dollar collapse

Peter Schiff: Invest Overseas, Buy Commodities To Avoid Either U.S. Stock, Dollar Plummet

Turning to “crash prophet” Peter Schiff this afternoon, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital was recently interviewed by Scott Gamm of TheStreet. Schiff, who correctly-called the housing bust and economic crisis last decade, echoed colleague Jim Rogers in warning about a future bear market in U.S. stocks. From the exchange:

THESTREET: Peter, it’s been an incredible record run here. And the levels we’re seeing now even with this slight pullback were record highs not too long ago. So, what do you say?
SCHIFF: Well, the bubble keeps getting bigger. Donald Trump called it himself as a candidate. He said it was a big, fat, ugly bubble. He was right then. He’s wrong now because now he denies it’s a bubble because he’s now the President and so it’s his bubble. And so he’d rather it be a bull market. But the valuations here really are extreme. The complacency is also extreme. I mean, investors are willing to pay very high prices and have very little worry (chuckle) that the stock market is going to go down. And people have very short memories. I’ve mean, we’ve had two major 50 percent declines in the stock market this century, since 2000. So we’ve had the market cut in half twice and it can easily happen again, yet nobody seems concerned. And I think one of the reasons is because the last two times the market went down the Fed was able to bail out investors to bet on one bubble by inflating a bigger one. So a lot of investors may have been conditioned to believe that even if the market implodes, if they hold on, they’ll get their money back. But the third time might not be the charm. It’s possible that the Fed can’t blow a bubble big enough to bail out investors this time…
THESTREET: So do you think that tide kind of turns in the next year?
SCHIFF: Hey, I don’t know. There’s no way to know. I mean, I think Donald Trump has nominated somebody who will try and do his best to keep the air in the bubble- cut rates, QE 4. But at some point, the market forces will overwhelm the Fed. The market will go down. And if it doesn’t go down the dollar will collapse instead. But either way, you’re going to see the real value of U.S. stocks come way down, whether it happens nominally or not. And I have a feeling that if the Fed prints enough money to prevent the market from going down dramatically, then the real losses will be even bigger because of the implosion of the U.S. dollar.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

When asked about advice for investors as to where to put their money right now if they’re worried about U.S. stocks, the author of The Real Crash: America’s Coming Bankruptcy – How to Save Yourself and Your Country told viewers:

People who are in the U.S. market are overlooking much better returns from much better valuation levels that are happening overseas. So I think people should take advantage of the overpriced U.S. stock market, the overpriced U.S. dollar, and sell, and move money abroad. Get into the international markets- developed and emerging. Get into the commodities space. Look at oil hitting a new two-year high again today. This is going on in commodities across the board. We are coming off of major bear markets. We’re in the infancy of new bull markets. And I think the dollar is about to get killed. This is the first year in many years now that the dollar is down. But I think it’s the first of many. I think the dollar could fall for the next 5 to 10 years in a major, major bear market taking the dollar to all-time record lows. And this will enable enormous profits for people who are invested outside the U.S. in the right currencies, the right assets, the right companies. That’s what I think we’re doing with our clients at Euro Pacific Capital and that’s certainly what I’m doing with my own money.


“Peter Schiff Slams Bitcoin, Federal Reserve and Antitrust Regulators”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. Christopher E. Hill, the creator/Editor of this blog, is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented on the site.)

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Jim Rogers: ‘Gigantic, Gigantic Currency Turmoil’ Coming

Well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers recently spoke to Mike Manciel of the Rethinking the Dollar project, whose objective is “to promote the importance of alternative education in the realm of monetary literacy.” In the exchange posted on YouTube.com on November 26, the former investing partner of George Soros in the legendary Quantum Fund talked about a number of financial topics, including currencies. Rogers told viewers:

In the next decade- if not much sooner- we’re going to have gigantic, gigantic currency turmoil. And that’s going to affect everything… The dollar is going to have a lot of problems. All currencies are going to have a lot of problems…

Addressing the U.S. dollar specifically, the Singapore-based investor said:

At the moment, I’m certainly watching currencies- especially the U.S. dollar. I own a lot of U.S. dollars for a variety of reasons…

