2016 election

Peter Schiff: ‘I Would Rather Go Into The Election Long Gold, Short The Dollar As My Main Trades’

Yesterday I spotted economist, financial broker/dealer, and author Peter Schiff on the RT America show Boom Bust. Schiff, who correctly-called the housing bust and economic crisis in the last decade, talked about how the financial markets might react to either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump winning next week’s U.S. presidential election. He told viewers:

Well, I think the markets will react negatively to a Trump victory because there’s more uncertainty surrounding what a Trump presidency would look like. I mean, you say, “Well, with Clinton it’s the devil you know.” But I think in this case “the devil you know” is pretty bad. I’d rather take a shot at the one that we don’t. But I think the markets will be worried about what it might mean and I think the markets will sell off. I think gold will rally. I think the dollar will sell off. But longer term- and of course traders don’t think about the long term, they’re just trading for what’s happening right now- long term, I think a Clinton presidency is much worse for the U.S. economy and therefore ultimately much worse for the U.S. stock market. But in the short run, we have a bubble. And all people are concerned with now, at least traders, are what is going to happen to keep the air from coming out of that bubble. And nobody really wants to challenge the status quo. They want to continue this cozy relationship between the government, the Fed, and Wall Street. And Hillary Clinton means that they will continue it as long as they can. And a Trump presidency really throws a monkey wrench into that because nobody really knows what it means…

Answering a question about how investors should position themselves, Schiff said:

I would rather go into the election long gold, short the dollar as my main trades. And the stock market doesn’t seem as interesting a trade to me as currencies and metal.,,

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page. A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Friday, November 4th, 2016 Banking, Bubbles, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Investing, Precious Metals, Stocks, Wall Street Comments Off on Peter Schiff: ‘I Would Rather Go Into The Election Long Gold, Short The Dollar As My Main Trades’

The Survival Podcast’s Jack Spirko Offers Advice For Combating ‘Election Anxiety Disorder’

“The presidential election dominates the news cycle for several months once every four years- but if 2016’s intensely hostile contest has left you feeling more anxious than usual, you’re far from alone. In a survey released Thursday by the American Psychological Association (APA), 52 percent of American adults report the election as a significant source of stress in their lives…”

-Fox News website, October 18

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Due to the focus of my research, I’m constantly tuned into the 24-hour news cycle. But because I’ve been at it for almost a decade now, I’ve conditioned myself to deal with much of the nonsense being churned out regularly by various mainstream/alternative media outlets.

Hint: Employing “filters,” recognizing who/what is behind the “news”- particularly their political leanings, and not taking what’s said at face-value might go a long way in maintaining one’s sanity.

That being said, I’d be lying if I claimed the hotly-contested U.S. presidential election and all the bung that’s come with it hasn’t made my work more difficult these past several months.

The phrase “excruciatingly painful” actually comes to mind as I type this, as the “nonsense” I referred to earlier has been magnified exponentially- to the extent that it’s even getting under my skin.

I can only imagine how this political circus is affecting other Americans…


“You’re driving me crazy!”
Suicidal Tendencies, Institutionalized (1983)
YouTube Video

So how does one deal with “election anxiety disorder,” as I’ve heard it being called?

Well, that Health.com/Fox News piece offered up several short-term, rather common-sense suggestions like “limit your media consumption” and “avoid getting into discussions about the election if you think they have the potential to escalate to conflict.”

But I also came across more long-term advice from modern survivalist/host of The Survival Podcast Jack Spirko recently on dealing with the freakshow. From the website intro to episode 1885, “Join the Quiet Insurrection” (posted October 18):

I sat today in dismay as I looked at Fox News and CNN for just a bit to get a feel for what is going on with the Assclown Circus of 2016. All I hear is each side saying the other side sucks more. I am getting emails from listeners about how family members are angry with each other because of who they will vote for or because they won’t vote at all.

I look and I see nothing but a nation on verge of just saying F-it and dropping a shit ton of LSD and lighting shit on fire. It saddens me and it makes me laugh at the same time. I know as I have always taught there is no solution in the halls of government or in arguing with your friends and family about which criminal is worse or even making the case that they are all criminals. The only real solutions are in the acts of sedition and insurrection

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Now, Spirko is definitely not calling for violence here. Rather, a “quiet insurrection” which TSP practitioners “have been involved in for almost a decade now.”

