Preparedness

Northwest Indiana Preparedness And Self-Reliance Expo This Saturday

As I blogged before, the writing is on the wall for Chicago, Cook County, and Illinois. As I see it, economic and social conditions are going to get significantly more challenging than they already are. While terrific alternative media sites like Second City Cop chronicle the unraveling and offer up valuable intel, I’ll be disseminating more information going forward for local blog readers which may help in learning and developing skills for surviving and prospering in these uncertain times. For example, there’s a free preparedness and self-reliance expo scheduled to take place this Saturday at the American Museum of Military Vehicles in Crown Point, Indiana. From the website of Live Free, USA- billed as “one of the oldest and most respected survival/self-reliance advocacy organizations in the world”:

NW Indiana Prepares
Saturday, September 20th 10:00 Am to 5:00 Pm
EXHIBITS PRESENTATIONS HANDS ON LEARNING

All presentations will take place inside our spacious tent.
Food and drink will be available for purchase.

Presentations Planned Include:

Aquaponics / Hydroponics Indoor Farming
Beekeeping
BOB’s (Bug out Bags)
The 5 C’s of Survival
Campfire Cooking
Poultry Farming
Herbs “God’s” Pharmacy
Health and Wellness: Home made salves and ointments
Survival Shotgun Basics
Black Powder demonstration

Hands on Training:

Archery Lessons
NRA Certified Range Master offers Firearm Instruction with BB & Airsoft Guns
Just Added: Three strikes Of The Match!
Presented by volunteers from Liberty Seed, in affiliation with the Revolutionary War Veterans Association!
Hear the true stories of April 19, 1775, the day our nation was born! The story will be presented in three thirty minute segments; 11 Am – 1 Pm – 3 Pm

It will not be the story you think you know, or the story you heard in school. It will be the real story, the story that historians have discovered, the story of the first day of the American Revolution.

April 19th was a day of choices, and these are the stories of real people who knew the cost of freedom and were willing to pay the price.

The Revolutionary War Veterans Association is committed to teaching our early American heritage. They do this for one simple reason, the skill and knowledge of what our founding fathers left to us is eroding in modern America and without deliberate action, they will be lost to ignorance and apathy.

To reserve a primitive camp site or vendor space
Please contact Beth Duensing for vendor and presentation information 219-226-3400 or e-mail NWIFamilyPrep-info@yahoo.com
Click Below For Printable Flyer (PDF)
NWI Prepares Sept. 20, 2014

Sounds interesting. But more importantly, sounds informative- with some potentially-valuable information and new skills that could be taken away from it.

For more info about the free prepper/survivalist event, either pull up that flyer or go to the Live Free, USA, website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Wednesday, September 17th, 2014 How To, Preparedness, Training No Comments

Latest On Strong Geomagnetic Storm Possibly Hitting Earth

Last night I blogged about the Sun unleashing an X-class solar flare in the direction of our planet, and the potential for a strong geomagnetic storm due to a “likely” coronal mass ejection (CME) accompanying the flare.

Here’s the latest from the NOAA/NWS Space Weather Prediction Center about the likelihood of severe space weather in the coming days. From their website this morning:

2014-09-11 05:01 UTC A Pair of CMEs

G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms remain in the forecast for September 12th as a result of the coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with the R1 (Minor) solar flare observed on the 9th. The latest WSA-Enlil model run has the CME associated with yesterday’s R3 (Strong) solar flare arriving mid to late day on that same day. A G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm Watch has been issued for September 13th due to the combined influence of these two events with G1 (Minor) storming anticipated to continue into September 14th. In addition, the S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm that is in progress as a result of the eruption yesterday is expected to persist for the next few days. Keep in mind that the forecast periods listed are in Universal Time so aurora watchers in the northern U.S. should be looking for possible activity both Thursday and Friday nights. Stay tuned for updates…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Okay, so the SWPC is predicting “G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms” for Friday, September 12, and issuing a “G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm Watch” for Saturday, September 13.

According to the “NOAA Space Weather Scales” web page under “NOAA Space Weather Scale for Geomagnetic Storms,” G2 (“Moderate”) storms are characterized by the following:

Power systems: high-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms, long-duration storms may cause transformer damage.

Spacecraft operations: corrective actions to orientation may be required by ground control; possible changes in drag affect orbit predictions.

Other systems: HF radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes, and aurora has been seen as low as New York and Idaho (typically 55° geomagnetic lat.)**.

As for G3 (“Strong”) geomagnetic storms:

Power systems: voltage corrections may be required, false alarms triggered on some protection devices.

Spacecraft operations: surface charging may occur on satellite components, drag may increase on low-Earth-orbit satellites, and corrections may be needed for orientation problems.

Other systems: intermittent satellite navigation and low-frequency radio navigation problems may occur, HF radio may be intermittent, and aurora has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon (typically 50° geomagnetic lat.)**.

