment To Listen To Jim Rogers.” Forbes. 27 May 2014. (http://www.forbes.com/sites/ninaxiang/2014/05/27/why-we-should-all-take-a-moment-to-listen-to-jim-rogers/). 29 May 2014.

“Will be excited about investing in India if Narendra Modi delivers: Jim Rogers.” The Economic Times. 26 May 2014. (http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-05-26/news/50098911_1_jim-rogers-commodity-space-gold-imports). 29 May 2014.

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Marc Faber: ‘I Will Never Sell My Gold And I Buy Every Month’

More recently, Swiss-born investor advisor/fund manager Marc Faber has been making headlines about his thoughts on equities. So I’ve been curious to hear what the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report has to say these days about precious metals. In particular, gold.

Dr. Faber appeared on the Bloomberg Television show Street Smart yesterday. From an exchange with host Trish Regan:

BLOOMBERG: Do you continue to invest in gold because of concerns about central banks?

FABER: Yes. I will never sell my gold and I buy every month some gold. I think it may still go down somewhat. But I wouldn’t be short gold.


“Marc Faber: I Will Never Sell My Gold”
(Gold discussion begins around 8:10)
Bloomberg Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Bearish Peter Schiff Debates Bullish Nouriel Roubini

“How long was I warning about the housing bubble and the financial crisis before it happened? It was years. It takes a while for these problems to surface. We do have an inflation problem. We do have a bubble. And commodity prices are rising. Gold prices are rising.”

-Peter Schiff, debating with noted “bear”-turned-“bull” Nouriel Roubini on CNBC’s Fast Money yesterday


“Roubini vs. Schiff: Who’s “Doomier” on US Economy?
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Russia To Attack Petrodollar?

Here’s another story that’s not getting much attention this week:

Russia threatening to replace U.S. dollar-denominated transactions for their exports

Gleb Stolyarov reported on Reuters.com this morning:

Russia, keen to dodge threatened Western sanctions on its companies over the Ukraine crisis, said on Wednesday it was looking at ways for major state-owned exporters such as energy giants to be paid in roubles.

The idea of major exporters being paid in roubles rather than dollars has been gaining ground in recent weeks in response to sanctions imposed by the West on officials and companies over Russia’s annexation of Crimea and an uprising in Ukraine’s east.

“There are certain risks, but we are preparing a mechanism, we are working on it,” Finance Minister Anton Siluanov told reporters during a visit to Russia’s Baltic enclave of Kaliningrad…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

So exports would be paid for in rubles rather than dollars. So what?

Michael Snyder of The Economic Collapse blog highlighted what could be at stake. Snyder wrote yesterday:

This would essentially be like slamming an economic fist into our nose.

You see, Russia is not just a small player when it comes to trading oil and natural gas. The truth is that Russia is the largest exporter of natural gas and the second largest exporter of oil in the world.

If Russia starts asking for payment in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, that will essentially end the monopoly of the petrodollar

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Snyder continued:

So why is the petrodollar so important?

Well, it creates a tremendous amount of demand for the U.S. dollar all over the globe. Since everyone has needed it to trade with one another, that has created an endless global appetite for the currency. That has kept the value of the dollar artificially high, and it has enabled us to import trillions of dollars of super cheap products from other countries. If other nations stopped using the dollar to trade with one another, the value of the dollar would plummet dramatically and we would have to pay much, much more for the trinkets that we buy at the dollar store and Wal-Mart.

In addition, since the U.S. dollar is essentially the de facto global currency, this has also increased demand for our debt. Major exporting nations such as China and Saudi Arabia end up with giant piles of our dollars. Instead of just letting them sit there and do nothing, those nations often reinvest their dollars into securities that can rapidly be changed back into dollars if needed. One of the most popular ways to do this has been to invest those dollars in U.S. Treasuries. This has driven down interest rates on U.S. debt over the years and has enabled the U.S. government to borrow trillions upon trillions of dollars for next to nothing…

So if Russia really does pull the trigger on a “de-dollarization” strategy, that would be huge – especially if the rest of the planet started following their lead…

So would the rest of the planet follow Russia’s lead? Consider the following from the website for The Voice of Russia, the Russian government’s international radio broadcasting service. Valentin Mândrăşescu reported yesterday:

Of course, the success of Moscow’s campaign to switch its trading to rubles or other regional currencies will depend on the willingness of its trading partners to get rid of the dollar. Sources cited by Politonline.ru mentioned two countries who would be willing to support Russia: Iran and China. Given that Vladimir Putin will visit Beijing on May 20, it can be speculated that the gas and oil contracts that are going to be signed between Russia and China will be denominated in rubles and yuan, not dollars

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Stay tuned. This could get ugly.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Sources:

Stolyarov, Gleb. “UPDATE 2-Russia, wary of sanctions, wants exporters to be paid in roubles.” Reuters.com. 14 May 2014. (http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/05/14/russia-exports-rouble-idUSL6N0O01RI20140514). 14 May 2014.

Snyder, Michael. “De-Dollarization: Russia Is On The Verge Of Dealing A Massive Blow To The Petrodollar.” The Economic Collapse. 13 May 2014. (http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/de-dollarization-russia-is-on-the-verge-of-dealing-a-massive-blow-to-the-petrodollar). 14 May 2014.

Mândrăşescu, Valentin. “Russia strives to exclude the dollar from energy trading.” 13 May 2014. (http://voiceofrussia.com/2014_05_13/Russia-strives-to-exclude-the-dollar-from-energy-trading-5138/). 14 May 2014.

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Christopher E. Hill, Editor
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