The episode is an interesting listen. Cathartic possibly for those afflicted with this so-called election anxiety disorder.

“Join the Quiet Insurrection” can be accessed via The Survival Podcast website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Mango, Alison. “6 ways to manage election stress.” Health.com. 18 Oct. 2016. (http://www.foxnews.com/health/2016/10/18/6-ways-to-manage-election-stress.html). 27 Oct. 2016.

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Thursday, October 27th, 2016 Alternative Media, Government, Health, Mainstream Media, Preparedness, Propaganda Comments Off on The Survival Podcast’s Jack Spirko Offers Advice For Combating ‘Election Anxiety Disorder’

Quote For The Week

“You have to take that sort of moderate, ‘We just want to have common sense legislation so our children are safe!’ You say shit like that, and then people will buy into it.”

-Mary Bayer, DNC a former Democratic delegate and a volunteer organizer for Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign (per Daily Caller website), discussing “how the Democratic Party and Hillary Clinton hide the fact that they want to ban all guns” (per Project Veritas Action video description)


“Clinton Delegate Explains How Democrats Will Ban All Guns”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Tuesday, July 26th, 2016 Government, Gun Rights, Hunting, Legal, Political Parties, Self-Defense, Shooting Sports Comments Off on Quote For The Week

Hillary Clinton: White Americans ‘Need To Recognize Our Privilege And Practice Humility’

The “favorite daughter” of Park Ridge, Illinois- Hillary Clinton- gave this advice to white Americans Monday at the NAACP convention in Cincinnati, Ohio:

We white Americans need to do a better job of listening when African-Americans talk about the seen and unseen barriers you face everyday. We need to recognize our privilege and practice humility rather than assume our experiences our everyone’s experiences…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“We need to recognize our privilege and practice humility”

Speak for yourself.


“Hillary: White Americans Need To Do A Better Job Recognizing Their Privilege”
YouTube Video

“Divisive politics” in an attempt to mobilize this particular group of voters for the November election.

Just what this country needs right now as “hard times” fast approach (again).

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Tuesday, July 19th, 2016 Political Parties, Racism, Recession Comments Off on Hillary Clinton: White Americans ‘Need To Recognize Our Privilege And Practice Humility’

Jeremy Grantham: ‘Still No Signs Of An Equity Bubble About To Break’

Right before the weekend, Jeremy Grantham, the British-born investment strategist and founder/former chairman of Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. (currently overseeing $99 billion in client assets), penned an article on the Barron’s website entitled “Jeremy Grantham Warns on Immigration, Brexit.” As part of this piece Grantham, whose individual clients have included former U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney and U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, talked about U.S. stock prices. He wrote:

Despite brutal and widespread asset overpricing, there are still no signs of an equity bubble about to break, indeed cash reserves and other signs of bearishness are weirdly high.

In my opinion, the economy still has some spare capacity to grow moderately for a while. All the great market declines of modern times- 1972, 2000, and 2007- that went down at least 50% were preceded by great optimism as well as high prices. We can have an ordinary bear market of 10% or 20% but a serious decline still seems unlikely in my opinion. Now if we could just have a breakout rally to over 2300 on the S&P 500 and a bit of towel throwing by the bears, things could change. (2300 is our statistical definition of a bubble threshold.) But for now I believe the best bet is still that the U.S. market will hang in or better, at least through the election

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

“2300 is our statistical definition of a bubble threshold”

2,300 on the S&P 500 was the same bubble threshold Grantham indicated in his last quarterly investment newsletter contribution. He wrote in May:

2) that we are unlikely, given the beliefs and practices of the U.S. Fed, to end this cycle without a bubble in the U.S. equity market or, perish the thought, in a repeat of the U.S. housing bubble; 3) the threshold for a bubble level for the U.S. market is about 2300 on the S&P 500, about 10% above current levels, and would normally require a substantially more bullish tone on the part of both individual and institutional investors; 4) it continues to seem unlikely to me that this current equity cycle will top out before the election and perhaps it will last considerably longer…

As I type this Monday afternoon, the S&P 500 stands at 2,167.

An interesting article by Grantham, which you can read in its entirety here on the Barron’s website.

