Insurance

Profitable Assets, Professions In Germany’s Hyperinflation Of The 1920s

Since I started being concerned back in 2004 about the prospect of a U.S. financial crash, I’ve been interested in reading about the everyday lives of the people who lived through economic collapses.

Why? Because I believe there are valuable lessons to be learned for what I think is coming down the road for us here in America.

I haven’t really come across any good Great Depression accounts yet (if you know of one- shoot me over a suggestion). But the other night, I happened to stumble upon a rather lengthy article on the website of Der Spiegel (Germany) that provided a great deal of insight of what went on in Germany during their devastating bout with hyperinflation in the 1920s. Alexander Jung even went so far as to identify the financial “winners” and “losers” during that period of time. Jung wrote back on August 14, 2009:

The only objects of real value were tangible assets: diamonds and coins, antiques, pianos and art. The works of contemporary artists like Lyonel Feininger, Paul Klee, Max Pechstein and Karl Schmidt-Rottluff were in especially high demand. And if you had foreign currency, you lived like a king

The stupid ones were those who had nest eggs: the thrifty, holders of government bonds, but primarily the country’s pensioners. In other words, those who received money without having to work for it, who lived on their pensions or the interest on their savings. Large sections of the middle classes saw themselves stripped of their assets, losing almost everything they had set aside for years. Banks, savings banks, and insurance companies suffered huge losses and were left with nothing but their paper money. As a result, they had to start the majority of their businesses from scratch in 1924.

By perverse contrast, the winners of the hyperinflation were those with massive debts; first and foremost the state, but also private individuals who had borrowed money to buy houses, construction land or farmland, and whose loans were slashed by the switch to the rentenmark.

Some industrialists made huge gains from the period of hyperinflation. Hugo Stinnes, whom Time magazine crowned “Germany’s new Kaiser,” built up an immense corporate empire comprising heavy industry, newspapers, ships and hotels — all based on a mountain of debt. As late as the summer of 1922, Stinnes was recommending that people continue capitalizing on “the weapon of inflation.” Indeed manufacturers and craftsmen in general profited from the crisis since they possessed plants and buildings — that is, tangible assets that outlived the currency switch.

Most farmers also did extremely well. “They had money to burn, and spent it willy-nilly,” writer Lion Feuchtwanger recalled. Some bought themselves entire stables of racehorses, others expensive cars. “Farmer Greindlberger drove from the grimy village street of Englschalking to Munich in an elegant limousine complete with a liveried chauffeur, while he himself was dressed in a brown velvet jacket and a green chamois-tufted hat,” Feuchtwanger wrote of the rural rich…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

That last bit about farmers buying expensive cars reminds me of what “crash prophet” Jim Rogers has been telling anyone who will listen:

The farmers are going to be driving Lamborghinis and Maseratis.

Anyway, the quote doesn’t do the piece justice. I recommend you read the entire article on the Der Spiegel site here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Los Angeles Named In Top 10 Most Risky Cities List

Speaking of U.S. metropolitan areas I’d be uncomfortable living in due to some significant threat to life, limb, and property, anyone hear about that overall top 10 most risky cities list just put out by the world’s second-largest reinsurance company, Swiss Reinsurance Company Ltd (Swiss Re)? Chris Michael reported on the website of The Guardian (UK) earlier today:

What are the world’s riskiest cities when it comes to natural disasters? For the insurance industry it seems an ever-more urgent question, so last year one reinsurance company set out to assess 616 cities around the world for their risk of earthquake, hurricanes and cyclones, storm surge, river flooding and tsunami. Here are Swiss Re’s overall top 10 most risky cities…

I’m not going to steal the British newspaper’s thunder here, but get a load of number 9 on Swiss Re’s list:

9) Los Angeles, United States: Its location on the San Andreas Fault makes Los Angeles one of the most earthquake-prone cities – although not as vulnerable to tsunami as might be expected. Subduction zones, where oceanic plates dive underneath the continental crust, generally create much larger tsunamis than so-called “strike-slip” faults such as the San Andreas and Northern Anatolian faults. Small comfort to the 14.7 million residents of the area threatened by earthquake…


“KTLA St Patricks Day Earthquake 3/17/2014”
YouTube Video

While an L.A. megaquake would definitely suck, I’ve been hearing more concern lately about a similar threat much further up the coast- which I’ll blog about in the coming days.

