Government

Jim Rogers: ‘We’re Certainly Going To Have Worse Times Than We’ve Had In Our Lifetime’

Let’s talk finance and investing for the remainder of the day. Well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers recently made an appearance on GoldSeek.com Radio, and in the April 1, 2016, broadcast, the former investing partner of George Soros talked about several topics including a coming U.S. financial crash, where he’s putting his money these days, and the prospect of another buying opportunity with gold. On a coming crash, from the exchange with host Chris Waltzek:

WALTZEK: You know you’ve mentioned that this could be the “last rally.” I put that in quotes and we’re seeing again signs of that. But these price-to-earnings ratios, the CAPE ratios, some of our individual stocks 300, 500-priced-to- earnings. I mean, they’re priced to perfection for eternity. Could this lead to maybe a 1929-style scenario, or are we in worse or more dangerous water?
ROGERS: Chris, we’re certainly going to have worse times than we’ve had in our lifetimes. How bad it is? I expect it to be, well to repeat, worse than anything we’ve had in our lifetime, because the debt is like nothing it’s ever been in recorded history. America is now the largest debtor nation in the history of the world. Higher and higher. But so does everybody else’s debt. So the next time around- yes, it’s going to be very, very disastrous. The only hope Chris is that somehow the world survives the next time around. Well we won’t survive the one after that, I assure you, because the debt will be so much higher, money printing will be so much worse. We’re going to live in very interesting times, which as you know, a Chinese curse to live in interesting times.

Regarding where the Singapore-based investor is putting his money:

WALTZEK: So give us an idea then where those funds of yours are headed and where you feel safe right now.
ROGERS: I own a lot of U.S. dollars, not because it’s going to be a horrible currency in the end, but with the bad times coming many people will put their money in what they consider safe assets or safe havens, and many people think the U.S. dollar is a safe haven. Compared to the rest of the world- yeah, it is a safe haven compared to the yen or the euro or other currencies. So I own U.S. dollars. I own Chinese renminbi. I own Chinese shares. I’m short in the U.S. I’m long agriculture. I bought recently some Russian government short-term bonds in rubles. I own some gold and silver which I have for years- I haven’t bought any recently. Some stocks that I’ve owned for twenty or thirty years- I don’t see any reason to sell them since I bought them so long ago. That’s basically, off the top of my head, where my investments are.

On the prospect of another buying opportunity in gold, Rogers said:

I’m not rushing in to buy. I still expect a better opportunity to buy gold sometime in the next two or three years. If that happens, I hope I’m smart enough to buy more. If it doesn’t happen, I own some gold, so I’ll make money. But I’m still waiting for my… another opportunity.

The CEO of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. shared with listeners:

There are other places I’m looking at but I’m really not very active at all. I’m mainly just watching the world unfold. Be knowledgeable, be worried, and be prepared.

“Be knowledgeable, be worried, and be prepared.” Wise words to digest.


“GSR interviews JIM ROGERS – March 31, 2016 Nugget”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Martin Armstrong Warns Illinois ‘Taxpayers Are Absolutely Screwed And This Is Not A Place You Want To Own Property’

Speaking of Martin Armstrong, I was reading the economist’s blog early Wednesday morning when I came across the following in his April 4 post entitled “Illinois on the Brink of Bankruptcy”:

The pension crisis is brewing and the one state that appears to be heading toward a complete bankruptcy is Illinois. Clients should not own ANY debt from Illinois, be it city, municipal, or state. Just get out before the curtain falls. The Illinois Constitution plainly states that pension benefits, once granted, “shall not be diminished or impaired.” Thus, taxpayers are absolutely screwed and this is not a place you want to own property

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“Taxpayers are absolutely screwed and this is not a place you want to own property”

“Just get out before the curtain falls”

Regular readers of Survival And Prosperity know this has been a major concern of mine for a couple of years now. I blogged back on November 9, 2012:

Events that have unfolded at the local level on up for some time now have convinced me that my future lies outside of Chicago, Cook County, and Illinois. Which is a shame, because as I’ve mentioned before, my family has deep ties to the area. So much so a number of family members are familiar with the tale of one ancestor who fought courageously to save his tailor shop (at least the contents of it) from the approaching flames of the Great Chicago Fire back in 1871.