By the way, I noticed there’s a comment attached to that piece from “Christopher Hill.” That is not from me.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Monday, July 18th, 2016 Bubbles, Crash Prophets, Federal Reserve, Housing, Investing, Monetary Policy, Stocks Comments Off on Jeremy Grantham: ‘Still No Signs Of An Equity Bubble About To Break’

Signs Of The Time, Part 107

Personally, I believe that whoever wins the White House in November will be inheriting a “poisoned chalice” when it comes to the economy.

I strongly suspect the United States will enter into recession (if it’s not already in one) shortly.

And I fear the next (final?) stage of a U.S. financial crash I first started warning about back on Memorial Day Weekend 2007 may be helped along with the election of one particular candidate to the highest political office in the land after spotting the following this morning on the CNBC website.

John Harwood reported Monday:

One of President Barack Obama’s economic advisers will join Hillary Clinton’s campaign in another sign of close coordination between the White House and the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Jacob Leibenluft, deputy director of the National Economic Council, will become a senior policy adviser as Clinton prepares to fill out her economic agenda for the general election…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Anyone looking forward to four (eight?) more years of “Obamanomics”?

If so, it sounds like that could very well be what’s in store for the country again after November 8, based on this news and other developments I’ve been following.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

Harwood, John. “Hillary Clinton to add Jacob Leibenluft, Obama’s long-time economic adviser, to campaign team.” CNBC.com. 20 June 2016. (http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/20/hillary-clinton-to-add-jacob-leibenluft-obamas-long-time-economic-adviser-to-campaign-team.html?utm_content=buffer72413&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer). 21 June 2016.

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Tuesday, June 21st, 2016 Fiscal Policy, Government, Political Parties, Recession, Signs Of The Time Comments Off on Signs Of The Time, Part 107

Quote For The Week

“Somebody says they’re going to make America great again. They need to talk to people for whom it wasn’t so great. And then we need to recognize that white, non-college-educated Americans have seen great drops in their income, have seen great increases in their unemployment rate, have seen drops in their life expectancy. And they need to be brought along to the future. But they can’t live under the illusion that you can reclaim a past which is just that- past. This country is always about the future…”

-Former U.S. President Bill Clinton, speaking at Union County College (Cranford, New Jersey) on June 1

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Monday, June 6th, 2016 Employment, Health, Income, Main Street, Political Parties, Quote For The Week Comments Off on Quote For The Week

Jim Rogers: ‘Not All Of Us Are Going To Survive What’s Coming In The Next Few Years’

Well-known investor, financial commentator, and author Jim Rogers was recently interviewed by Jay Taylor (editor of J Taylor’s Gold & Technology Stocks newsletter) for the radio show Turning Hard Times into Good Times. It was a phenomenal discussion about a number of finance/investing related topics.

Regular readers of Survival And Prosperity know that the former investing partner of George Soros is forecasting that the U.S. economy will be in recession “sometime in the next year or two.” He’s also seeing signs of the next economic crisis “already happening.” But does Rogers think the winner of this November’s U.S. presidential election will turn the country around? He lamented:

No matter who of the major candidates, no matter who wins Jay, it’s not going to be good for America or good for the world. If Donald Trump does the things he says he going to do, I mean, we’re going to have trade wars with half the world. Well trade wars have always, always, throughout history led to bankruptcy and led to war. I don’t know if he means what he says, I don’t know if he knows he means what he says. But Sanders of course, Sanders will bankrupt us very, very quickly. Hillary Clinton, for god’s sake, she’s a disaster too! The bankruptcy will just be slower, that’s all, if she’s elected. So, I don’t see any prospects for salvation for the U.S. from the present people who are likely to become President of the United States.

