bear markets

Jim Rogers Predicts ‘A Canned Goods Kind Of Time’ In The Next Few Years

In our present discussion of money/investing matters on Survival And Prosperity I’ve already brought up one “crash prophet” this week in Jeremy Grantham. Today, I want to talk about another “prophet”- investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers.

The former investing partner of George Soros in the legendary Quantum Fund is not as optimistic about the U.S. stock market as his British colleague. Rogers sat down with Pete Sweeney, Asia Editor of Reuters BREAKINGVIEWS, and issued the following warning in a November 22 podcast. From their exchange:

REUTERS: You’ve been predicting of late a big market crash to come. Now, as we have markets hitting new highs every minute it seems and people are shorting volatility indexes apparently. I just want to move us forward a little bit. Let’s assume it does happen next year. Let’s assume all this crazy happiness evaporates in a big disaster. What do you think the strategy is for positioning in terms of assets, regions?
ROGERS: Look, let me make sure that we have it clear. What I have said was, that we will have a bear market again some day. Now, Janet Yellen, the head of the Federal Reserve in America, says we won’t. She says everything is okay now and there won’t be anymore economic problems. I happen to disagree with her, and I know we will have bear markets again. And what I said was, the next one we have when it comes is going to be the worst in your life- the worst in my lifetime. And I think I’m older than you. The reason for that being, 2008 we had a problem- too much debt. We had a problem. The next time around debt, is so, so, so much higher Pete. In the last nine years debt has skyrocketed. So the next time we have a bear market, it’s going to be the worst in my lifetime. I wish I were smart enough to know when.
REUTERS: I’m just saying, for a hypothetical, because you’ve been watching these asset markets, because I hear people talking about this a lot. The question is, how do you make money off of it? You’re an investor. So you short everything? Do you buy canned goods, ammo, stuff? What looks attractive to you, assuming that you’re bearish on this?
ROGERS: Well, I’m not short. I bought stocks this week in China, in Japan, Zimbabwe, Taiwan. So I see opportunities on the long side in markets. Doesn’t mean I’m right. The bear market maybe start today. No, but I see opportunities. But if you’re worried about that you do need to learn how to sell short. Great fortunes can be made in a bear market selling short. I’m not sure canned goods is the place yet. No, no, don’t laugh, because we’re going to have some time in the next few years a canned goods kind of time. We’re going to have serious, serious problems in the world. I’m not sure canned goods is for the next bear market. But it’s… don’t forget your canned goods.

The commodities “guru” is still bullish on agriculture, suggesting:

If you’re worried about the world, and we are going to have a serious bear market, you should think about agriculture. Because agriculture will probably do well. That is a place that will probably disconnect, to use your term, in the next bear market.

The Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. elaborated on his new acquisitions, telling listeners:

I bought Japanese ETFs, Chinese ETFs, Taiwan ETFs, and Zimbabwe, the comparable of ETFs in Zimbabwe.

Finally, Rogers shared the following as the interview came to a close:

I own Japanese shares. Am I going to make money? I don’t know. But my view is, the Japanese stock market may go back to its all-time highs. And that would be a double if it does…

At the moment, I still see reasons to be optimistic in some markets that are still very depressed compared to the ones going through the roof.

Good interview questions and even better replies from the Singapore-based Rogers. You can listen to the entire 13-minute interview on the Reuters BREAKINGVIEWS website here.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. Christopher E. Hill, the creator/Editor of this blog, is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented on the site.)

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Jim Rogers Says Commodities Bull Market Alive, Shares Top Picks

Tonight I was reading HardAssetsInvestor.com, the research-oriented web site “devoted to sharing ideas about hard assets investing,” when I came across an interview of well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers. The former investing partner of George Soros touched on a number of topics, but I was most interested in what he had to say about the state of commodities and potential money-making opportunities in that area. From the exchange with HAI Managing Editor Sumit Roy:

ROY: If you look at the broad commodity indices, they’ve fallen for four-straight years. A lot of analysts are out there right now talking about how, given this poor performance, commodities are in a bear market. Do you agree with that?

ROGERS: I would disagree that the fundamentals are like that. If you look back at the bull market in stocks between 1982 and 2000, there were plenty of periods when stocks went down a lot and stayed down a while. You may remember in 1987, stocks went down 40 to 80 percent around the world. Many people said the bull market was over. Likewise, they said the same thing in 1989, 1990, 1994. I could go on and on.

In my view, the permanent fundamentals are not bad enough yet that the bull market is over. I still own some commodities, especially agriculture. It’s not over till it’s over…

ROY: What are your top commodity picks for the next year or two?

ROGERS: Agriculture’s extremely depressed, so I would look there to find places to invest in. Believe it or not, something like sugar is down more than 75 percent from its all-time high, and that was 40 years ago. If you’re talking about a depressed market, sugar’s very depressed. I would get out the charts and see which other ones are also depressed and start doing my homework in those areas.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

It’s common knowledge that Jim Rogers predicted the start of the commodities bull market that began in 1999.

Back on December 11, 2014, I blogged about what Singapore-based Rogers said regarding the best ways to invest in agriculture.

You can read the rest of the insightful HAI interview on their website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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GoldSilver.com’s Mike Maloney Sees Stock Market Crash Coming In Near Future

Yesterday, I noted the bull market in U.S. stocks turned 6.

Subsequently, I’ve been dying to hear what certain individuals in the finance/investing world think where equities might be heading from here.

Enter Mike Maloney, who I blogged about back on January 21. I wrote at that time:

Regular Survival And Prosperity readers may recall that GoldSilver.com used to be an affiliate marketing partner of the blog. Great company (specializes in the instruction of precious metals investing and providing world-class gold and silver dealer services and products), but they pulled the plug on their affiliate marketing program not too long ago. Anyway, I still receive e-mails from the Santa Monica, California-based operation, and yesterday I watched a video by Mike Maloney, the precious metals expert, advisor, and author who heads up the firm. Maloney has been an advisor to Robert Kiyosaki of Rich Dad Poor Dad-fame, and even wrote a book about investing in gold and silver under the Rich Dad’s Advisors series.

Maloney discussed the potential ramifications of the Swiss franc being unpegged from the euro in that GoldSilver.com video. Seizing upon another current event (the booming stock market), he warned viewers in a different video today:

Is there a stock market crash coming in your near future?

And I believe that there is…

The current stock market bull market that we’ve seen since 2009 is just a cyclical bull within a secular bear. And that it’s probably peaking and it’s going to continue down.


“Stock Super Bubble Setting Up For Crash – Mike Maloney”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Tuesday, March 10th, 2015 Bubbles, Investing, Precious Metals, Stocks No Comments
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