The damage from a G2 or G3 geomagnetic storm doesn’t appear to be too significant. G4 (“Severe”) geomagnetic storm events look like the ones we should be worried about:

Power systems: possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems will mistakenly trip out key assets from the grid…

The folks over at the Space Weather Prediction Center seem to think electrical grids aren’t in any real danger from this latest bout of severe space weather. Doyle Rice reported on the USA Today website this morning:

Major disruptions are not expected, even though the flare was classified as an “X-class” flare, which is at the high end of the solar flare scale. Wednesday’s flare followed a weaker flare late Monday.

“We expect geomagnetic storm levels in the G2 (moderate) and G3 (strong) range,” said NOAA space weather forecaster Bill Murtagh.

“G2-G3 geomagnetic storms can cause some problems for the (power) grid but are typically very manageable,” Murtagh said in an e-mail Thursday morning. “We may also see some anomalies with satellites so satellite operators around the world have been notified. And problems with the accuracy of GPS have been observed with this level of storming.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Rice added later:

The worst of the energetic particles streaming from the sun likely will miss Earth this time…

Did the Earth just “dodge a bullet” from the Sun? Guess we’ll know for sure after the weekend.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Rice, Doyle. “Solar storm heading for Earth.” USA Today. 11 Sep. 2014. (http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/09/10/solar-flare-space-weather/15415827/). 11 Sep. 2014.

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13th Anniversary Of 9/11

“Dozens of students at George Washington University were unaware of the anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in recent interviews, while they were able to name celebrities involved in the nude photo scandal last week…”

-The Daily Caller website, September 10, 2014

Lest we forget…


“WTC Attack September 11, 2001 from New York Police Helicopter”
Warning: Language
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Chicago Preparing For Potential 9/11 Anniversary Terrorism?

I’m back. And just in time for the 13th anniversary of the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

While I haven’t come across anything (yet?) from the feds about any specific terrorist threats related to tomorrow, I see New York City is ramping up “intelligence gathering and visibility.”

Good for them. I’ve come to believe NYC (in particular, One World Trade Center aka Freedom Tower) and Washington, D.C., are primary targets for the Muslim extremists.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Chicago is a target as well. After all, Al-Qaeda has reportedly mentioned the city as being one. I blogged back on May 6, 2011:

After receiving today’s marching orders at their place of employment, a number of Chicagoans are settling down at their desks this morning and reading on the Chicago Tribune website:

Some of the first information gleaned from Osama bin Laden’s compound indicates al-Qaida considered attacking U.S. trains on the upcoming anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks. But counterterrorism officials say they believe the planning never got beyond the initial phase and have no recent intelligence pointing to an active plot for such an attack.

As of February 2010, the terror organization was considering plans to attack the U.S. on the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. CNN reports that al-Qaida was particularly interested in striking Washington, New York, Los Angeles and Chicago.

Sounds like Chicago’s Al-Qaeda’s kind of town, right?

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I’ve heard an Al-Qaeda expert or two say the group is big on “celebrating” anniversaries. Along with that purported Islamic State Twitter post with a photo of the Old Republic Building at 307 North Michigan Avenue in downtown Chicago, one might think the City of Chicago, like New York City, would take precautions around 9/11/14.

If they are, major local news outlets aren’t reporting it from what I can tell. I just visited a number of MSM news websites a short time ago and didn’t see a thing. No news releases from the City of Chicago or its Office of Emergency Management and Communications either.

Now, that’s not to say the “Windy City” isn’t preparing for a potential terror attack. I’d like to think the City of Chicago and Chicago Police Department are taking a page out of the New York Police Department’s playbook when it comes to 9/11 anniversaries. Collen Long of the Associated Press reported yesterday:

New York Police Commissioner William Bratton said the department is prepared.

“We will, as always, ramp up intelligence gathering and visibility,” Bratton said. That means thousands of officers in specialized teams, bomb-sniffing dogs who can detect not only the scent of a bomb but the vapors of a moving target, undercover officers and teams of police using radioactive detection devices and other high-tech tools.

Intelligence officers around the globe will be reporting in regularly and monitoring events around the world. If something happens in Gaza, it’s instantly felt in New York because of the large Jewish and Palestinian populations.

“Things ricochet real quick here,” said intelligence chief Thomas Galati…

Too much to hope for considering the current state of affairs in the CPD?

I understand a new Gallup poll is out showing Americans still aren’t concerned about terrorism these days despite the recent emergence of the Islamic State and what looks to be a competition between it and Al-Qaeda to see who can land a major blow against the American homeland first.

I cringe to think such indifference runs rampant among Chicagoans and their leaders too.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Long, Collen. “NYPD says terror threat more complex than ever: ‘It is layer upon layer upon layer’” Associated Press. 9 Sep. 2014. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/sep/9/nypd-terror-threat-more-complex-than-ever/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS). 10 Sep. 2014.

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The Coming Major Terrorist Attack On The U.S.

I read a disturbing piece on TheBlaze.com yesterday morning about the coming anniversary of 9/11. Sara Carter reported:

U.S. intelligence has picked up increased chatter among Islamist terror networks approaching the 13th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks and amid the continuing battle for supremacy between Al Qaeda and the Islamic State, current and former U.S. officials told TheBlaze.