141 years later, another looming disaster looks to be in store for me and my loved ones if I don’t take action, and soon.

It’s bad enough Chicago, Cook County, and Illinois was already overrun by too many residents that live their lives in pursuit of the Ubi East Mea (“Where’s Mine?”) mentality and politicians who have been quick to pander to these individuals with “free” things in exchange for votes- long before last Tuesday’s election results revealed the rest of America is now marching down this same path.

But combine this with poor financial health, a bleak economic outlook, and growing attacks on the finances and freedoms of productive, law-abiding residents as politicians rob Peter to pay Paul in their attempt to remain in office- and you’ve got one hell of a mess coming to this area of the Midwest in the next few years.

Eventually, I predict the productive residents will split town (this happened before in Chicago in the late 60s-early 70s in some neighborhoods), there will be no more money for “freebies,” and the “Where’s Mine?” brigade will riot. Athens-style.

As I’ve been telling those close to me for some time now, “First you’ll see the strikes. Then the larger protests. Until finally, the riots.”

History shows you don’t want to be in the city when the riots break out.

And I don’t plan on being here in Chicago when the coming civil strife erupts either.

I split town several months after writing all that.

You can read Armstrong’s entire blog post on his company’s website here. Disturbing stuff for citizens of “Madiganistan.”

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Follow-Up: Martin Armstrong’s Quote For The Week

Before I really get going for the week on Survival And Prosperity, after I published the “Quote For The Week” Monday- the one from economist Martin Armstrong about a “lack of recent reports of UFO sightings or abduction” in this goofy election year- I couldn’t help but remember my 1992-93 winter break from college where I invited a bunch of buddies up to my family’s cabin in Wisconsin. As the host, I got to pick the VHS movies to watch, with one of them being the 1988 John Carpenter sci-fi film They Live starring the late “Rowdy” Roddy Piper of pro wrestling fame. From Melissa Portell on the IMDB website:

Nada, a down-on-his-luck construction worker, discovers a pair of special sunglasses. Wearing them, he is able to see the world as it really is: people being bombarded by media and government with messages like “Stay Asleep”, “No Imagination”, “Submit to Authority”. Even scarier is that he is able to see that some usually normal-looking people are in fact ugly aliens in charge of the massive campaign to keep humans subdued.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

My friends had never heard of the flick. But I had already seen it. And the one part of the movie that really stood out for me (and which I thought my buddies would appreciate) was the fight scene where Piper (Nada) tries to get actor Keith David to wear the “special” sunglasses:


“They Live (2/4) They Live Fight Scene – FULL (Explicit Language) (1988)”
YouTube Video

In my opinion, one of the best fight sequences ever to grace the “Silver Screen.” And my guests wholeheartedly agreed as well.

In 1992, the message that movie conveyed was somewhat lost on us meathead college boys (the beer certainly didn’t help either).

Some twenty-three years later, sans the alien bit, I can’t help but be a little creeped out by the resemblance between America of 2016 and Carpenter’s nightmarish setting:

The world as it really is: people being bombarded by media and government with messages like “Stay Asleep”, “No Imagination”, “Submit to Authority”…


“Newscasters Agree: A Christmas Present Or Two Or Ten Edition”
YouTube Video

Funny?

I don’t know about you, but that segment really started getting disturbing for me around the minute mark.

Live long and prosper… if you can.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: , , , , , ,

Quote For The Week

“One sure sign that things are getting crazy as we approach 2017, the Year from Political Hell, is that there are no recent reports of UFO sightings or abductions. Either the aliens left and said, “You people are crazy!” or perhaps the aliens replaced our leaders with those intent on destroying the society that they grew in pods. Either way, the future is looking really just off the wall to the point that even the UFOs have left town (lol).”

