SP Intel Report- November 13, 2015


DIY Solar Electricity, Window Farming For Beginners Classes From The Green Suite

Nick Conrad and The Green Suite will be putting on DIY Solar Electricity and Window Farming for Beginners classes over the next couple of weeks:

DIY Solar Electricity (class #1)
Wednesday, November 18, 7 to 9 PM
The Green Suite, 3958 N. Fremont, Apt. 3, Chicago
$30 to attend, 2 spots left as I type this

Window Farming For Beginners
Wednesday, December 2, 7 to 9 PM
The Green Suite
$30 to attend, 8 spots left

DIY Solar Electricity (class #2)
Tuesday, December 15, 7 to 9 PM
The Green Suite
$30 to attend, 5 spots left

For more information, head on over to The Green Suite website here.

Cook County Finance Committee Approves Ammunition Tax

It comes as no surprise that Cook County, Illinois, aims to tax law-abiding firearm owners in the county for the actions of criminals- yet again. Earlier this week I mentioned Cook County President Toni Preckwinkle had proposed a tax on ammunition sales in the county. Today, the Cook County Finance Committee approved the proposal. Hal Dardick reported on the Chicago Tribune website tonight:

The Finance Committee on Friday approved a series of other new taxes and fees. They include… A new tax on bullets- 5 cents per round of “centerfire ammunition” and 1 cent per round of “rimfire ammunition”- to raise $320,000 a year for public safety and health programs.

Todd Vandermyde, Illinois lobbyist for the National Rifle Association, said the county could expect a court challenge on the bullet fee, just as it is battling a lawsuit against a $25-per-gun purchase tax that went into effect two years ago.

“It seems interesting that the county wants to go down this road again, because you’ll incur even more litigation with a new suit to deal with this issue,” Vandermyde said, noting the relatively small sum the bullet tax is expected to bring in…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

See you in court? I’d be curious to find out how much that $25-per-gun purchase tax lawsuit has cost Cook County taxpayers to date.


Illinois State Rifle Association Warns Of State Gun Control Legislation

Still on the topic of firearms tonight, gun control is on the march here in the “Land of Lincoln.” And the Illinois State Rifle Association has identified new initiatives that threaten the Second Amendment. From the ISRA Thursday Bulletin’s “Executive Director’s Message” for November 12, 2015:

In Springfield we have a couple of troublesome House Resolutions introduced. The first of these is HR0830 (Flowers, D-31, Chicago). HR 0830 calls for President Obama to hold a National Conference on Gun Violence by the end of 2015, in Chicago. This of course would be a blame the law abiding gun owners conference more than anything else. There are only 49 days left this year so it would have to happen quickly.

The next resolution, (Welch, D-7, Hillside), urges the courts, especially the Supreme Court, to adhere to the clear wording of the Second Amendment, being a right afforded to state sponsored militias, not individuals (this is their wording, not mine). What this clearly points out is that the Second Amendment is under attack. If you are not disturbed by this, you should be…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

You can read the entire Thursday Bulletin via the ISRA’s Twitter page here.


My thoughts and prayers go out to France this evening. While appalled, I am not shocked to hear of the Paris terror attack however. For a couple of years now I’ve talked about the November 2008 Mumbai, India, slaughter being emulated by terrorists. Almost a year ago to this day I blogged:

Something tells me our friends in Western Europe might suffer a major terrorist attack before a strike against the United States…

And on January 7, 2015, I wrote:

I still predict major terrorist attacks having the potential of inflicting large numbers of casualties will be directed against America and its allies in the future. The possible culprits being several, but including Muslim extremists like Al-Qaeda and its affiliates…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Captain Obvious strikes again? Perhaps. But the notion of a large scale terror attack directed against the United States and/or its allies doesn’t appear to have been registering on the radars of lots of people these days. With a laughable economic “recovery” and plenty of distractions in play by the powers-that-be, who could blame them?