“We’ve noticed a significant increase in chatter among Islamic terrorist organizations overseas both on the Internet and phone lines,” said a U.S. government official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak on the matter. “This is certainly concerning, but as of yet we can’t pinpoint what or if they are planning a particular attack. We did see this kind of increase in chatter before the September 11 attacks. We just hope the public continues to remain vigilant.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“We just hope the public continues to remain vigilant.”

As do I. Regular readers of Survival And Prosperity may recall that prior to the last few anniversaries of 9/11 , I blogged about the need for continued vigilance in the face of possible major terrorist attacks on the U.S. by an enemy who I think is not as impotent as this White House would like you to believe.

Thankfully, that vigilance hasn’t been called into play. Yet.

Personally, I believe the threat of a significant terrorist operation launched against America not only still remains, but has grown, due to a tussle between Al-Qaeda and the newly-minted Islamic State.

Once Osama bin Laden was killed, a new leader took the helm of the terrorist group. I wrote back on June 28, 2011:

Recent suggestions that Al-Qaeda is on the run and that their new leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri, is “a bit of a loser,” as a source close to the Obama administration has called him (source: The Telegraph)- in conjunction with those recent setbacks suffered by Al-Qaeda- may motivate the Egyptian surgeon to push for a major attack against the United States and/or its allies as soon as possible. With all its symbolism and accompanying celebrations, the Fourth of July weekend could have significant appeal for Al-Qaeda and al-Zawahiri to not only strike a blow against the United States, but dispel doubts over the operational capabilities of the terrorist organization and the leadership abilities of al-Zawahiri right from the get-go.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

That July 4 came and went. As did other major U.S. holidays and “desirable” occasions ripe for an Al-Qaeda strike. When it comes to putting on a visible display of leadership, it’s pretty much been an epic fail for al-Zawahiri to date.

In the meantime, concern about such an attack has waned significantly. I blogged back on September 10, 2012:

Al-Qaeda is like the Rodney Dangerfield of terrorist organizations these days- can’t get no respect. Look at these recent headlines on some mainstream media websites:

“Terror takes back seat; Americans safer now”
-From the Associated Press on Yahoo! News, September 8, 2012

“Never have so few been able to frighten so many”
-Philly.com (joint project of The Philadelphia Inquirer and The Philadelphia Daily News, September 9, 2012)

“On anniversary of 9/11, fear is present but not all-consuming”
-The Boston Globe, September 10, 2012

There’s even this out of Hong Kong:

“Americans stop fretting about the threat of terrorism”
-South China Morning Post, September 10, 2012

I added:

I loathe Al-Qaeda as much as any other American. But let’s not call the outcome of the game (Al-Qaeda is now kaput) while it’s still in the early innings, as the next generation of terrorists- inspired by the American response and presence in the Middle East after 9/11- start to replace their predecessors who have been captured, incapacitated, and killed.

That “next generation” is still being molded. However, a different group of Muslim extremists have rapidly emerged on the jihadist scene and pose a serious threat to the United States and its allies. Terry Atlas and A.R. Lakshmanan reported on Bloomberg.com on August 14:

The radical Islamic State’s advances in Iraq are strengthening its challenge to al-Qaeda in a contest for the leadership of the global jihadi movement, according to five U.S. intelligence officials.

Its territorial gains and declaration of a caliphate spanning parts of Syria and Iraq, reinforced by its use of social media to broadcast its accomplishments in many languages, are attracting recruits and even drawing defections from the leadership of the core al-Qaeda group and some affiliates, the officials told reporters at a briefing yesterday. They spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence assessments.

The U.S. intelligence community thinks the Islamic State has an incentive to conduct a major terrorist strike against U.S. or European targets, in part to further assert itself as the true leader of radical Islam , the officials said…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Much of the mainstream media is playing up the threat to the U.S. from the Islamic State. Personally, I’m more concerned about Al-Qaeda beating them to the punch. I’ve already talked about Ayman al-Zawahiri needing to establish his “street cred.” But the emergence of the other band of terrorists formerly known as ISIS (the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria) or ISIL (the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) puts even more pressure, I suspect, for bin Laden’s standard bearers to carry out a successful major operation against the U.S. homeland, and with haste. Going back to that piece on TheBlaze.com, Carter added:

“The threat is two-fold because ISIS is in war with core Al Qaeda,” former CIA case officer Brian Fairchild said. “ISIS was kicked out of Al Qaeda in February and they’ve been fighting each other internally for leadership. ISIS is winning right now. They have captured the imagination of young Muslims from around the world and depriving Al Qaeda of its own fighters. Al Qaeda is split down the middle and now you have 9/11 [anniversary approaching]. It would be beneficial to both camps that on 9/11, some great attack in the United States takes place. It’s certainly a serious consideration because they are both vying for primacy.”