People are worried about what’s happening in the world. And so a lot of money is coming into the U.S. to escape the turmoil they see elsewhere. Coming into the U.S. dollar. People think, Mike, around the world, think that the U.S. dollar is a safe haven. It’s not… But everybody thinks, they have the perception, that the U.S. dollar is a safe haven for historic reasons. So when they get scared they put their money into U.S. dollars. So the U.S. dollar is going higher and higher. I mean, that’s why I own a lot of U.S. dollars. Not because I think it’s a great place to be. Because I know the turmoil is coming. I know people will be scared. And the dollar will get overpriced. Might even turn into a bubble, Mike, before it’s over. But then, when everybody starts saying, “Wait a minute, this is crazy.” They start looking at the real fundamental situation of the U.S. dollar. Then they go and dump their U.S. dollars- I hope I get out first. And we’re going to have a gigantic, gigantic crisis. Be worried Mike, be worried…


“RTD Ep:50 “The Dollar Is Going To Have A Lot Of Problems” – Jim Rogers”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Wednesday, December 7th, 2016 Crash Prophets, Currencies, Investing No Comments

Martin Armstrong: ‘The United States Will Most Likely Break Apart By 2036’

Back on January 27, 2016, I asked:

Do any readers follow Martin Armstrong, economist at Armstrong Economics (and former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd.) and the creator of the Economic Confidence Model? While the jury’s still out on him (for me), I do read his blog almost daily…

I still “read his blog almost daily.” And something Armstrong wrote last week really caught my attention. From “The Termination of Cash Approaching Rapidly”:

I am becoming deeply concerned that the United States is headed into its version of a communist revolution under the label “progressive” and the bankers, who Larry Summers has always supported, will be used as the scapegoat for Wall Street and the “rich” who have to be stripped of their liberty and their money for the “good of the people” as they always say. The United States does not look like it will be a country we can recognize by 2032 if we can even make it past 2024. The United States will most likely break apart by 2036. There are separatist movements rising in many areas from Vermont and Texas to California, who reasons they voted for Hillary not Trump justifying their departure.

The entire purpose of eliminating cash is to strip us of our assets, liberty, and to prevent bank runs. The youth, who have been brainwashed by Bernie Sanders and people like Elizabeth Warren, will turn against the older generation and enslave them if at all possible. This threatens our future with outright civil war. They will not be satisfied until they destroy the freedom of their opposition. It is starting to appear that 2036 is our date with destiny

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

America kaput by 2036- if not earlier?

That’s a pretty disturbing thought. And reading that blog post reminded me of an article I pulled up almost eight years ago on The Wall Street Journal website (my how time flies) by Andrew Osborn, who discussed a similar prediction made by Russian academic Igor Panarin, a former KGB analyst and Dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s school for future diplomats (then and now). On December 29, 2008, Osborn wrote:

Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces — with Alaska reverting to Russian control…

California will form the nucleus of what he calls “The Californian Republic,” and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of “The Texas Republic,” a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an “Atlantic America” that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls “The Central North American Republic.” Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Obviously 2010 came and went… and the good ol’ U.S. of A. remains intact.

But I can’t help but wonder if Panarin’s prediction might not be in the same category as an infamous forecast made by the American financial analyst Meredith Whitney about a wave of municipal defaults. I wrote back on December 22, 2010:

Last night Whitney, now CEO and founder of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, appeared on CNBC and warned that a wave of defaults by state and local governments in the coming months will cause a sell-off in the municipal bond market, hurting U.S. economic growth and stocks- and causing social unrest

I blogged a year-and-a-half later:

Whitney will eventually be vindicated about the wave of defaults (her timing was just off)…

“Her timing was just off”

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Sources:

Armstrong, Martin. “The Termination of Cash Approaching Rapidly.” Armstrong Economics Blog. 24 Nov. 2016. (https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/taxes/the-termination-of-cash-approaching-rapidly-the/). 1 Dec. 2016.

Osborn, Andrew. “As if Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.” The Wall Street Journal. 29 Dec. 2008. (http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123051100709638419). 1 Dec. 2016.

