Council on Foreign Relations

Alan Greenspan: Gold Is A Currency, And Currently A Good Investment

Back in late October I recall The Wall Street Journal talking about some comments made by former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan to the Council on Foreign Relations concerning gold. I’ve been meaning to look into what Greenspan, who served as Fed Chair from 1987 to 2006, actually said about the precious metal. During lunchtime, I dug up the final version of the transcript from his visit with the CFR in New York City on October 29, 2014. From the exchange between the president of Greenspan Associates LLC and presider Gillian Tett:

TETT: I’m going to turn to the audience for questions in one minute, but before I do though, I just want to ask though, one of the really interesting chapters in your book is about gold. And there’s been a lot of media debate in the past about your views on gold.

You yourself oppose a question as to why would anyone want to buy this barbarous relic — I don’t know whether John Paulson is in the audience — but it’s an interesting question. But do you think that gold is currently a good investment given what you’re saying about the potential for turmoil?

GREENSPAN: Yes.

(LAUGHTER)

TETT: Do you put…

GREENSPAN: Economists are usually perfect in equivocating. In this case I didn’t equivocate. Look, remember what we’re looking at. Gold is a currency. It is still by all evidences the premier currency where no fiat currency, including the dollar, can match it. And so that the issue is, if you’re looking at a question of turmoil, you will find, as we always have in the past, it moves into the gold price.

But the gold price is actually sort of half a commodity price, so when the economy is weakening, it goes down like copper. But it’s also got a monetary characteristic which is instrinsic. It’s not inbred into human beings — I cannot conceive — of any mechanism by which you could say that, but it behaves as though it is.

Intrinsic currencies like gold and silver, for example, are acceptable about a third party guarantee. And, I mean, for example at the end of World War II, or just at the end of it, Germany could not import goods without payment in gold. The person who shipped the goods in would accept the gold, and didn’t care whether there was any credit standing — associated with it. That is a very rare phenomenon. It’s — it’s the reason why, for example, in a renewal of an agreement that the central banks have made — European central banks, I believe — about allocating their gold sales which occurred when gold prices were falling down, that has been renewed this year with a statement that gold serves a very important place in monetary reserves.

And the question is, why do central banks put money into an asset which has no rate of return, but cost of storage and insurance and everything else like that, why are they doing that? If you look at the data with a very few exceptions, all of the developed countries have gold reserves. Why?

TETT: I imagine right now, it’s because of a question mark hanging over the value of fiat currency, the credibility going forward.

GREENSPAN: Well, that’s what I’m getting at. Every time you get some really serious questions, the 50 percent of the gold price determination begins to move.

TETT: Right.

GREENSPAN: And I think it is fascinating and — I don’t know, is Benn Steil in the audience?

TETT: Yes.

GREENSPAN: There he is, OK. Before you read my book, go read Benn’s book. The reason is, you’ll find it fascinating on exactly this issue, because here you have the ultimate test at the Mount Washington Hotel in 1944 of the real intellectual debate between the — those who wanted to an international fiat currency which was embodied in John Maynard Keynes’ construct of a banker, and he was there in 1944, holding forth with all of his prestige, but couldn’t counter the fact that the United States dollar was convertible into gold and that was the major draw. Everyone wanted America’s gold. And I think that Benn really described that in extraordinarily useful terms, as far as I can see. Anyway, thank you.

TETT: Right. Well, I’m sure with comments like that, that will be turning you into a rock star amongst the gold bug community…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I’m not sure if the above will mean Greenspan is now a rock star among the “gold bugs”- he’s still considered by many as being a habitual asset bubble blower. But such a high-profile individual within the global financial community lending support to the ideas that gold is a currency and currently a good investment will no doubt anger a number of gold bears and haters.

You can read the entire transcript of Greenspan’s visit to the CFR on their website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Nuclear Material On The Loose

“The Obama administration is warning that the danger of a terrorist attack with nuclear weapons is increasing, but U.S. officials say the claim is not based on new intelligence and questioned whether the threat is being overstated.”

Washington Times, April 14, 2010

I don’t agree with President Obama on a number of things, but here’s one we do see eye-to-eye on:

The threat posed by nuclear terrorism.

Consider recent events in the former Soviet Union. Desmond Butler of the Associated Press reported back on December 9:

Despite years of effort and hundreds of millions of dollars spent in the fight against the illicit sale of nuclear contraband, the black market remains active in the countries around the former Soviet Union. The radioactive materials, mostly left over from the Cold War, include nuclear bomb-grade uranium and plutonium, and dirty-bomb isotopes like cesium and iridium.

The extent of the black market is unknown, but a steady stream of attempted sales of radioactive materials in recent years suggests smugglers have sometimes crossed borders undetected. Since the formation of a special nuclear police unit in 2005 with U.S. help and funding, 15 investigations have been launched in Georgia and dozens of people arrested.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

And what of the years between 1991 (Georgian independence) and 2005? I shudder to think how much radioactive material might have found their way across the Georgian border and into the hands of the bad guys during those 14 years.

According to the piece, highly-enriched uranium has also recently been seized from smugglers in Moldova, another former Soviet republic.

From the Council on Foreign Relations website:

There have been no confirmed reports of missing or stolen former-Soviet nuclear weapons, but there is ample evidence of a significant black market in nuclear materials. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has reported more than a hundred nuclear smuggling incidents since 1993, eighteen of which involved highly enriched uranium, the key ingredient in an atomic bomb and the most dangerous product on the nuclear black market.

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

That portion of the CFR website was last updated in January 2006.