(Editor: Bold added for emphasis)

Who knows if either group is planning a 9/11/14 attack. But the motivation looks to be there. From what I know about the Islamic State, they’re more “shoot from the hip.” For Al-Qaeda, it’s all about patience and careful planning/preparation. I suspect the caliphate will eventually get around to attacking the U.S. homeland, if operationally-capable. But if bin Laden’s followers had anything already in the works, should they have the ability to carry it out, I fear they’ll speed things up to land the next major blow to the homeland. It seems to me they have more at stake here by letting the upstarts beat them to the punch. It would be disastrous for al-Zawahiri’s already-precarious leadership and the movement’s ability to attract and retain jihadists.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Sources:

Carter, Sara. “U.S. Officials Say ‘Significant Increase’ in Jihadi Chatter Ahead of 9/11 Anniversary.” TheBlaze.com. 27 Aug. 2014. (http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/08/27/u-s-officials-say-significant-increase-in-jihadi-chatter-ahead-of-911-anniversary/). 28 Aug. 2014.

Atlas, Terry and Lakshmanan, A.R. “ Islamic State Militants Said to Challenge Al-Qaeda for Jihadi Leadership.” Bloomberg.com. 14 Aug. 2014. (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-15/islamic-state-militants-said-to-challenge-al-qaeda-for-jihadi-leadership.html). 28 Aug. 2014.

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Retired General And FOX News Analyst: ‘We May Even See On 9/11/14 MH370 Resurface Again’

On Monday, I learned retired United States Air Force Lieutenant General and FOX News military analyst Thomas McInerney had issued a dire warning regarding terrorism directed against the United States. The former commander of the 11th Air Force appeared on the FOX News Channel last Saturday, and told viewers:

On the 7th of September, a major news network and a major publishing network are going to put out a book, and it’s going to be earth-shattering of what’s happening and what happened. And, the fact is, we may even see on 9/11/14 MH370 resurface again. We should be prepared for anything. We should go to DEFCON 1- which is our highest state of readiness- and be prepared as we lead up to 9/11.

When pressed for more details about that September 7 date, McInerney said he couldn’t elaborate. He did add:

It is going to be extremely important, and America should take notice. We are less safe today than we were 6 years ago. General Mike Flynn, the director of DIA who’s retiring now, has pointed out that they have almost doubled the radical Islamic organizations in the last 6 years, and probably a 30 percent increase in the force structure.


“Lt. General McInerney Warns of New 9/11 Event”
YouTube Video

A quick search of the Internet revealed nothing except speculation about General McInerney’s warning. Stay tuned…

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Former CIA Director: Islamic State Attack On U.S. ‘Will Come Probably Sooner Rather Than Later’

“#AmessagefromISIStoUS
We are in your state
We are in your cities
We are in your streets
You are our goals anywhere.”

-Twitter post supposedly connected with the Islamic State, which also included a photo of the Old Republic Building, 307 North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, along with that flag photo outside the White House.

Well, it shouldn’t surprise regular readers of Survival And Prosperity that not only does terrorism carried out by Muslim extremists against the United States and its interests still pose a real threat, but another major player besides Al-Qaeda has now emerged with the rise of the Islamic State (formerly ISIS or ISIL).

Subsequently, the United States is taking action in defense of the “homeland.” John Dodge reported on the website of Chicago CBS affiliate Channel 2 last Friday:

The U.S. government on Friday issued a security bulletin to all U.S. law enforcement in light of the overall threat posed by Islamic State, commonly known as ISIS or ISIL…

The security bulletin issued Friday cautioned that there is no known threat to any U.S. cities…

Since Al-Qaeda has reportedly been trying to strike at targets within the United States for a number of years now, should Americans be concerned about this new upstart and their threats? Consider what retired General Michael Hayden, the former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency, had to say in an interview Monday on CNN. From his exchange with Jim Sciutto:

SCIUTTO: When it comes to ISIS, I think a principle concern for Americans is, what is the direct threat to them? My impression is that there’s a debate inside the intelligence community as to how imminent that threat is. You have a school of thought that they certainly aspire to attack the American homeland. They have a number of Americans among their ranks. Perhaps 100. But the FBI put out a report this week saying no credible threats yet. Where do you stand in that debate? Is it more imminent, or less imminent, is this a future threat, or a clear and present danger?
HAYDEN: Well, Jim, you’ve outlined it perfectly. This is a question of timing. Not of inevitability. Not of intent. And right now, I think it’s fair to say, that ISIS is very powerful local terrorist organization, and probably a reasonably powerful regional terrorist organization. But it’s one that has global ambitions. And it has the tools, as you suggested. American passport holders, European passport holders. It’s expressed the intent. And so, if it’s not Tuesday, it’s at a time and place of their choosing. And will come probably sooner rather than later. Look, they’re in a competition now with Al-Qaeda Prime, folks along the Afghan-Pakistani border, and there’s no way more powerful to express their street credentials among the jihadist community than a successful attack against the West.
SCIUTTO: So, to be clear, you’re saying it’s just a matter of time before ISIS attempts to attack or attacks the U.S. homeland?
HAYDEN: I think so. Certainly the West in general. Of course, and Americans and American interests in the region right now, are at risk.