After the carnage in France, America and her allies remain in the crosshairs of the terrorists. Stay safe…

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (


Dardick, Hal. “Preckwinkle wins hotel tax, declines to rule out future hikes.” Chicago Tribune. 13 Nov. 2015. ( 13 Nov. 2015.

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Peter Schiff Predicts ‘A Horrendous Christmas,’ ‘The Dow Is Going To Rally From Here,’ And ‘Gold Stocks Are Going To Take Off’

Euro Pacific Capital CEO Peter Schiff just added a new entry to The Schiff Report YouTube vlog Friday. Schiff, who correctly-called the housing bust and economic crisis last decade, shared some forecasts with viewers. From the video:

I think that given the lousy jobs number that we just got, given the revision to the previous numbers making them worse, given now today’s factory orders and the economic data that we’re likely to get next week, I think before long- or it’s not going to be too long- before the Atlanta Fed GDP now reflects a negative print, a negative number, for third quarter GDP. Now, if we get a negative number for third quarter GDP, I bet we get another negative number that’s even bigger for the fourth quarter. Because if you look at the trend over the last six years or so, the fourth quarter is always weaker than the third. The third quarter is a stronger quarter. And if that quarter is weak, what does that tell you about the second quarter? It’s going to be even weaker. So if we get a negative third quarter, and then we get a negative fourth quarter, well, that’s a recession. Right? Technically that’s a recession. What the Fed going to do?

This is going to be a horrendous Christmas, that’s my forecast, as far as what the retailers are expecting and what they’re going to get. This is probably going to be the worst Christmas shopping season of the recovery. And I think next year a lot more layoffs are coming…

The Dow was down as much as 250 points or so early in the morning. But then the buyers came in because they realized, “Hey wait a minute! If the Fed isn’t going to raise rates, then this party can continue for a while longer.” And the Dow finished up 200 points. That’s a 450 point move. We were almost down at the Black Monday lows. I think this was a pretty significant reversal. My guess is that the Dow is going to rally from here. I don’t know if it’s going to rally to new highs- that would be a stretch. But I think right now, given the weakness of this report, I think that you can see some strength in the U.S. stock market…

This time, if the dollar rises based on an anticipation of rate hikes, and the hikes don’t even come, can you imagine how much selling there’s going to be on that fact, when you don’t even get the event that everybody’s been waiting for? That’s going to work in reverse for gold. People have been selling gold for the same reason. “Oh, the Fed’s going to raise rates- that’s going to be bad for gold.” You know, when the Fed raised rates last time, it was great for gold, because gold rose the whole time. But imagine how good it’s going to be for gold when everybody expects a rate hike, and instead we get QE 4. I think this is going to be the biggest up-leg of the gold bull market, which means the gold stocks are going to take off if I am right, because gold stocks today are cheaper than they were when the last bull market began when gold was under $300 an ounce. They’re cheaper now with gold at $1,130 than they were when gold was $270…

“Sept. Jobs Report Confirms Weakening Labor Market”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Peter Schiff: ‘Inevitable’ QE 4 Will Lead To U.S. Dollar Crisis

On August 28, 2015, Euro Pacific Capital’s Peter Schiff spoke at The Jackson Hole Summit, “the first ever event to discuss monetary and fiscal policy at the same time as the Central Bankers are discussing policy,” according to sponsor American Principles Project. Schiff, who correctly-called the housing bust and economic crisis last decade, warned those in attendance that because the Federal Reserve isn’t allowing market forces to fix imbalances in the financial system, the United States is ultimately heading towards a dollar crisis. From the presentation:

The Fed needs to raise interest rates right now. Not because the economy can take it, but because it can’t. Because, again, it is a bubble that needs to be popped. The sooner we pop it, the better. But of course we’re going to find out that the Fed didn’t save us from the financial crisis. They simply interrupted it. And they kicked the can down the road. And we’ve now caught up to the can. And, the problem is, because we’ve delayed solving the problem- see, the financial crisis was the beginning of the solution. And the Fed interrupted it. The market was trying to fix what the Fed broke. Real estate prices coming down were part of the solution. Banks failing was part of the solution. That recession was part of the solution. And the Fed interrupted it. And instead they gave us an even bigger bubble. And now we’re going to have to deal with that…

All the real economic recovery is being prevented. The Fed has got it all dammed up with its monetary policy. But it’s afraid to release the dam because it’s going to unleash all of these forces, this creative destruction that is so necessary, because we cannot have this genuine economic recovery that would actually lift living standards and create good jobs for the American people. We can’t do that unless we allow this phony economy that’s been resurrected on the foundation of cheap money collapse. But nobody is going to allow that to happen…

And then they’re going to launch QE 4. Which nobody really understands. I think it’s inevitable. I said this from the beginning. I said that when they launched the very first round of quantitative easing that they had walked into, checked into, a monetary roach motel. That there was no way out. Once they went down this line, that we were in for the duration. You live by QE, you die by QE. I said we’d have more QEs than Rocky movies. And I think they had six of those. And of course they got progressively worse. And so I think QE 4 is going to be even worse than the last rounds. And ultimately… ultimately, where we are headed is to a dollar crisis…

“Peter Schiff at Jackson Hole Summit: The Monetary Roach Motel”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Signs Of The Time, Part 87

It’s been interesting watching the run-up to the recent carnage on Wall Street.

For some time now, the “crash prophets” who correctly-called the housing market bubble and 2008 economic crisis have been warning the stock market was frothy, if not in bubble territory.

Meanwhile, the Pollyannas who didn’t see either of those events from the last decade convinced themselves that not only had the United States managed to get on solid footing again after the blatant “papering over” of the debacle that reared its ugly head seven years ago, but that U.S equities and their valuations were a fair reflection of an economic “recovery” that was charging “full-steam ahead.”

At the same time, the Pollyannas (with the assistance of the financial mainstream media) ridiculed the “prophets” at any chance they got.

Reminds me a lot of that time period from roughly 2004 to 2008, until the Pollyannas got spanked hard and many of their mouthpieces were put out to pasture.

Make no mistake about it, America’s financial crash is coming.

The powers-that-be can only “kick the can down the road” until the road runs out. And that time is almost here.

Is the recent stock market plunge the event that pushes us over the edge?

I’m not sure it is. That being said, the dive has resulted in some serious financial losses. Steve Goldstein, the D.C. Bureau Chief for the MarketWatch website, wrote this afternoon:

As of March 31, households and nonprofits held $24.1 trillion in stocks. That’s both directly, and through mutual funds, pension funds and the like. That also includes the holdings of U.S.-based hedge funds, though you’d have to think that most hedge funds are held by households.

Using the Dow Jones Total Stock Market index through midmorning trade, that number had dropped to $22.32 trillion.

In other words, a cool $1.8 trillion has been lost between now and the first quarter — and overwhelmingly, those losses occurred in the last few days…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

$1.8 trillion. Whew. After riding the bull for so long, it looks like the Pollyannas weren’t expecting the beast to pull an abrupt about-face… and gore them.

The White Stripes, Conquest (2007)
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)


Goldstein, Steve. “Households just saw $1.8 trillion in wealth vanish as stocks fall.” MarketWatch. 24 Aug. 2015. ( 24 Aug. 2015.