-Martin Armstrong (economist at Armstrong Economics and subject of the 2014 documentary The Forecaster, in a March 30 blog post on his company’s website

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: ,

Rich Dad Author Robert Kiyosaki: 2016 Market Meltdown ‘Right On Schedule’

The last time I blogged about Robert Kiyosaki, the American entrepreneur, educator, investor, and author of The New York Times best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad talked about precious metals in a January 27, 2016, GoldSeek.com Radio interview. From his exchange with host Chris Waltzek:

WALTZEK: People taking a longer-term perspective, picking up some precious metals. You get that diversification. You can sleep a little more soundly at night. And you also know that you’re getting silver at 66 percent off, gold 40-45 percent off the highs. So where’s the risk there?
KIYOSAKI: The risk is not having it. And that’s why I’m laughing about Saturday Night Live and I can’t tell Fox from Saturday Night Live because those guys are a bunch of cartoons up there now. And those are the guys you’re going to count on for your economy? Give me a break. I mean, right now I trust in gold and I trust in silver. I don’t trust the stock market. I don’t trust the Fed. I don’t trust our leaders. I don’t trust the EU to not come apart. You have Puerto Rico in serious trouble. I mean how many other things have you got out there? And you look at the national debt- it’s now $20 trillion. If you want to believe Saturday Night Live characters then you just keep believing. But I’d rather have gold and silver.

The author of the recently-released Second Chance: for Your Money, Your Life and Our World also informed listeners he got out of stocks “fully” last March.

Last week, I spotted a piece about Kiyosaki on MarketWatch.com. Barbara Kollmeyer reported on March 23:

Fourteen years ago, the author of a series of popular personal-finance books predicted that 2016 would bring about the worst market crash in history, damaging the financial dreams of millions of baby boomers just as they started to depend on that money to fund retirement.

Broader U.S. stock markets are recovering from the worst 10-day start to a year on record. But Robert Kiyosaki- who made that 2016 forecast in the 2002 book “Rich Dad’s Prophecy” – says the meltdown is under way, and there’s little investors can do but buy gold or silver and hope the Federal Reserve slows the slide.

Kiyosaki is convinced: The pullback he predicted is happening.

“We’re right on schedule,” he said in a recent interview with MarketWatch…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Kollmeyer added later:

Kiyosaki told MarketWatch that the combination of demographics and global economic weakness makes the next crash inevitable — but the Fed could stave it off with another round of quantitative easing, which might stimulate the economy…

“The big question [whether] we do ‘QE4,’” said Kiyosaki. “If we do, the stock market will come roaring back, but it’s not rocket science. If we stop printing money, it crashes; if we print money, it goes up. But, eventually, it’s all going to come down.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

To combat the crash, Kiyoski still places his trust in gold and silver, among other things. From the piece:

He thinks investors should own some gold or silver, based on the view that central banks will just have to print money to get out of the next crisis and precious metals are often deployed as a perceived hedge against inflation. Some investors, meanwhile, might look for investments geared toward income, such as rent payments or dividends, rather than appreciation.

“If you know what you’re doing and are investing for cash flow, baby boomers — or any investors — may see some gains,” he said. “But for those whose wealth is tied up in the [equity] markets, it’s more like gambling than investing.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

An excellent interview of Kiyosaki by MarketWatch, which you can read in its entirety over on their website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Quote For The Week

“The *establishment* composed of journos, BS-Vending talking heads with well-formulated verbs, bureaucrato-cronies, lobbyists-in training, New Yorker-reading semi-intellectuals, image-conscious empty suits, Washington rent-seekers and other ‘well thinking’ members of the vocal elites are not getting the point about what is happening and the sterility of their arguments. People are not voting for Trump (or Sanders). People are just voting, finally, to destroy the establishment.”

-March 7, 2016, Facebook post of Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, former trader, and risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb, whose seminal work The Black Swan helped inspire me to start warning others circa Memorial Day Weekend 2007 about coming economic upheaval and eventually a U.S. financial crash

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: , , , ,

Quote For The Week

“The question we now have to ask is if technologically it is possible to make an impenetrable device or system where the encryption is so strong that there is no key. There is no door at all. Then how do we apprehend the child pornographer? How do we solve or disrupt a terrorist plot? What mechanisms do we have available to even do simple things like tax enforcement? Because, if in fact you can’t crack that at all- government can’t get in- then everybody is walking around with a Swiss bank account in their pocket…”

-U.S. President Barack Obama, speaking at the South by Southwest (SXSW) festival on March 11, 2016

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Signs Of The Time, Part 96

This week’s “Signs Of The Time” post features an actual sign for once.