“Hayden: ‘ISIS Attack A Matter Of Time’”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Dodge, John. “Chicago A Top Terror Target; Ominous Tweet Connects ISIS Threat In City.” CBS 2. 22 Aug. 2014. (http://chicago.cbslocal.com/2014/08/22/ominous-tweet-connects-isis-threat-in-chicago/). 26 Aug. 2014.

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Reminder To Californians

“The past couple of articles I’ve read that mentioned major earthquakes and California seemed to imply that the state was somewhat ready for such an event. I understand ‘The Golden State’ has improved its earthquake readiness and response capabilities over time. However, I get the feeling there’s some complacency going around, with a lot more work still needing to be done…

Keep those earthquakes preparations going at full throttle, Californians. And visit The Great California Shakeout website- among other earthquake preparedness online resources- if you haven’t already.

After all, it’s only a matter of time before the ‘Big One’ strikes.”

-December 12, 2013, post on Survival And Prosperity


Watch more news videos | Latest from the US
ABC News Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Sunday, August 24th, 2014 Emergencies, Preparedness, Public Safety No Comments

Quote For The Week

“You can’t ignore the facts. You don’t like to say that the sky is falling. But then if you see it falling, you don’t want to just pretend that you don’t see what you see- because that’s worse. It’s better to warn about the catastrophes “A,” so maybe your warnings can help put into effect policies that might avert the catastrophe, or if you can’t do that, at least help as many people as possible prepare for it in advance so that they don’t get hit by surprise.”

-Peter Schiff, CEO/Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, during the July 23, 2014, airing of The Peter Schiff Show

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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2015 Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts ‘Super-Cold’ Winter For Eastern Two-Thirds Of U.S.

Back when I still lived under my parents’ roof, I’d sometimes grab my dad’s latest copy of the Old Farmer’s Almanac to read. Don’t know about the Almanac? From their website:

Since 1792, The Old Farmer’s Almanac has spoken to all walks of life: tide tables for those who live near the ocean; sunrise and planting charts for those who live on the farm; recipes for those who live in the kitchen; and forecasts for those who don’t like the question of weather left up in the air…

Our operation is based in Dublin, New Hampshire. The words of the Almanac’s founder, Robert B. Thomas, guide us still: “Our main endeavour is to be useful, but with a pleasant degree of humor.”

I thought the annual publication looked pretty “useful,” and figured once I grew up I’d buy my own copies.

A couple of decades later, I’m all ready to purchase the 2015 edition of the Almanac that’s set to be released in less than a week. Now, I’m not blogging about the Old Farmer’s Almanac because it’s going to be made available to the public earlier than its usual mid- September release date- which is sort of news. Rather, this post is about the publication’s long-term weather forecast for the country in the coming year. Specifically, winter. Rik Stevens on the Associated Press website earlier today:

The Old Farmer’s Almanac, the familiar, 223-year-old chronicler of climate, folksy advice and fun facts, is predicting a colder winter and warmer summer for much of the nation.

Published Wednesday, the New Hampshire-based almanac predicts a “super-cold” winter in the eastern two-thirds of the country. The west will remain a little bit warmer than normal.

“Colder is just almost too familiar a term,” Editor Janice Stillman said. “Think of it as a refriger-nation.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“Refriger-nation”

I don’t like the sound of that. Stevens added later:

More bad news for those who can’t stand snow: Most of the Northeast is expected to get more snowfall than normal, though it will be below normal in New England…

Perhaps the rest of the country will get to see more like the following this winter…


“Reckless Tow Truck New York”
Warning: Language
YouTube Video

I like the fact that the Old Farmer’s Almanac has about an 80 percent success rate with its weather forecasts.

For more regional highlights and what could be in store for the U.S. after this coming winter, you can read the rest of that AP piece here.

No mention of winter for the Midwest though in that article. Guess I’ll find out what’s in store for us once I get my copy- and whether or not I should plan on shoveling/snowblowing every other/every third day like I did a lot last winter.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Wednesday, August 20th, 2014 Preparedness, Weather No Comments

Signs Of The Time, Part 76

This morning, I was talking to the assistant manager of my parents’ condo building not too far from Chicago’s West Side. I’ll call this guy “Bookman,” one of my favorite characters from the TV show Good Times. Bookman’s from the area, and a couple of years older than me. From the exchange:

BOOKMAN: Have you been following what’s going on Missouri?
EDITOR: Yeah.
BOOKMAN: I think it’s going to blow up.
EDITOR: You mean, like a replay of Rodney King?
BOOKMAN: No, like after Martin Luther King was shot.
EDITOR: Oh, you mean the 1968 riots on the West Side.
BOOKMAN: Yes- but all over the country.

Interesting. Hope he’s wrong. But I’ll be keeping an eye out for any signs of coming widespread unrest.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Future Riots In Store For Ferguson, Missouri, And Elsewhere In U.S.?