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The Survival Podcast’s Jack Spirko Thinks Coming Recession Is Not The ‘Big One’

I recently listened to an episode of The Survival Podcast (named a “Resource Of The Week” back in March 2011) that really caught my attention. Modern survivalist and host Jack Spirko wrote in the intro to episode 1608 (July 21, 2015), “The Next Recession or the One that Never Went Away?” on The Survival Podcast website:

Officially the recession of 08-09 ended in late 09, or 6 years ago, well, typically we never make it 10 years in the best of times with out at least a minor recession. The questions at this point are not is a recession coming and will it effect us, they are when will it get here and how badly will it effect us…

The big question for most preppers is, “Is this the big one”. My gut is no. Keep in mind I said “the big one would be after after a false recovery, a marked drop in unemployment and likely to occur in late 2015 to mid 2016″, as long ago as 2009 when many were claiming that recession was “the big one”. So why do I now disagree with myself, tune in today to find out, and to find out why not the big one, doesn’t really mean, “not so bad”.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Actually, Spirko has suspected the next recession wouldn’t be the “big one” for some time now. I blogged about episode 1127 (May 9, 2013), “Risk Assessments and Readiness Audits,” back on May 22, 2013, where the modern survivalist said:

And sooner or later we are going to get to a point where inflation, the devaluation of money, the ridiculous level of debt and the interest there on it, do their full-scale, whole cancer-style damage, eat the patient from the inside, and we wake up to terminal financial illness as a nation.

But that’s not happening tomorrow. That’s not happening next year. That’s not even happening in the next 5 years. There could be recessions and things in the middle. But that day is probably at this point 10 years into the future or more.

And I don’t claim to be Nostradamus. I don’t know the exact timeline. I can just do math and can say with mathematical certainty this system at some point must fail.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Spirko laid out what needs to be done now in his July 21 show. He advised:

We need to, I think at this point, assess our preps for hard financial times, more than anything else right now. I’m not talking about economic collapse, I’m talking about economic struggle. Everybody’s waiting for economic collapse, no one understands we’re standing in the middle of it. We’re standing in the middle of it…

Buck up your preps guys. Get ready for tougher times ahead…

The United States economy does not have to collapse for your personal economy to collapse. Nine million people found that out the hard way last time. Be prepared this time. Be prepared. Prepare to feed yourself, clothe yourself, take care of yourself, provide for your own security. Start thinking about the efficiencies of your energy usage, and get very, very diverse with your skill set, your knowledge, your ability to earn income. That’s how you prepare for what’s coming.

Somber stuff. You can listen to episode 1608 via The Survival Podcast website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Mike Maloney, Peter Schiff Discuss Next Economic Crisis, Gold

The gold price has fallen to its lowest level in more than five years as talk of a US interest rate rise has led investors to sell the precious metal.

Gold closed 2.5% lower at $1,104.60 an ounce in London, having earlier fallen below $1,100 an ounce for the first time since March 2010.

The gold price is now more than 40% below its August 2011 peak…”

-BBC News website, July 20, 2015

I had to chuckle when I read the above.

“Talk of a US interest rate rise…”

How many months, no, years now has the Federal Reserve been talking about hiking the federal funds rate?

“But Chris, the economy is in recovery mode…”

If the U.S. economy was truly in a recovery, rates wouldn’t still be close to zero.

The Fed knows if they start raising interest rates at this point in the game, the “recovery” is toast and we’re heading back into recession.

So what’s Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve going to do? If the pressure builds on them to raise rates but there’s no excuses around for not doing so, I suspect we’re looking at a miniscule hike in the near future. Maybe even a few (but not too close together).

At which point, the Fed will proclaim:

We told you we were going to raise rates.

Yeah, right.

Earlier today, I watched a discussion on between two well-known “crash prophets” concerning the state of the U.S. economy/larger financial system and where gold fits into the equation. From the website on June 2:

For the first time ever, renowned investment gurus Mike Maloney and Peter Schiff sat down to a frank discussion about the future of the American economy. Together, they analyzed detailed charts and data to show why an even bigger crash than the 2008 crisis is in the making…

Schiff (an economist, financial broker/dealer, and author who heads up Euro Pacific Capital) and Maloney (a precious metals expert, advisor, and author who runs predicted the U.S. economic crisis that reared its ugly head in the fall of 2008, and both are now warning of a more dire situation dead-ahead.

