Currencies

Martin Armstrong Covered By Washington’s Blog

When I last blogged about economist Martin Armstrong, I discussed his November 24 post on the Armstrong Economics Blog in which he talked about the elimination of cash and his belief “the United States will most likely break apart by 2036.” Disturbing stuff.

Like I’ve said before- for me, the jury’s still out on Armstrong. However, Washington’s Blog, which bills itself as “Real-Time, Well-Researched and Actionable News on America and the World,” published an insightful piece on the man and his forecasts back on December 30. From that post:

Martin Armstrong is a controversial market analyst who correctly predicted the 1987 crash, the top of the Japanese market, and many other market events … more or less to the day.

Many market timers think that Armstrong is one of the very best. Armstrong credits a computer program he created (which he calls “Socrates”) for the accuracy of his forecasting.

Armstrong’s background is even more dramatic because he was jailed for 11 years on trumped-up allegations of contempt, fraud and an alleged Ponzi scheme. Armstrong was ultimately released without any charges, and – as the documentary The Forecaster explains – the 11-year imprisonment was a way to try to pressure him to hand over his forecasting program.

Washington’s Blog sent a reporter to Armstrong’s annual conference in Orlando, Florida, to see what all the buzz is about …

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“Washington” noted Armstrong’s take on:

-Capital flows (declining)
-Debt (private superior to government)
-Europe (more chaos dead-ahead)
-U.S. stocks (bubble coming, then bust)
-European Union (Britain will survive because of Brexit)
-Cash (being eliminated by goverments for taxation purposes, negative interest rates)
-Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, or FATCA (negative impact on global economy, yet positive for taxation)
-Politicians (self-interested, greedy bastards)

Read all about it on Washington’s Blog here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Thursday, January 12th, 2017 Bonds, Bubbles, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Europe, Government, Interest Rates, Investing, Monetary Policy, Stocks, Taxes Comments Off on Martin Armstrong Covered By Washington’s Blog

Jim Rogers: ‘Gigantic, Gigantic Currency Turmoil’ Coming

Well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers recently spoke to Mike Manciel of the Rethinking the Dollar project, whose objective is “to promote the importance of alternative education in the realm of monetary literacy.” In the exchange posted on YouTube.com on November 26, the former investing partner of George Soros in the legendary Quantum Fund talked about a number of financial topics, including currencies. Rogers told viewers:

In the next decade- if not much sooner- we’re going to have gigantic, gigantic currency turmoil. And that’s going to affect everything… The dollar is going to have a lot of problems. All currencies are going to have a lot of problems…

Addressing the U.S. dollar specifically, the Singapore-based investor said:

At the moment, I’m certainly watching currencies- especially the U.S. dollar. I own a lot of U.S. dollars for a variety of reasons…

People are worried about what’s happening in the world. And so a lot of money is coming into the U.S. to escape the turmoil they see elsewhere. Coming into the U.S. dollar. People think, Mike, around the world, think that the U.S. dollar is a safe haven. It’s not… But everybody thinks, they have the perception, that the U.S. dollar is a safe haven for historic reasons. So when they get scared they put their money into U.S. dollars. So the U.S. dollar is going higher and higher. I mean, that’s why I own a lot of U.S. dollars. Not because I think it’s a great place to be. Because I know the turmoil is coming. I know people will be scared. And the dollar will get overpriced. Might even turn into a bubble, Mike, before it’s over. But then, when everybody starts saying, “Wait a minute, this is crazy.” They start looking at the real fundamental situation of the U.S. dollar. Then they go and dump their U.S. dollars- I hope I get out first. And we’re going to have a gigantic, gigantic crisis. Be worried Mike, be worried…


“RTD Ep:50 “The Dollar Is Going To Have A Lot Of Problems” – Jim Rogers”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Wednesday, December 7th, 2016 Crash Prophets, Currencies, Investing Comments Off on Jim Rogers: ‘Gigantic, Gigantic Currency Turmoil’ Coming

Jim Rickards: Donald Trump Has Ronald Reagan’s Financial Playbook, But Faces ‘Headwinds’

Marc Faber. Peter Schiff. Now Jim Rickards. Three “crash prophets” who aren’t convinced U.S. President-elect Donald Trump can magically solve America’s economic ills. Rickards, an American lawyer, economist, investment banker, and best-selling author, was on the RTÉ Radio 1 (Ireland) show Today with Sean O’Rourke last Wednesday talking about his new book when he informed listeners of the following:

Less regulation, lower taxes, and a lot more infrastructure spending. This was Ronald Reagan’s playbook. This is what Ronald Reagan did in 1981 with a lot of success. But there are big differences, reasons to believe Trump will not be as successful. Namely because when Reagan came in, the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio- the amount of debt relative to our economy- was 35 percent. Today it’s almost 105 percent. Reagan had inflation of 20 percent. Trump has it close to zero. In other words, Reagan had a lot of tailwinds– inflation had to come down, interest rates had to come down, he had fiscal space to run up the debt. Trump has headwinds

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

The editor of the financial newsletter Jim Rickards’ Strategic Intelligence believes the next economic crisis (2018?) will be worse than the 2008 edition. When asked by O’Rourke what people with a “smaller or medium-size financial nest-egg” might do to prepare for it, Rickards advised:

For savers and investors at any level, modest or wealthier, put 10 percent of your investible assets in physical gold or silver. For smaller amounts, silver might do well…

He added some cash is good too.

You can listen to the entire interview (a little over 13 minutes) on the RTÉ Radio 1 (Ireland) website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Rickards’ new book…

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Monday, December 5th, 2016 Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Debt Crisis, Fiscal Policy, GDP, Government, Inflation, Infrastructure, Interest Rates, Investing, Precious Metals, Spending, Taxes Comments Off on Jim Rickards: Donald Trump Has Ronald Reagan’s Financial Playbook, But Faces ‘Headwinds’

Martin Armstrong: ‘The United States Will Most Likely Break Apart By 2036’

Back on January 27, 2016, I asked:

Do any readers follow Martin Armstrong, economist at Armstrong Economics (and former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd.) and the creator of the Economic Confidence Model? While the jury’s still out on him (for me), I do read his blog almost daily…

I still “read his blog almost daily.” And something Armstrong wrote last week really caught my attention. From “The Termination of Cash Approaching Rapidly”:

I am becoming deeply concerned that the United States is headed into its version of a communist revolution under the label “progressive” and the bankers, who Larry Summers has always supported, will be used as the scapegoat for Wall Street and the “rich” who have to be stripped of their liberty and their money for the “good of the people” as they always say. The United States does not look like it will be a country we can recognize by 2032 if we can even make it past 2024. The United States will most likely break apart by 2036. There are separatist movements rising in many areas from Vermont and Texas to California, who reasons they voted for Hillary not Trump justifying their departure.

The entire purpose of eliminating cash is to strip us of our assets, liberty, and to prevent bank runs. The youth, who have been brainwashed by Bernie Sanders and people like Elizabeth Warren, will turn against the older generation and enslave them if at all possible. This threatens our future with outright civil war. They will not be satisfied until they destroy the freedom of their opposition. It is starting to appear that 2036 is our date with destiny

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

America kaput by 2036- if not earlier?

That’s a pretty disturbing thought. And reading that blog post reminded me of an article I pulled up almost eight years ago on The Wall Street Journal website (my how time flies) by Andrew Osborn, who discussed a similar prediction made by Russian academic Igor Panarin, a former KGB analyst and Dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s school for future diplomats (then and now). On December 29, 2008, Osborn wrote:

Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces — with Alaska reverting to Russian control…

California will form the nucleus of what he calls “The Californian Republic,” and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of “The Texas Republic,” a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an “Atlantic America” that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls “The Central North American Republic.” Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Obviously 2010 came and went… and the good ol’ U.S. of A. remains intact.

But I can’t help but wonder if Panarin’s prediction might not be in the same category as an infamous forecast made by the American financial analyst Meredith Whitney about a wave of municipal defaults. I wrote back on December 22, 2010:

Last night Whitney, now CEO and founder of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, appeared on CNBC and warned that a wave of defaults by state and local governments in the coming months will cause a sell-off in the municipal bond market, hurting U.S. economic growth and stocks- and causing social unrest

I blogged a year-and-a-half later:

Whitney will eventually be vindicated about the wave of defaults (her timing was just off)…

“Her timing was just off”

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Sources:

Armstrong, Martin. “The Termination of Cash Approaching Rapidly.” Armstrong Economics Blog. 24 Nov. 2016. (https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/taxes/the-termination-of-cash-approaching-rapidly-the/). 1 Dec. 2016.

Osborn, Andrew. “As if Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.” The Wall Street Journal. 29 Dec. 2008. (http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123051100709638419). 1 Dec. 2016.

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Thursday, December 1st, 2016 Asia, Bonds, Civil Strife, Class Warfare, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Defaults, Europe, Government, Immigration, North America, Political Parties, Revolution, Stocks, Wall Street, War, Wealth Comments Off on Martin Armstrong: ‘The United States Will Most Likely Break Apart By 2036’

Prepping: ‘It’s Become Less Out Of The Ordinary, Less Extreme’

Earlier today I stumbled across a pretty decent article about the current state of “prepping” in the United States on the Chicago Tribune website. I say “pretty decent” because I’m so used to seeing “hit job” pieces about the activity in the mainstream media in the past six years I’ve been running this blog.