Widely-circulated on social media yesterday was this mock “motivational poster”:

Source: Facebook

Source: Facebook

ANY CHARACTER HERE

According to one conservative-leaning blog, the sign was spotted in Illinois.

No surprise there. If anyone “gets” socialism, it’s certainly the inhabitants of the “People’s Republic of Illinois,” right?

Sadly, I don’t think my “comrades” get it at all. But they will soon…

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: , , , , , ,

From My Other Blog: Jim Rogers, Martin Armstrong, And Jeff Thomas

The last couple of days I’ve published a few posts on a different blog of mine- Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes– which might interest Survival And Prosperity readers. They include:

“Jim Rogers: ‘All Investors, Wherever They Are, Should Have Some Assets Outside Of Their Own Country’”

In that same Sovereign Society interview of investor Jim Rogers I blogged about Wednesday, the former investing partner of George Soros emphasized the importance of geographical diversification with one’s assets

“Martin Armstrong Predicts U.S. Government Will Confiscate Gold If Traveling With It Domestically, Overseas”

Economist Martin Armstrong predicts that while an “official” gold confiscation program might not be announced/implemented, the federal government will slap restrictions on traveling at home/abroad with gold and may go so far as to make precious metals transactions in the U.S. illegal, opening the door to confiscation

“Related Reading: ‘Are Governments Running Out Of Candy?’ By Jeff Thomas”

Jeff Thomas, feature writer for Casey Research’s International Man and the Cayman Islands private vault Strategic Wealth Preservation, discussed how government “freebies” are drying up, the historical pattern of economic collapse when politicians are unable to raise more taxes/ borrow more money, and the three groups of victims in the general public from the crash – including the “Preparers”

Enjoy…

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Peter Schiff: ‘Economy May Be Entering A Period Of Stagflation’

“I think now you’re going to see big increases in consumer prices. Remember the stagflation of the 1970s. Except this is going to have a lot more stagnation and a lot more inflation. And unlike what Ronald Reagan did at the end of that decade to put out that fire, nothing like that is going to happen this time because we can’t do it. We don’t have the tools. We can’t raise interest rates to fight inflation no matter how high inflation rises because that’s how broke we are. The only things keeping our institutions afloat, including the federal government, is artificially-low interest rates. And the more debt we have, the more important those low interest rates are to maintain the illusion of solvency. So, inflation is going to keep on going up and that is going to cause a flight from the dollar…”

-Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, in a February 5, 2016, entry on The Schiff Report vlog on YouTube.com

“Stagflation.” The word sends a shiver down my spine. And while Peter Schiff’s mention of it earlier this month caught my attention, alarm bells were sounding when the “crash prophet” talked more about stagflation in his Euro Pacific Capital weekly commentary that was just released Monday. From that piece:

Many were largely caught off guard by the arrival last Friday (February 19th) of new inflation data from the Labor Department that showed that the core consumer price index (CPI) rose in January at a 2.2 % annualized rate, the highest in more than 4 years, well past the 2.0% benchmark that the Fed has supposedly been so desperately trying to reach. It was received as welcome news…

In the past I argued that even a tiny, symbolic, quarter point increase would be sufficient to prick the enormous bubble that eight years of stimulus had inflated. Early results show that I was likely right on that point. The truth is that the economy may be entering a period of “stagflation” in which very low (or even negative) growth is accompanied by rising prices. This creates terrible conditions for consumers whereby prices rise but incomes don’t. This leads to diminished living standards.