Host Jay Taylor asked the world traveler if he knew of any “safe” place where Americans could weather the approaching economic storm. From their exchange:

TAYLOR: Is there any place- you’re in Singapore, I suspect you feel relatively safe there- but is there any place where people might go, people who cherish freedom and the opportunities to use their God-given talents? Is there any place on Earth besides Singapore, or where can we go? Is there any place to go? It used to be the United States. I felt that we were safe here. Is there any place we can go to be safe? I guess the answer is probably there’s no place you can be sure of, right?
ROGERS: Well, there’s no place at the moment that I know of. Even Singapore, as I said before, the port here is the most important port in Asia and if things blow up, everybody needs that port. And Singapore has a lot of Muslim neighbors too that could turn into a problem some day. Where would one go? I think one needs to find an isolated place. I guess maybe some places in South America. Maybe a way to make it through. Some places in Asia. North Korea, I’m very optimistic. North Korea has dramatic changes taking place. It’s where China was in 1981. But if there’s a war, North Korea is probably going to be involved. All of Korea is probably going to be involved too. But you need to find a place Jay that’s not in the mainstream where people don’t really care too much. But even then you have to be careful because you wind end up in a place where the army’s using you as a highway or a transit point. So you have to be careful.

Rogers concluded the interview with this advice to listeners:

I urge people to get knowledgeable from listening to you and other people like you, because the world is facing some very complicated and difficult times. Once you become knowledgeable, you’re going to get very worried, which you should, and then you might get prepared, because not all of us are going to survive what’s coming in the next few years. I hope I survive, I hope everybody listening to this survives. But it’s going to be a very, very damaging and difficult time. So be worried. Be prepared.


“Where is Jim Rogers Investing His Money Now?”
YouTube Video

Jim Rogers’ latest book…

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Friday, May 13th, 2016 Asia, Bankruptcy, Crash Prophets, Freedom, Preparedness, South America, War Comments Off on Jim Rogers: ‘Not All Of Us Are Going To Survive What’s Coming In The Next Few Years’

Peter Schiff: Rising Gold Stock Prices ‘Just Getting Started’

Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, was on the Fox Business Network yesterday. Chatting with Liz Claman about the recent terrific performance of gold mining stocks, Schiff told viewers:

But this is just getting started. These gold stocks are just recovering ground they never should have lost. I don’t know why anybody’s surprised at these bad numbers coming out of Macy’s. The retailers have been reporting horrible sales all year. The consumer is broke. We are back in recession. That’s why Trump is a nominee. That’s why Bernie Sanders is beating Hillary Clinton in all these primaries. Because the voters know how awful this economy is. They don’t have any money left to spend…


“Retail Tanking, Gold Stocks Doubling”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Thursday, May 12th, 2016 Commodities, Crash Prophets, Investing, Main Street, Precious Metals, Recession, Spending, Stocks Comments Off on Peter Schiff: Rising Gold Stock Prices ‘Just Getting Started’

Peter Schiff: Obama, Fed Presided Over Phony Recovery, Sees ‘Major, Major Currency Crisis’ Coming

This past weekend, Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, uploaded a new video to The Schiff Report on YouTube.com. Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, noted that it had been a while since he released an entry to this vlog. As such, Schiff talked about a number of subjects. He advised viewers:

I think that we’re already in recession. It’s just that the Fed hasn’t acknowledged it yet. And one of the reasons that Janet Yellen is so reluctant to come clean and acknowledge how weak the economy is because number one, it undercuts President Obama, who’s going around the world claiming the United States has the strongest economy in the world when we’re, in fact, in recession. Even Europe is growing faster than the United States. Yet somehow President Obama wants to claim credit for saving the U.S. economy and producing all this non-existent growth. While the Federal Reserve doesn’t want to peddle fiction, in the words of President Obama. So it doesn’t want to basically undercut his message of an economic recovery by acknowledging that it’s over. And for the same reason the Fed doesn’t want to take the wind out of Hillary Clinton’s sails, because she wants to sail into the White House based on the prosperity that was supposedly created by President Obama. So Janet Yellen doesn’t want to undercut her message because she wants to run on four more years. And the Fed can’t admit that we’re back in recession. And also the Federal Reserve has already claimed credit for success. They want to pretend that their monetary policies created this real recovery. They don’t want to acknowledge it ended. So they have their own credibility on the line. They want to pretend that the economy is still recovering…

Meanwhile, I think it’s the United States that’s going to launch a whole new round of easing. I think they’re going to be lowering interest rates back to zero and launching QE 4. The only unknown is whether they’re going to do it before or after the election. And it depends on how quickly the economy or the markets unravel, because Yellen would rather have to come to the rescue of the economy before the election, because admitting that it needs rescuing is going to be a problem for Hillary Clinton and it’s going to help Donald Trump. And I know Janet Yellen does not want to see Donald Trump as the next President. So that is the fine line that she is trying to walk. Whether she admits the economy is weak enough and needs stimulus, or whether she puts the stimulus anyway because it’s so weak she’s worried about the economy being too deep in a recession when voters go to the polls. And in that case, the Federal Reserve simply has to come up with some kind of excuse to try and blame things on the global economy. But the problem is, the situation is already turning around in the global economy. The real problem in the global economy is the United States.