Cheryl Stritzel McCarthy wrote the article entitled “Prepper movement, while not mainstream, no longer just for doomsday outliers.” In it, she touches on themes including:

-Prepper mindset
-.22 LR ammunition as SHTF currency
-Degrees of prepping
-Operations/Operational security (OPSEC)

Head on over to the Tribune website here to read the entire piece.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Wednesday, November 30th, 2016 Ammunition, Currencies, Emergencies, Man-Made Disasters, Natural Disasters, Preparedness, Psychology Comments Off on Prepping: ‘It’s Become Less Out Of The Ordinary, Less Extreme’

Marc Faber Bullish On Gold, Gold Shares, Platinum

Swiss-born investment advisor/money manager Marc Faber was on the CNBC TV show Trading Nation yesterday. The publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report talked about potential investment opportunities, including precious metals. Dr. Faber told viewers:

As I said last year, precisely a year ago, when Barrick was around $6 and Newmont Mining around $17, I think that gold shares, after the recent correction, are still attractive. Don’t forget, gold has been talked down a lot recently, but the fact is when you say that gold is a currency, what has been the strongest currency on Earth this year? It’s up 11 percent in dollars, 32 percent in British pounds, and in Euros 14 percent. So I don’t think it’s been doing all that badly, even following the recent correction…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

After saying the U.S. economy “is not doing well” and predicting President-elect Trump will be a “Keynesian” and money printer, Faber added:

I would buy gold and platinum– they are depressed.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)


“Marc Faber on stocks, bonds, gold and more”
CNBC Video

Regular readers of Survival And Prosperity know that Marc Faber has been a long-time gold bull. Covering the V International Central and Eastern European Investment Conference in Warsaw, Poland, last Friday (where Faber was the keynote speaker), the Hungarian financial news website Portfolio reported:

Faber is optimistic for gold, arguing it should form a 20% component of a good investment portfolio. As a reserve, he prefers holding bullion to purchasing indirectly via ETFs, but maintains that exchange-traded gold funds are not a bad thing either…

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page. A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Source:

“Marc Faber: Current era of negative rates ‘a historic first.'” Portfolio.hu. 25 Nov. 2016. (http://www.portfolio.hu/en/economy/marc_faber_current_era_of_negative_rates_a_historic
_first.32147.html). 30 Nov. 2016.

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Wednesday, November 30th, 2016 Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Exchange-Traded Funds, Government, Investing, Monetary Policy, Money Supply, Precious Metals, Stocks Comments Off on Marc Faber Bullish On Gold, Gold Shares, Platinum

Peter Schiff: ‘I Would Rather Go Into The Election Long Gold, Short The Dollar As My Main Trades’

Yesterday I spotted economist, financial broker/dealer, and author Peter Schiff on the RT America show Boom Bust. Schiff, who correctly-called the housing bust and economic crisis in the last decade, talked about how the financial markets might react to either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump winning next week’s U.S. presidential election. He told viewers:

Well, I think the markets will react negatively to a Trump victory because there’s more uncertainty surrounding what a Trump presidency would look like. I mean, you say, “Well, with Clinton it’s the devil you know.” But I think in this case “the devil you know” is pretty bad. I’d rather take a shot at the one that we don’t. But I think the markets will be worried about what it might mean and I think the markets will sell off. I think gold will rally. I think the dollar will sell off. But longer term- and of course traders don’t think about the long term, they’re just trading for what’s happening right now- long term, I think a Clinton presidency is much worse for the U.S. economy and therefore ultimately much worse for the U.S. stock market. But in the short run, we have a bubble. And all people are concerned with now, at least traders, are what is going to happen to keep the air from coming out of that bubble. And nobody really wants to challenge the status quo. They want to continue this cozy relationship between the government, the Fed, and Wall Street. And Hillary Clinton means that they will continue it as long as they can. And a Trump presidency really throws a monkey wrench into that because nobody really knows what it means…

Answering a question about how investors should position themselves, Schiff said:

I would rather go into the election long gold, short the dollar as my main trades. And the stock market doesn’t seem as interesting a trade to me as currencies and metal.,,

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page. A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Friday, November 4th, 2016 Banking, Bubbles, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Investing, Precious Metals, Stocks, Wall Street Comments Off on Peter Schiff: ‘I Would Rather Go Into The Election Long Gold, Short The Dollar As My Main Trades’