I first mentioned Gabe Suarez, a decorated veteran of Southern California law enforcement and president of the personal safety training outfit Suarez International, way back in April 2011. I follow Suarez on a regular basis, and yesterday he wrote the following about the ongoing civil strife in Ferguson, Missouri, and how it’s been “a replay of the Rodney King events of so long ago.” Via an e-mail from Suarez International:

I will make a prediction – in this order.

The Grand Jury will find the officer “Innocent Of Any Wrong Doing”.
The mob will not accept it and riot again.
Obama will step in, demanding another hearing.
No justice – no peace…as it were.
There will be another hearing where the officer is found guilty (wink-wink-nod-nod)

And all will live happily ever after.

Sure enough, Tim Bross and Jef Feeley reported on the Bloomberg website earlier today:

A grand jury will begin hearing evidence tomorrow in the police shooting death of Ferguson, Missouri, teenager Michael Brown, as violent clashes continued in the St. Louis suburb.

A grand jury will start hearing from witnesses about the shooting that left Brown, 18, dead, Ed Magee, a spokesman for St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney Bob McCulloch, said in a telephone interview today…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Gabe Suarez may be on to something with that prediction about the state grand jury finding the officer “Innocent Of Any Wrong Doing.” Along with other media outlets, Jason Howerton reported on TheBlaze.com late last night:

More than a dozen witnesses have backed up the account of Ferguson police officer Darren Wilson in the controversial shooting of 18-year-old Michael Brown, police sources reportedly told St. Louis Post-Dispatch reporter Christine Byers…

Police sources tell me more than a dozen witnesses have corroborated cop’s version of events in shooting #Ferguson

— Christine Byers (@ChristineDByers) August 19, 2014

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Will Suarez’s other prediction about an “innocent” verdict play out, and “the mob will not accept it and riot again” be in store for Ferguson, Missouri, and possibly other parts of the country?

Time will tell. But I’ll say this- If I suspected the safety of loved ones and/or myself could be threatened by such activity, I’d start taking steps to prevent that from happening.

Don’t be that schmuck trying to obtain personal safety gear, supplies, tools, what have you after the riot’s already at your doorstep, a la Los Angeles, April/May 1992.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Sources:

Suarez, Gabe. “St. Louis: Having “Been – There – Done – That.” Suarez International Blog. 19 Aug. 2014. (http://blog.suarezinternational.com/2014/08/st-louis-my-take-having-been-there-done-that.html#.U_O955V0zIU). 19 Aug. 2014.

Bross, Tim and Feeley, Jef. “Ferguson Police Shooting Grand Jury Probe Starts Tomorrow.” Bloomberg.com. 19 Aug. 2014. (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-19/ferguson-police-shooting-grand-jury-probe-starts-tomorrow.html). 19 Aug. 2014.

Howerton, Jason. “Report: More Than a Dozen Witnesses Have Corroborated Officer Darren Wilson’s Version of Ferguson Shooting.” TheBlaze.com. 18 Aug. 2014. (http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/08/18/report-more-than-a-dozen-witnesses-have-corroborated-officer-darren-wilsons-version-of-ferguson-shooting/). 19 Aug. 2014.

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1992 Los Angeles Riots: ‘There Are No Atheists In Foxholes; There Are No Liberals In Riots’

I haven’t really thought about the 1992 Los Angeles Riots since I put together a piece that appeared on the shooting sports news website AmmoLand.com back at the beginning of May 2012- the twentieth anniversary of the “Rodney King Riots.”

And then racially-charged protests and looting occurred in Ferguson, Missouri.

Last night, I was looking over some of the L.A. Riot-related material I had gone through over two years ago. A couple of news articles of the time stand out as the Missouri National Guard take their turn patrolling the streets of Ferguson tonight:

The police tolerated armed citizens. Jonathan Lovitt reported in the May 4, 1992, edition of USA Today:

Many hundreds of people, alarmed by law enforcement’s inability to control the chaos, took up weapons throughout the riots.

Police were grateful. “You get a guy standing over you with a gun and you’re not going to loot … and that’s fine with us,” said Sgt. George Wright of Los Angeles Police Rampart Division.

Anti-gun types quickly “saw the light.” Lovitt added:

The rush to weapons began almost immediately after the riot’s first vivid images went out over TV.

Shopkeepers said some gun buyers were lifelong gun-control advocates, running to buy an item they thought they’d never need – only to find themselves blocked by gun-control legislation that requires Californians to wait 15 days.

“The customers were angry about the waiting period but they bought the guns anyway,” says Barry Kahn, who owns B&B Sales, one of the region’s largest gun outlets. “These people were different from my usual customers. They were definitely first-time buyers.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

American ingenuity shone. Lovitt wrote:

But many buyers beat the restrictions, purchasing exempt “antique” firearms, made before 1941…

Others employed different tactics. Black-owned shops hung signs saying “Black-owned and operated: Do not Loot” with the name of a prominent gangster, an enforcer, below. Along trendy Melrose Avenue, store owners boarded up windows and hung “for sale” or “for lease” signs, hoping looters would search for visible booty.