In the meantime, you can view the rest of the list here on The Guardian website.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Tuesday, March 25th, 2014 Insurance, Natural Disasters No Comments

JM Bullion Presale Of 2014 American Silver Eagles

I received the following e-mail yesterday afternoon from one of my affiliate marketing partners- JM Bullion (reviewed here). The online retailer of physical gold and silver products is having a presale of 2014-dated American Silver Eagle silver bullion coins. From their e-mail:

Our presale of the 2014 American Silver Eagle continues today, and this collector favorite will begin to ship as early as January 26th. The American Silver Eagle remains the most popular seller among silver coin bullion products, and is a must have for any serious collector. The coin has been minted for 27 years and arrives in brand new condition straight from the US Mint. The Silver Eagle coin is legal tender in the United States with a $1 face value.

Be sure to take advantage of our special pricing today, with silver spot on the move this morning (down $0.41 at the time of this posting) and prices as low as $3.29 over spot. Additionally, enjoy free shipping on all your orders at JM Bullion. Certain PO Box, APO, HI, AK exclusions apply…

Silver Eagle Coin
U.S. Silver Eagle Coin

Free shipping on all JM Bullion orders? Nice.

I just checked their website, and the presale is still going on. But the 2014 Silver Eagles won’t begin shipping now until January 27.

As I type this Wednesday evening, the .999 fine one ounce silver bullion coins start at $24.04 (bank wire/paper check) or $25.00 if using a credit card.

Interesting in obtaining one or more of these 2014-dated silver bullion coins at low prices and with free shipping in most cases? Click on the banner ad below, where you’ll be taken to the JM Bullion website. Please note that by clicking on the ad and purchasing a product, I receive a commission from the sale.

JM Bullion

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Pandemic Tops Global Insurance Executive Rankings Of ‘Extreme’ Risks To Their Industry

Here’s an interesting piece I stumbled upon this morning while searching for some pandemic-related material out in cyberspace. Caitlin Bronson reported on the website of Insurance Business (America) this morning:

A global pandemic, a widespread natural disaster and a food/water/energy crisis are the top three extreme risks threatening the insurance industry in the near future, a Towers Watson survey of global insurance industry executives reveals.

The survey—part of Towers Watson’s biennial analysis Extreme Risks—asked more than 30,000 top executives to rate very rare events that would have a large impact on global economic growth and the insurance sector.

In addition to health, weather and technological risks, the insurance executives also saw financial disasters as having a large role to play in the future of the insurance industry. An economic depression, a banking crisis and a default by a major sovereign borrower were all listed in the executives’ top 10 concerns…

It’s a short, insightful read (I wonder if the insurance industry is any good at forecasting major crises/disasters?), and the article can be viewed in its entirety on the Insurance Business (America) website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Jim Rogers: ‘Everybody Should Own Some Precious Metals As An Insurance Policy’

The well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers was recently interviewed by the Burbank, California-based Birch Gold Group. I was reading a transcript dated November 12 of the discussion he had with Rachel Mills of the precious metals company when I spotted the following comment the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests made about gold and silver and the important role they can play in protecting wealth. From their exchange:

MILLS: So what advice would you give someone who as of yet has no precious metals in their portfolio right now?

ROGERS: Well, everybody should own some precious metals as an insurance policy. So if they don’t have any right now, I would urge them to go buy something, buy themselves a gold coin if nothing else, and see that it’s not going to hurt. It won’t hurt you to buy the first gold coin, the first silver coin, and from that you start accumulating as your own situation dictates.

First, do your homework, don’t buy gold because you heard me say it or even because you hear you say it. But if people don’t own they should start after they have done their homework. And then they will probably, if they do their homework, most people will then realize, “Oh my gosh, I better have insurance, and gold and silver may get me through serious problems ahead.”

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

In all the time I’ve been following Jim Rogers closely (9 years), I don’t recall him ever being so adamant about gold and silver being used for insurance purposes.

A good interview which you can read/listen to here on the Birch Gold Group website.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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ObamaCare Killed My Health Insurance Plan

From a letter I received in the mail this afternoon from my health insurance provider:

Changes are coming to the health insurance marketplace… The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is changing health insurance… You’ll need to enroll in a plan that includes all ACA requirements. We’ll give you information to help you choose a new plan.

Translation: ObamaCare killed your health insurance plan, Mr. Hill. Now go find another plan.

Which sucks, because it was a good plan that I worked really hard to find, and it was incredibly-reasonable in terms of cost. Dirt-cheap actually.