Their observations and arguments make sense to me, as opposed to the position staked out by the economic Pollyannas.

If you have the time, check out the following YouTube playlist of their exchange released last month:

• “Economic Crisis 2015- Peter Schiff & Mike Maloney (Part 1)” (run time 41:40)
• “Is Gold Overvalued? Peter Schiff & Mike Maloney (Part 2)” (run time 4:43)
• “Your Government Will Break Your Legs- Peter Schiff & Mike Maloney” (Part 3) (run time 7:18)
• “Inflation Or Deflation? Peter Schiff & Mike Maloney (Part 4)” (run time 3:43)
• “Gold Vs Debt Default- Peter Schiff & Mike Maloney (Part 5)” (run time 6:27)

YouTube Video Playlist

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Marc Faber: ‘I Think We Could Very Well Be In A Recession In The U.S. Within 6 Months’

Swiss-born investment advisor/money manager Marc Faber was on the phone with Brian Sullivan of the CNBC TV show Training Nation earlier today. The topic was the Federal Reserve. Responding to Sullivan’s assertion that the U.S. economy has “done well,” the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report replied:

But I don’t think the U.S. economy is doing particularly well. One of the problems is affordability and cost of living increases. For most households, the cost of living has gone up very substantially, and so their spending power is limited. In addition to that, if you look at tax revenues in the U.S., corporate tax as a percent of GDP is essentially flat. However, what has gone up a lot as a percent of GDP- individual taxes. So, it has some negative impact on the economy, and I think we could very well be in a recession in the U.S. within 6 months.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“Marc Faber on the Fed”
CNBC Video

To be fair, while Dr. Faber is noted for making some great money-related calls (he’s famous for advising clients to get out of the U.S. stock market one week before the October 1987 crash), from a Survival And Prosperity post back on May 30, 2012:

“Doctor Doom” Marc Faber did a live interview on CNBC’s Fast Money last Friday in which he warned of a fast-approaching global economic recession. Here is an excerpt from the exchange between the Swiss-born investment adviser/fund manager and CNBC’s Scott Wapner:

WAPNER: You’re not looking for a recession though here in the United States, are you?
FABER: Well, I think that we could have a global recession sometime, say, starting in the 4th quarter of this year, early 2013. Yes, that’s a distinct possibility.
WAPNER: Where would you put it at, if it’s on a scale of, say what, 50 percent possibility, 1 in 3 chance? Where would you rate it?
FABER: I would rate it at 100 percent certainty…

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (

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Quote For The Week

“Losing an illusion makes you wiser than finding a truth.”

-Ludwig Börne (German political writer and satirist. 1786-1837)

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (


Chicago’s Financial, Job Woes Highlighted In Huffington Post Piece

Chicago-area readers are probably getting sick of my negative posts about Chicago, Cook County, and Illinois. I don’t like blogging about all the bad news either. However, I feel compelled to point out the massive challenges facing the city, county, and state I was born in and continue to love in an attempt to help turn them around (unlikely at this point), or at least assist residents survive these entities slamming into that proverbial brick wall (much more probable).

That being said, this past weekend I came across an interesting article about a number of Chicago’s woes by local journalist Hilary Gowins. While there’s plenty of dreadful material being written about the “Windy City” these days, what made Gowins’ piece particularly “interesting” is where it can be found- on The Huffington Post website. From the often left-leaning (in my opinion) online news aggregator and blog:

Behind a veneer of affluence, gilded by the prosperity and staying power of neighborhoods such as the Gold Coast, River North and Lincoln Park, the city’s foundation is crumbling beneath the weight of perilous debt. Chicago and its sister governments are officially on the hook for more than $32 billion in unfunded pension debt. With just over a million households in the city, that staggering figure means each Chicago household is on the hook for $32,000 to cover these liabilities. Chicago’s pension debt exceeds the state’s total proposed operating budget for the upcoming fiscal year.