Some Los Angeleans prepared accordingly. Phil Sneiderman wrote in the Los Angeles Times on April 9, 1993:

Still, some residents are concerned that police would not be able to halt widespread violence. Area gun shop owners said they have noticed an increase in people buying guns over the past few weeks, well before the federal King beating case neared an end.

“They knew the trial was starting and that there would be a verdict eventually,” said Steve Cotter, whose family runs Hilldale Sales, a Simi Valley gun shop. “They knew about the 15-day waiting period, and they started buying early.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

A memorable quote was born. Ron Soble wrote in the Los Angeles Times on August 17, 1992:

Part of the rush for weapons was caused by police inability to initially control the riot, said her husband, Steve Cotter, who waits on customers with a .38-caliber Smith & Wesson stuffed into his holster.

That spawned a public perception that “if the police can’t handle it, we’ll handle it ourselves,” he said.

Such emotions even motivate liberal advocates of gun control to buy a weapon for the first time, he believes.

“There are no atheists in foxholes; there are no liberals in riots,” he said.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Ammo sales were banned in L.A. Soble added:

On top of the waiting period was an emergency order issued by Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley on April 30, which banned ammunition sales in Los Angeles until May 20.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

The California National Guard initially had no ammunition. I blogged on September 14, 2012:

Watch for yourself the following news segment where then-California Governor Peter “Pete” Wilson admits California National Guard troops weren’t initially given bullets:


“LA Riots the GOV explains that the Guard has no ammo”
YouTube Video

Governor Wilson revealed:

There was some hesitation on the part of the Guard officers. I gave the order that they should take the ammunition that they had distributed as I would think they should in any case to those who are platoon and squad leaders making it available as needed.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Finally, guns saved lives and property. According to self-described “anti-gun feminist to armed feminist” Katherine von Tour in 1999 on KeepAndBearArms.com:

One day, just before the riots exploded, I was driving in downtown LA in a scary part of town. It was dusk. As I was stopped at a stop-light, with one car in front of me, two men who had been watching me began quickly and menacingly approaching my car from the sidewalk. One of them was carrying a tire iron.

I grabbed the pistol, which I had laid on the seat beside me, and held it up so they could see it.

The look in their eyes changed in an instant from threatening to fearful, and they immediately turned around and ran in the opposite direction. The light changed. I drove away.

No one was hurt, but a gun in my formerly liberal hand had, I believe, probably saved my life, or at least prevented me from likely injury…

Within a week, the very street where this incident happened had erupted in rioting, looting and killing.

I watched on television as the Korean grocers defended their property with AK-47’s and AR-15’s, and thus prevented it from being torched and looted. The police couldn’t stop the violence and killing.

I had friends who worked in the garment district in LA who barely made it out alive, and who told tales of pulling out pistols and having would-be attackers turn tail and run away.

Guns were saving lives and property.

As the riots threatened to spill over into Beverly Hills, myriad Hollywood types stormed gun stores to arm themselves, only to be told that there was a 15-day waiting period; radio talk shows boiled with people calling in and screaming about how unfair this was, and how the law was leaving them helpless.

Some of them even admitted that they had previously supported the waiting period, and that they were now furious that it had left them unarmed.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Real insightful stuff, much of which I wouldn’t have known about without the Internet even though I watched the riots live on television while attending the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign a little more than 22 years ago.

And seeing that history never repeats- but often rhymes, as Mark Twain said- how much of the above will ring true in the next major riot on American soil?

We may find out as early as later tonight.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Sources:

Lovitt, Jonathan T. “Survival for the armed.” USA Today. 4 May 1992. (http://www.jonathanlovitt.com/usa/SurvivalForTheArmed.htm). 18 Aug 2014.

Sneiderman, Phil. “Police Agencies Rehearse Riot Response Plans : King case: Authorities vow to back up one another if disturbances occur. Some area gun shops report brisk sales.” Los Angeles Times. 9 Apr. 1993 (http://articles.latimes.com/1993-04-09/local/me-21047_1_gun-shop). 18 Aug. 2014.

Soble, Ron. “Going Great Guns : Security: The L.A. riots trigger a firearms-buying spree in the county. First-time owners drive the boom in sales.” Los Angeles Times. 17 Aug. 1992. (http://articles.latimes.com/1992-08-17/local/me-5096_1_gun-sales). 18 Aug. 2014.

von Tour, Katherine. “My Transformation From Anti-Gun Feminist To Armed Feminist.” KeepAndBearArms.com. 1999. (http://www.keepandbeararms.com/information/XcIBPrintItem.asp?ID=635). 18 Aug. 2014.

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Resource Of The Week: ATSN’s Stop The Threat TV Show

I’ve now been at the new place a little more than a year, and I still don’t have my beloved satellite TV service hooked up. Truth be told, I’m so busy these days I don’t have that much time to watch television. However, I do miss some of the shows that were only on “pay TV.” One that I used to watch on a regular basis was Stop the Threat. From the American Trigger Sports Network website:

American Trigger Sports Network presents “Stop the Threat”, hosted by James B. Towle, featuring a rotating round table of expert guest panelists as they offer an informed discussion aimed at armed citizens on legal gun ownership, the use of deadly force, and how one may avoid becoming a victim, or respond to a life or death situation. This series may save your life!