And if you look at the action in the markets, people are just starting to figure this out. But it’s still kind of like a deer in the headlight moment. I think a lot of traders, a lot of people who are managing money on Wall Street. They’ve been getting beaten up this year. A lot of the big players are losing a lot of money because they are positioned for the wrong outcome. Everybody has believed this narrative of a legitimate recovery, where the Federal Reserve will be normalizing interest rates. I’ve known all along that that was a farce. That the economy hadn’t recovered. That the Federal Reserve had in fact prevented a recovery. That the U.S. economy is actually in worse shape now than it was in 2008. So rather than a recovery, we actually got sicker. We just covered up some of the symptoms. But we have exacerbated all of the problems. And President Obama- he’s hasn’t presided over a recovery at all. He’s presided over a bigger bubble than his predecessor. And in fact, the economic disaster that awaits his successor, is going to be much bigger than the disaster he inherited from George Bush. And he spent the entire last eight years of his presidency blaming everything bad on Bush, and claiming that he got us out of that mess. Well, the reality is, he has gotten us into a much bigger mess. And whoever succeeds him is going to have to deal with it. It will be interesting though if its ends up being Hillary Clinton. Is she going to still blame the disaster on Bush, and just forget about the eight years of Obama, and try and blame the recession she is going to inherit as some kind of leftover, residual recession from the Bush years? As if President Obama had actually nothing to do with it, when his policies simply exacerbated all the problems. He just double-downed on the failed policies of Bush. But then he added a lot of other policies that were even worse. And that is why this so-called recovery has been the weakest recovery that we have ever had. And, in fact, if the truth were known. If the numbers weren’t cooked by artificially-low inflation rates, we would have a much weaker recovery or we’d have no recovery at all. But the people who are voting for Bernie Sanders or voting for Donald Trump- they are living in this recession. This phony recovery that President Obama and the Federal Reserve want to take credit for.

Schiff hasn’t deviated from his long-held belief of a coming dollar crisis. He warned viewers:

This is going to be a major, major currency crisis. And unfortunately, the currency crisis/economic crisis that’s coming- maybe it’ll start before Obama leaves office, just like the financial crisis blew up on the last year of the Bush administration. Or maybe it will be an inaugural present for Donald Trump or for Hillary Clinton. But this crisis that’s coming is going to be much worse, much worse, on an order of magnitude, kind of like a Richter scale-worse, than the financial crisis of 2008. Because the combination of bad fiscal policy and bad monetary policy, particularly monetary policy but also things like ObamaCare- all the things that the Federal Reserve and the federal government have done over the last seven or eight years have made the problem so much worse. Meanwhile, the debt has gotten so much bigger. The leverage has gotten so much bigger. The number of players, the financial markets, are so much more out-of-whack based on a false expectation of what is likely to happen. I mean, this is worse- these are bigger imbalances than we had leading up to the 2008 financial crisis. Fewer people are prepared for what’s going to happen. And when it does, it’s going to be a major economic upheaval, much worse than what we had in ’08 from the perspective of the average American… When you have a currency crisis, when the dollar is collapsing, when the cost of living is going up, and then people start to lose these part-time jobs- you lose your job and the cost of living goes up. This is going to be much worse.


“Gold and Currency Markets Expose U.S. Recovery Myth”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Tuesday, May 3rd, 2016 Bailouts, Bubbles, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Debt Crisis, Employment, Europe, Federal Reserve, Fiscal Policy, Government, Inflation, Interest Rates, Main Street, Monetary Policy, Political Parties, Recession, Recovery, Stimulus, Wall Street Comments Off on Peter Schiff: Obama, Fed Presided Over Phony Recovery, Sees ‘Major, Major Currency Crisis’ Coming
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