While the Council said there have been no confirmed reports of missing or stolen nuclear weapons, the same can’t be said of nuclear material. Butler added:

Russia maintains that it has secured its radioactive material — including bomb-grade uranium and plutonium — and that Georgia has exaggerated the risk because of political tension with Moscow. But while the vast majority of the former Soviet Union’s nuclear arsenal and radioactive material has been secured, U.S. officials say that some material in the region remains loose.

“Without a doubt, we are aware and have been over the last several years that not all nuclear material is accounted for,” says Simon Limage, deputy assistant secretary for non-proliferation programs at the U.S. State Department. “It is true that a portion that we are concerned about continues to be outside of regulatory control.”

(Editor’s note: Italics added for emphasis)

“U.S. officials say that some material in the region remains loose.”

If smuggling is taking place and the whereabouts of the nuclear material is unknown, I wonder if the above shouldn’t be changed to “some material from the region remains loose?”

Since illegal aliens and drugs routinely manage to find their way into the United States, it requires no stretch of the mind to envision nuclear material for a terrorist weapon also being smuggled in.

Butler’s incredibly-informative piece be read on the Yahoo! News website here.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Friday, December 21st, 2012 Crime, Europe, Public Safety, Terrorism No Comments
Survival And Prosperity
Est. 2010, Chicagoland, USA
Christopher E. Hill, Editor

Successor to Boom2Bust.com
"The Most Hated Blog On Wall Street"
(Memorial Day Weekend 2007-2010)

This Project Dedicated to St. Jude
Patron Saint of Desperate Situations



Please Rate this Blog HERE

happyToSurvive

Advertising Disclosure here. "Code Needed"=Promo Code Found On Advertiser Website. Ad Captions Last Updated 4/18/16.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Remington Sale Ends 4/30
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Blade HQ Knives Blade HQ Review Coming Soon
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Buy Gold And Silver Coins Gold/Silver Sale, inc. Chinese Gold Pandas, 90% Silver Franklin Half Dollars (Singles/Rolls/Bags). BGASC Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
BullionVault World's Largest Online Investment Gold Service & Part-Owned By World Gold Council. BullionVault.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Home Of "Survival Seed Vault" Premium Heirloom Survival Seeds. MyPatriotSupply.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Nitro-Pak--The Emergency Preparedness Leader Wise Foods Sale, Up To 50% Off; Mountain House Sale, Up To 35% Off; Warehouse & Clearance Sale, Up To 70% Off! Nitro-Pak Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Instant Upgrades! Up To $977.99 In Free Meals; Dehydrated Green Beans Up To 34% Off; Sampler Pack Now Only $25. Food Insurance Reviewed HERE.
Firefield Sale Ends 4/30
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Chief Supply Tactical Apparel and Gear for Law, Fire, EMS, Military and Outdoors @chief Tru-Spec 24/7 Series Pants 25% Off Thru 4/30; Free Bluetooth Speaker w/ Fatt Maxx 6"/8" Side-Zip Boots; 25% Off Propper Polo Shirts (Code Needed). CHIEF Supply Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
World's First Bulletproof Baseball Cap Only $129; Bulletproof Ceramic Plate (NIJ Level III Stand-Alone) Only $169; Bulletproof Backpack/Messenger Bag Panel Only $99. BulletSafe Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Firearm Training Alternatives (Airguns/Airsoft). PyramydAir.com Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
40% Off All Orders Thru 4/20 12 PM PST (Code Needed). Airsoft Megastore Reviewed HERE.
ANY CHARACTER HERE
Survival Titles Save 20% 35% Off All "Deals Of The Week" Thru 4/18 (Code Needed). Paladin Press Reviewed HERE.
 

Categories

Archives

Prepper Website

RSS Chris Hill’s Other Blog: Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes

  • Memorial Day 2016
    There will be no new material posted on Offshore Safe Deposit Boxes today in honor of the gallant men and women that served, fought, and died in defense of this amazing country of ours. New posts will appear tomorrow. Enjoy the remainder of this long holiday weekend. Christopher E. Hill Editor
  • New Additions To List Of Offshore Private Vaults
    Here are new entries to that list of offshore private vaults on my website of the same name: • Barcelona Vaults (Barcelona, Spain- opening June 2016) • Fish Brothers (London and its suburb Southall, England) • Montgomery Security Vaults (Lagos, Nigeria) • Panama Vaults (Panama City, Panama) • Safe Independent Co. (Pattaya, Thailand) • SINCONA […]
  • New York City Bank Safe Deposit Boxes Robbed Yet Again
    On April 13, I blogged about safe deposit boxes in an HSBC bank branch in Borough Park, Brooklyn, New York City, being robbed. In that post, I added: I wouldn’t go so far as to say New York City is suffering an epidemic of bank safe deposit box robberies, but regular readers of Offshore Safe […]
  • Degussa’s Next Numis Day
    Degussa, a leading international player in the precious metals world which also offers safe deposit boxes (for customers) at branches in Germany, Singapore, Spain, and Switzerland, has posted information about the next Numis Day (first blogged about here) at their Geneva and Zurich showrooms. From their website: The Next Numis Day We appreciate and appraise […]
  • Baoku Treasury, World’s Largest Private, Non-Bank Safe Deposit Box Facility, Opens In Shanghai, China
    Regular readers of this blog know that new private, non-bank safe deposit box facilities keep popping up all over the world. Here’s one that sounds particularly impressive in terms of size, security, and customer “perks.” From the website of China Daily on March 19: As one component of the Guanfu Baoku project, the Baoku Treasury, […]