“ATSN Stop the Threat television series promo”
YouTube Video

I used to watch it on the Pursuit Channel, which adds:

They analyze life-threatening crime scenes reenacted from real crime scenarios happening across the country. With more citizens, legal gun owners, and viewers becoming interested in protecting themselves and their families, Stop the Threat has opened the conversation of a previously neglected subject that could help save lives.

Very intense yet very informative. That’s what I used to think of the show.

How about you? Seeing that past episodes can be viewed for FREE via the Stop the Threat page on the ATSN website.

As of tonight, I count 36 episodes archived, each running somewhat longer than 20 minutes.

If you are going to watch the show, keep in mind the warning that’s prominently displayed at the beginning of each episode:

VIEWER WARNING: Contains extreme violence and is intended for mature audiences only. Viewer discretion is advised.

Adds a lot more realism to the crime reenactment, if you ask me.

While the last episode released looks to be from April 14, 2014, according to the ATSN Facebook page on August 6:

New season is coming soon!!!

Until then, you can watch hours and hours of Stop the Threat archived on the American Trigger Sports Network website here (scroll down to bottom of page).

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: Link added to “Resources” page)

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Illinois Ranked 4th Most Corrupt State In America

The other day I came across an interesting article on the Yahoo! Homes website. It was entitled “The most corrupt states in America.” I thought to myself:

I wonder how high Illinois will rank on this list?

Pretty high, as a matter of fact. From the piece:

4: Illinois. An old standby. The last two governors both went to jail for corruption. Enough said.

Actually, there’s more to be said. Robert McGarvey wrote on August 7:

An academic at the University of Hong Kong and another at Indiana University set out to rank the states by level of corruption, combing arrest and conviction records for public officials.

Cheol Liu and John L. Mikesell also reported that states with greater public spending have more corruption- particularly when the spending is in areas ripe for bribery, like construction, police and highway projects.

“People think corruption doesn’t happen here,” said Chicago lawyer Sergio Acosta, who used to work in the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Illinois. He’s a member of Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s Ethics Reforms Task Force, which aims to codify appropriate behavior for city employees. “That’s the real value of this report.”

“People think corruption doesn’t happen here”

(Editor is laughing his ass off right now)

“Illinois” and “corruption” are pretty much interchangeable in the minds of many people familiar with the state. Particularly Illinoisans. I blogged back on April 2:

I don’t talk about the topic too often, but political corruption was the focus of a recent poll taken by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute down at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale. From a press release Monday:

Illinois Voters: Political Corruption “Common” In Our State

Overwhelming majorities of Illinois voters believe political corruption is the norm for both federal and state governments, according to the latest poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University.

Fewer people believe political corruption at the local level affects their lives – unless they live in Chicago.

The poll of 1001 registered voters across the state conducted Feb. 12 -25 has a margin for error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The survey found:

• 89 percent of Illinoisans feel corruption is somewhat common in the state, with 53 percent believing it’s very common.
• 79 percent say corruption at the federal level is at least somewhat common, with 45 percent saying it’s very common.
• 62 percent of all Illinoisans believe county or city political corruption is at least somewhat common, with 35 percent reporting local corruption to be very common.
• However, 85 percent of those living in Chicago believe county or city political corruption is at least somewhat common, with 55 percent perceiving local corruption to be very common.

“These are sad numbers,” said David Yepsen, Director of the Institute. “No wonder many people don’t vote and participation in civic affairs seems limited. It’s unhealthy for a society to have such little confidence in the integrity of government. It makes Illinois an unattractive place to live.”

I also wrote back on February 14, 2012:

This afternoon I was running errands around the Chicagoland area when I heard on WBBM Newsradio 780 that a new study showed Chicago is the most corrupt city in the nation. From the CBS Channel 2 Chicago website:

A former Chicago alderman turned political science professor/corruption fighter has found that Chicago is the most corrupt city in the country.

He cites data from the U.S. Department of Justice to prove his case. And, he says, Illinois is third-most corrupt state in the country

University of Illinois professor Dick Simpson estimates the cost of corruption at $500 million.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Oh, people think corruption happens around here. And for good reason.

If Illinois readers think it’s bad now, wait until the bottom really falls out of the economy.

In fact, it’s probably a good idea to start making influential friends/connections now if you haven’t done so already as part of a larger program for taking care of your and your loved ones’ needs when conditions become tough to do so.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

McGarvey, Robert. “The most corrupt states in America.” MainStreet.com. 7 Aug. 2014. (https://homes.yahoo.com/news/the-most-corrupt-states-in-america-033250358.html.) 12 Aug. 2014.

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Tuesday, August 12th, 2014 Corruption, Crime, Government, Preparedness No Comments


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