I’ve seen the projected costs of a new health insurance plan for me, and I think it’s pretty safe to say having to enroll “in a plan that includes all ACA requirements” is going to cost me a lot more than what I’m currently paying for such insurance.

“Hope and Change.” Change will be all that’s left in these pockets pretty soon.


“36 Times Obama Said You Could Keep Your Health Care Plan”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Friday, November 8th, 2013 Government, Health, Insurance, Political Parties 2 Comments

Marc Faber: ‘The Endgame Is A Total Collapse’

Last Wednesday “Doctor Doom” Marc Faber was on Bloomberg Television’s daily business program Street Smart via phone from Thailand. Host Trish Regan had a number of questions for the Swiss-born investment advisor and fund manager in the wake of the Federal Reserve not “tapering” its stimulus program. From their exchange:

REGAN: Is this the unintended consequence you think of all this money printing, and what’s the end game?
FABER: Well, the endgame is a total collapse, but from a higher diving board. The Fed will continue to print and if the stock market goes down 10%, they’ll print even more. And they don’t know anything else to do. And quite frankly, they have boxed themselves into a corner where they are now kind of desperate.

Later on, Regan asked the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report about gold. From the discussion:

REGAN: Any predictions on gold prices?
FABER: Well, I always buy gold and I own gold. I don’t even value it. I regard it as an insurance policy. I think responsible citizens should own gold, period. But I think eventually it will go up, yes.


“Marc Faber- We are in ‘QE Unlimited’”
Bloomberg Video

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Peter Schiff: U.S. Will Experience Cyprus ‘Bail-In’

Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital CEO/Chief Global Strategist, talked about the proposed Cyprus “bail-in” despite Cyrpiot bank accounts having deposit insurance in his March 18 entry on The Schiff Report YouTube video blog. Schiff, who correctly-called the 2008 global economic crisis and U.S. housing bust, warned viewers:

You know, ultimately, the same thing is going to happen in the United States. We’ve got deposit insurance here in America. But eventually, we’re going to be faced with a similar problem. When interest rates rise, and big banks fail, the FDIC doesn’t have the money for a bailout. And, if the Fed is tightening, the Treasury doesn’t have the money to bail anybody out. So, we’re going to be in the same situation.

Schiff sees the Cyprus fiasco as being bullish for gold. He added yesterday:

I think, first of all, that this is a very positive development for gold. Now, the reason for that is that bank deposits are at risk. And if you think your money is at risk in a bank and you pull it out, what are you going to do with it? Well, putting it in gold is a great alternative. In fact, if you had euros deposited in a Cyprus bank, now you’ve lost about 10 percent, close to 10 percent of the value of those deposits, or 10 percent of your euros. But if you had gold in a safety deposit box in a Cyprus bank, you haven’t lost an ounce. So the people who have gold are whole, and those who have euros, or other currencies you had on deposit, but they’ve had a loss. So this highlights the safe haven aspect of gold.


“Insured Bank Deposits At Risk, America Burns While Obama Golfs”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Illinois House To Vote On Gun ‘Control’ Amendments Tuesday

While Colorado will be getting the lion’s share of attention today concerning gun “control,” Democrats in the Illinois House of Representatives, led by speaker Michael Madigan, will push Tuesday for more restrictions on firearms here in the “Land of Lincoln.” From the National Rifle Association Institute for Legislative Action website last night:

Illinois: Anti-Gun Politicians Continue Attempts to Ram Gun Control Scheme Through State House

A Vote is Imminent – Contact your state Representative NOW!

As previously reported by the NRA-ILA, House Speaker Mike Madigan continues to force votes on dozens of amendments filed on shell bills in an effort to build his own omnibus gun control bill. Due to Madigan’s trickery and forceful behavior, votes on these amendments have been too close for comfort. House Bills 1155 and 1156 are some of the bills being used as vehicles, and have recently had extreme anti-gun amendments filed on them.

At this time, the list of amendments to these two bills is growing by the minute and contains everything from forcing gun owners to buy $1 million liability insurance and imposing severe restrictions on future Right-to-Carry laws by mandating location restrictions and multiple licenses, to bans on commonly owned semi-automatic firearms and standard capacity magazines. You can view amendments added to HB1156 here and amendments to HB1155 here.

Among others, Amendment 12 to HB 1156 was just filed and would make it unlawful for anyone in Illinois to possess a magazine capable of accepting – and any magazine that could be converted to accept – more than ten rounds. This would effectively ban ALL commonly owned magazines. This issue was defeated last week by only a narrow margin – so it is important that your state Representative understand that a YES vote on Amendment 12 is an unacceptable violation of your rights!