The recent uptick in inflation does not somehow invalidate all the other signs that have pointed to a rapidly decelerating economy. Just because inflation picks up does not mean that things are getting better. It actually means they are about to get a whole lot worse. Stagflation is in fact THE nightmare scenario for the Fed. If inflation catches fire now, the Fed will be completely incapable of controlling it. If a measly 25 basis point increase could inflict the kind of damage already experienced, imagine what would happen if the Fed made a real attempt to raise rates to get out in front of rising inflation? With growth already close to zero, a monetary shock of 1% or 2% rates could send us into a recession that could end up putting Donald Trump into the White House. The Fed would prefer that fantasy never become reality…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, went on to predict a dollar collapse, accelerating consumer price increases, and the U.S. Treasury bubble bursting with this scenario. A grim outlook, which you can read in its entirety on the Euro Pacific Capital website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

This Project Dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



Please Rate this Blog HERE

happyToSurvive

Advertising Disclosure here. "Code Needed"=Promo Code Found On Advertiser Website. Ad Captions Last Updated 4/18/16.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Remington Sale Ends 4/30
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Blade HQ Knives Blade HQ Review Coming Soon
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins Gold/Silver Sale, inc. Chinese Gold Pandas, 90% Silver Franklin Half Dollars (Singles/Rolls/Bags). BGASC Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault World's Largest Online Investment Gold Service & Part-Owned By World Gold Council. BullionVault.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Home Of "Survival Seed Vault" Premium Heirloom Survival Seeds. MyPatriotSupply.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Nitro-Pak--The Emergency Preparedness Leader Wise Foods Sale, Up To 50% Off; Mountain House Sale, Up To 35% Off; Warehouse & Clearance Sale, Up To 70% Off! Nitro-Pak Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Instant Upgrades! Up To $977.99 In Free Meals; Dehydrated Green Beans Up To 34% Off; Sampler Pack Now Only $25. Food Insurance Reviewed HERE.
Firefield Sale Ends 4/30
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Chief Supply Tactical Apparel and Gear for Law, Fire, EMS, Military and Outdoors @chief Tru-Spec 24/7 Series Pants 25% Off Thru 4/30; Free Bluetooth Speaker w/ Fatt Maxx 6"/8" Side-Zip Boots; 25% Off Propper Polo Shirts (Code Needed). CHIEF Supply Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
World's First Bulletproof Baseball Cap Only $129; Bulletproof Ceramic Plate (NIJ Level III Stand-Alone) Only $169; Bulletproof Backpack/Messenger Bag Panel Only $99. BulletSafe Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Firearm Training Alternatives (Airguns/Airsoft). PyramydAir.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
40% Off All Orders Thru 4/20 12 PM PST (Code Needed). Airsoft Megastore Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% 35% Off All "Deals Of The Week" Thru 4/18 (Code Needed). Paladin Press Reviewed HERE.
 

Categories

Archives

Prepper Website

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • London’s Sharps Pixley Launches Safe Deposit Box Service
    Back on January 20, I blogged about the opening of two new private, non-bank safe deposit box facilities in the United Kingdom. One of these was Sharps Pixley in London (England), which dates back to 1778 and is an original member of London’s twice-daily gold price fixing establishment. Earlier today while catching up on research […]
  • Spring Break
    I will be on my “spring break” from blogging on Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes after publishing this post. New material will appear again on the blog starting Monday, May 2. Thanks, Christopher E. Hill Editor
  • Ecuador President Announces One-Time Tax On Millionaires, Workers After Earthquake
    From an Associated Press article on the Fox News Latino website Thursday: President Rafael Correa announced Wednesday night that he is raising sales taxes and will charge a one-time levy on millionaires to rebuild cities devastated by Ecuador’s worst earthquake in decades… Using authority granted by the state of emergency he declared after Saturday night’s […]
  • The Safe House In Singapore
    More safe deposit box news out of Singapore. The Middle Ground, a news site covering that part of the world, ran an article back on March 31 about award-winning bullion dealer Silver Bullion and its subsidiary- The Safe House (TSH), a Singapore private, non-bank vault. Ryan Ong wrote: Silver Bullion is a company that owns […]
  • Bank Branches To Suffer ‘Dramatic Decline’ Over Next Decade?
    Have a safe deposit box at a local bank branch? You may be kissing it goodbye in the next couple of years. Niraj Chokshi reported on The Washington Post website Tuesday: That bank branch on the corner — and the one on the way to work — may not be there much longer. As technology […]