Peter Schiff: ‘The Day Of Reckoning Is Getting Closer And Closer’

Economist, financial broker/dealer, and author Peter Schiff appeared on the Alex Jones Show last Friday. Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, warned viewers of rising inflation, a U.S. dollar collapse, and civil unrest. The CEO of Euro Pacific Capital said:

Most people know there’s inflation. They don’t believe the government numbers or they don’t even know about the government numbers. All they know is that the cost of living is going up. Food is more expensive. Their utility bills are higher. Rent is going up. Health insurance premiums are going up. But Alex, we ain’t seen nothing yet. When it comes to inflation- this is just the beginning. The price increases that Americans have been enduring are only going to get much, much worse… But nobody is going to welcome a higher cost of living, and your best defense against that, as I said, is to protect yourself. To get out of your dollars. To diversify internationally

More and more people- mainstreaming people- I’m hearing people talk who now realize that this is the 9th inning of this thing, this whole experiment with Keynesianism and fiat money. It is very, very late in the game. Time is running out, right? The clock has been ticking and ticking. It is going to stop, and you can see that. The day of reckoning is getting closer and closer

The real drop is not just going to be in the pound, but in all the world’s fiat currencies. In particular, the U.S. dollar, which is at the center of this whole Frankenstein’s monster when it comes to a monetary system. And it is going to implode. And this dollar crisis is going to make the financial crisis of 2008 look like a Sunday school picnic, especially in the way it impacts people’s standards of living…

There is going to be, I think, rioting and looting. Especially when we have a currency collapse. Because I think then you’re going to have shortages. I think the government is going to impose price controls. And I think there is going to be a problem for people to get goods and services that are in short supply…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)


“Bubble Ready to Implode. Massive QE Coming!”
YouTube Video

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page. A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Wednesday, July 13th, 2016 Civil Strife, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Government, Inflation, Investing, Main Street, Monetary Policy Comments Off on Peter Schiff: ‘The Day Of Reckoning Is Getting Closer And Closer’

Jim Rogers Discusses His Investments Post-Brexit

Well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers recently spoke to James West, publisher/editor of the Midas Letter (“Emerging Public Company Research and Global Economic Commentary”) in the wake of the historic “Brexit” vote. During their exchange, the former investing partner of George Soros in the legendary Quantum Fund talked about his current investment holdings and warned about more financial volatility down the road. Rogers confided:

I’m short stocks in the United States, I’m long the United States dollar, I’m long agricultural commodities, I own some shares in China and a few other places. But basically I’m short the U.S. stock market and long the U.S. currency…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

When asked about the volatility of financial markets, the Singapore-based investor warned:

You think 2016 is bad. Wait ‘til 2017. It’s going to be worse

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

The last time I blogged about Rogers, he told listeners of Jay Taylor (editor of J Taylor’s Gold & Technology Stocks newsletter) and his radio show Turning Hard Times into Good Times:

I urge people to get knowledgeable from listening to you and other people like you, because the world is facing some very complicated and difficult times. Once you become knowledgeable, you’re going to get very worried, which you should, and then you might get prepared, because not all of us are going to survive what’s coming in the next few years. I hope I survive, I hope everybody listening to this survives. But it’s going to be a very, very damaging and difficult time. So be worried. Be prepared

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

You can listen to/read the entire conversation between Jim Rogers and James West here over on the Financial Post (Canada) website.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Wednesday, July 6th, 2016 Agriculture, Asia, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Investing, Preparedness, Stocks, Wall Street Comments Off on Jim Rogers Discusses His Investments Post-Brexit

British Preppers’ Take On The June 23 ‘Brexit’ Vote

This afternoon I came across a piece about tomorrow’s “Brexit” vote (deciding whether Britain should leave/ remain in the European Union)- from the standpoint of British preppers- on the Preppers Shop UK Blog. From “The UK’s only dedicated prepping shop” on June 21:

How you should prepare for the EU referendum result.

Whichever side of the fence you sit on, it would be foolish to think that the result wont have a massive effect on everyone.

There are plenty of concerns if we stay in. European army, several new countries joining the EU, the crumbling euro, increased immigration putting strains on services and increased control over our laws from the EU.

If we vote out there will inevitably be a temporary drop in the economy and there is of course uncertainty over what will happen, after all its never been done before.

As preppers we should be considering how it could effect us…

The post went on to discuss the prospects for:

• “Social unrest.”
• “Job loss.”
• “Drop in the sterling.”
• “Food & fuel shortages.”

An insightful look at how America’s prepper cousins “across the pond” perceive Thursday’s historic event, which you can read in its entirety here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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