Time is of the essence: These anti-gun amendments will be voted on in the state House TOMORROW and anti-gun politicians are turning up the heat to get your state Representative to vote against your Second Amendment rights in Springfield. Urge your state Representative to stand strong in the face of these deceptive tactics and vote to protect YOUR Second Amendment rights! The House floor votes are close, so every call AND e-mail to your state Representative will make a difference.

Remind your state Representative that he or she represents you! Call AND e-mail them NOW. Don’t let them get away with punishing law-abiding citizens for the acts of criminals!

Contact information for your state Representative can be found here.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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GAO: ObamaCare Could Add $6.2 Trillion To Long-Term Federal Deficit

Here’s another headline-worthy story you may not hear/ready about in the mainstream media. Andrew Stiles reported on the National Review blog The Corner earlier this week:

Obamacare will increase the long-term federal deficit by $6.2 trillion, according to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report released today.

Senator Jeff Sessions (R., Ala.), who requested the report, revealed the findings this morning at a Senate Budget Committee hearing. The report, he said, “confirms everything critics and Republicans were saying about the faults of this bill,” and “dramatically proves that the promises made assuring the nation that the largest new entitlement program in history would not add one dime to the deficit were false.”

President Obama and other Democrats attempted to win support for the health-care bill by touting it as a fiscally responsible enterprise. “I will not sign a plan that adds one dime to our deficits — either now or in the future,” Obama told a joint-session of Congress in September 2009. “I will not sign it if it adds one dime to the deficit, now or in the future, period.”

You can read Stiles’s entire February 26 post on his blog here.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Illinois Could Have Nearly $22 Billion In Unpaid Bills By FY 2018

It’s been a while since I last blogged about the Civic Federation, an independent, non-partisan government research organization that provides analysis and recommendations on government finance issues for the Chicago region and State of Illinois. In late September 2011, the Chicago-based organization had just released its analysis of the enacted FY 2012 State of Illinois budget, and noted the financially-challenged state was expected to end the year with over $8 billion in unpaid bills from vendors, local governments, and others (related to business tax refunds, employee and retiree health care and Medicaid).

Over $8 billion in unpaid bills.

Fast forward to today. From a Civic Federation press release Monday:

Illinois’ Unpaid Bill Backlog Projected to Reach $22 Billion by FY2018

State urgently needs long-term plan to address rising pension and Medicaid costs, loss of income tax revenues

(CHICAGO) – An analysis released today by the Civic Federation’s Institute for Illinois’ Fiscal Sustainability shows the State of Illinois is on track to accumulate nearly $22 billion in unpaid bills by FY2018 unless action is taken to curb rising pension costs and plan for increases in the Medicaid program…

“Nearly $22 billion in unpaid bills.”

Illinois residents, get ready to bust out your wallets.

You can read the entire Civic Federation press release here.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Illinois State Rifle Association: Chicago Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy ‘Crosses The Line’

ISRA: Chicago Police Superintendent McCarthy Crosses The Line (via PR Newswire)

SPRINGFIELD, Ill., Feb. 17, 2013 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ –The following was released today by the Illinois State Rifle Association (ISRA): Chicago’s embattled police superintendent dug himself deeper into a pit of controversy today by claiming that lawful firearm owners are agents of political corruption…

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By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Illinois’ Total Unfunded Liabilities: $275 Billion

The following bit about Illinois’ total unfunded liabilities from a January 28 Investor’s Business Daily editorial was so depressing to read that I originally planned to blog about it much earlier this morning- but needed to step away. From the IBD website:

A recent release by the Illinois Policy Institute shows this [$96.8 billion unfunded debt to five state pension systems] is only the tip of the iceberg and when you add in other liabilities such as $54 billion in unfunded liabilities for retiree health insurance and $15 billion in pension bonds that Gov. Pat Quinn and his immediate predecessor, former Gov. Rod Blagojevich, issued to avoid pension reform, Illinois’ total unfunded liabilities amount to $275 billion, or $58,000 in debt for each and every household in the state.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

So what’s it going to be, Illinois? Since a booming economy seems unlikely to return anytime soon, will the Democrat-dominated Illinois General Assembly finally enact significant spending cuts? Raise fees and taxes through the roof? Throw public sector retirees “under the bus?”

They’re going to have to do something real quick.