At the same time the city’s obligations are skyrocketing, its population is growing at a snail’s pace, gaining just 6,000 residents in 2013 after a decade of population decline. With 2.7 million residents as of 2013, Chicago’s population is the same as it was in 1920

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Gowins added this as well:

But today, despite activity on the tech front, job opportunities are scarce. The Chicago area has 46,000 fewer people working compared to before the Great Recession, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

There’s plenty of people around these parts who would be quick to blow smoke up your behind and tell you the economy in Chicagoland area and beyond is in full-blown recovery, and quit worrying about the larger financial picture.

Sorry, but the numbers (such as the above) show otherwise.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (


Gowins, Hilary. “Chicago’s Problems Run Much Deeper Than a 76-foot Hole.” The Huffington Post. 1 May 2015. ( 5 May 2015.

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Polls Show Americans More Optimistic On Economy

Despite the significant financial challenges this country faces, a number of Americans seem to be more optimistic about the economy going forward. Jeffry Bartash reported on the MarketWatch website yesterday:

Even though U.S. growth slowed sharply in the first quarter, Americans are more optimistic about the economy now than at any time since President Obama took over the White House in January 2009.

A new CNN poll shows that 52% of Americans view the economy as “very” or “somewhat” good vs. 48% who call it “poor” or “somewhat poor.”

It’s only the second time a majority have expressed a positive view during the Obama presidency — the first time was in December — and it is the highest reading in almost eight years. The last time Americans were as optimistic was in September 2007

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

In addition to that CNN poll, a recent Bloomberg Politics poll suggests the American public is more positive about the economy and how Barack Obama and the Democrats are handling it. Margaret Talev wrote on the Bloomberg website last week:

Hillary Clinton’s presidential hopes may be buoyed by a more optimistic feeling about President Barack Obama and the economy seen in a new Bloomberg Politics poll.

Americans are becoming more optimistic about the country’s economic prospects by several different measures. President Barack Obama’s handling of the economy is being seen more positively than negatively for the first time in more than five years, 49 percent to 46 percent—his best number in this poll since September 2009

Thirty-four percent said the national economy will become stronger over the next year, while just 21 percent said it will get worse and 44 percent predicted the status quo. That’s up from last June, when 30 percent said things were getting better…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Finally, Myles Udland noted in an April 17 piece on the Business Insider website:

Consumer confidence is soaring.

The preliminary reading on consumer confidence from the University of Michigan came in at 95.9, topping expectations for a reading of 94.0.

This is the second highest reading since 2007…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

National Recovery Administration, The Road Is Open Again (1933)
YouTube Video

I’m not sure where all this optimism is coming from. After all, the nation’s economic woes which reared its ugly head by the fall of 2008 have merely been papered over and kicked down the road a few years.

Meanwhile, the Fed depleted plenty of ammunition (see “About” page Fed charts) keeping the whole setup afloat.

As I’ve mentioned before, it’s probably not a bad idea to take advantage of this upsurge in confidence to try and improve one’s resilience to a financial crash I still see coming.

Each person’s circumstances are different. But I, for one, have been focusing on meeting those six “innate survival needs” from my “Project Prepper” series of posts- among other things like increasing income. To recap, those “needs” are:

• Security
• Water
• Food
• Shelter
• Sanitation and Health
• Energy

In order of priority- for me.

Hopefully, these can be taken care of before the “balloon goes up.”

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (


Bartash, Jeffry. “American optimism about economy highest since Obama became president.” MarketWatch. 21 Apr. 2015. ( 22 Apr. 2015.

Talev, Margaret. “Bloomberg Politics National Poll Finds Improving Economic Mood.” 16 Apr. 2015. ( 22 Apr. 2015.

Udland, Myles. “Consumer confidence soars to second-highest level since 2007.” Business Insider. 17 Apr. 2015. ( 22 Apr. 2015.

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