Or watch the whole thing unravel.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

“Obama’s Illinois Downgrade Makes It America’s Greece.” Investor’s Business Daily. 28 Jan. 2013. (http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/012813-642237-credit-downgrade-illinois-standard-poors-worst.htm). 31 Jan. 2013.

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Marc Faber: ‘You Need A Farm’

One last post before I leave you go for the week (got to my Chicago pad too late from Wisconsin last night to squeeze it in).

This past Tuesday I blogged about “Doctor Doom” Marc Faber and his talk about a systemic crisis.

Well, I had heard the Swiss-born investment adviser/fund manager, who became famous for advising clients to get out of the U.S. stock market one week before the October 1987 crash and for predicting the 2008 global financial crisis, had recently recommended Americans buy a farm once again in anticipation of such a collapse.

The publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report appeared on the CNBC TV show Squawk Box on September 6, 2012. From Dr. Faber’s exchange with co-anchor Joe Kernen:

KERNEN: I’m seeing you say a global- I hope I don’t overstate it- a global depression. A global depression is on the horizon. I don’t know if I’d call it imminently, but, I think… no?
FABER: I said that eventually the financial system will go broke. And that we would have a systemic crisis. But I didn’t say tomorrow. I said it could happen in 3 years, or 5, or 10 years time. And before it happens there will be much more money printing. So theoretically, when it happens, the Dow Jones could be at 100,000 and maybe at 1 million. Who knows? It depends on how much money you print.
KERNEN: Alright, that would still be something- 3 years, 5 years, 10 years- that would still be something that sounds really disruptive to me. And I don’t know how you prepare for it, whether, I guess, you need- I would think you need guns and gold- if that’s really coming, Marc. Food.
FABER: You need a farm. You need a farm, and you have to train yourself not to depend on the Internet and mobile phones and so forth and so on. Because when it happens, it could happen because of a cyber attack that would trigger such an event or any kind of other act of warfare. But we have to prepare for that. It’s like you have an insurance. I don’t carry insurance policies, but say, you have insurance for all kinds of eventualities, and so people who can afford, they should have insurance for that day when it will happen.


“More Gloom From Mr. Doom: ‘You Need A Farm’
CNBC Video

“But we have to prepare for that.”

Sounds like Dr. Faber would think highly of prepping.

Have a great weekend everyone.

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New Demographic Data For Chicago Released

New demographic data for Chicago has been released by the U.S. Census Bureau- and it’s enlightening. From the Census Bureau’s “Newsroom” yesterday:

Chicago’s Household Income at $43,628 in 2011, American Community Survey Shows

The median household income in Chicago was $43,628 in 2011, compared with the national figure of $50,502, according to statistics released today from the 2011 American Community Survey by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition, 20.4 percent of people in Chicago did not have health insurance coverage, compared with 15.1 percent nationally. A selected profile of Chicago appears below, including statistics on education, housing and the foreign-born population.

“The American Community Survey provides a wide range of important statistics about our nation’s people, housing and economy for all communities in the country – including Chicago,” said Thomas Mesenbourg, the Census Bureau’s acting director. “The results are used by everyone from retailers, homebuilders and police departments, to town and city planners.”

The survey is the only source of local estimates for most of the 40 topics it covers, such as educational attainment, housing, employment, commuting, language spoken at home, nativity, ancestry and selected monthly homeowner costs down to the smallest communities.

Other selected highlights for Chicago:

Education

• In 2011, 50.1 percent of the preschool age population was enrolled in school, which was not significantly
different from 47.4 percent in the nation as a whole.
• Among Chicago’s 25-and-older population, 80.7 percent completed high school or more, compared with 85.9 percent in the nation as a whole.
• Meanwhile, 33.5 percent of the 25-and-older population had a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared with 28.5 percent nationally.

Housing

In 2011, the median value for an owner-occupied home was $228,300. In the nation as a whole, the value was $173,600.
• In 2011, the median gross rent (rent plus utilities) was $905, compared with $871 in the nation as a whole.

Foreign-Born Population

• About 21.4 percent of people in Chicago were foreign-born, compared with 13.0 percent in the nation as a whole.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

Median household income several thousand dollars below the national average.

Yet median value for owner-occupied homes more than $50,000 above the national average.

And today it’s being reported that unemployment across Illinois rose to 9.1 percent in August, the third straight month of increases in the state.

I wonder if more storm clouds aren’t on the horizon for residential real estate in the “Windy City?”

You can find out more information about the American Community Survey on the Census Bureau’s website here.

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Christopher E. Hill, Editor
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