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Peter Schiff: ‘The Day Of Reckoning Is Getting Closer And Closer’

Economist, financial broker/dealer, and author Peter Schiff appeared on the Alex Jones Show last Friday. Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, warned viewers of rising inflation, a U.S. dollar collapse, and civil unrest. The CEO of Euro Pacific Capital said:

Most people know there’s inflation. They don’t believe the government numbers or they don’t even know about the government numbers. All they know is that the cost of living is going up. Food is more expensive. Their utility bills are higher. Rent is going up. Health insurance premiums are going up. But Alex, we ain’t seen nothing yet. When it comes to inflation- this is just the beginning. The price increases that Americans have been enduring are only going to get much, much worse… But nobody is going to welcome a higher cost of living, and your best defense against that, as I said, is to protect yourself. To get out of your dollars. To diversify internationally

More and more people- mainstreaming people- I’m hearing people talk who now realize that this is the 9th inning of this thing, this whole experiment with Keynesianism and fiat money. It is very, very late in the game. Time is running out, right? The clock has been ticking and ticking. It is going to stop, and you can see that. The day of reckoning is getting closer and closer

The real drop is not just going to be in the pound, but in all the world’s fiat currencies. In particular, the U.S. dollar, which is at the center of this whole Frankenstein’s monster when it comes to a monetary system. And it is going to implode. And this dollar crisis is going to make the financial crisis of 2008 look like a Sunday school picnic, especially in the way it impacts people’s standards of living…

There is going to be, I think, rioting and looting. Especially when we have a currency collapse. Because I think then you’re going to have shortages. I think the government is going to impose price controls. And I think there is going to be a problem for people to get goods and services that are in short supply…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)


“Bubble Ready to Implode. Massive QE Coming!”
YouTube Video

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page. A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Peter Schiff: ‘The Dollar Is Going To Tank, And With It Is Going To Go The Standard Of Living Of America’

Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, appeared on the Alex Jones Show last Friday along with financial newsletter writer Harry S. Dent. Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, was asked by host Alex Jones about the state of the economy and what is going to be “the next shoe to drop.” Schiff replied:

I think the state of the economy is a disaster… But even if Harry is right, and the price of gold goes down, the price of real estate is going down more. The price of stocks is going down more. The price of everything else is going to go down more. So if you have your money in gold, and the price of gold falls, you’re still going to be richer than most everybody else on the planet… But if I’m right, and the dollar tanks, and you follow Harry’s advice, you’re broke, you’ve got nothing.

When asked about the state of the U.S. dollar. Schiff warned:

This is a gigantic bubble. We have conned the world into supplying us with merchandise in exchange for money that we create out of nothing with no real value. We’ve been able to borrow all this money. We have no ability to ever repay it. In fact, if interest rates go up we can’t even service the debt, let alone retire it. It’s all going to be inflated away. And the dollar is going to tank, and with it is going to go the standard of living of America, because we’ve basically decimated our industrial production. That is the problem. We’re living on credit, on printed money, and this is coming to an end. You need to be in gold and other assets.


“Peter Schiff and Harry Dent Debate on Economy”
(above exchange starts at 24 minutes)
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: A qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Peter Schiff: ‘Economy May Be Entering A Period Of Stagflation’

“I think now you’re going to see big increases in consumer prices. Remember the stagflation of the 1970s. Except this is going to have a lot more stagnation and a lot more inflation. And unlike what Ronald Reagan did at the end of that decade to put out that fire, nothing like that is going to happen this time because we can’t do it. We don’t have the tools. We can’t raise interest rates to fight inflation no matter how high inflation rises because that’s how broke we are. The only things keeping our institutions afloat, including the federal government, is artificially-low interest rates. And the more debt we have, the more important those low interest rates are to maintain the illusion of solvency. So, inflation is going to keep on going up and that is going to cause a flight from the dollar…”

-Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, in a February 5, 2016, entry on The Schiff Report vlog on YouTube.com

“Stagflation.” The word sends a shiver down my spine. And while Peter Schiff’s mention of it earlier this month caught my attention, alarm bells were sounding when the “crash prophet” talked more about stagflation in his Euro Pacific Capital weekly commentary that was just released Monday. From that piece:

Many were largely caught off guard by the arrival last Friday (February 19th) of new inflation data from the Labor Department that showed that the core consumer price index (CPI) rose in January at a 2.2 % annualized rate, the highest in more than 4 years, well past the 2.0% benchmark that the Fed has supposedly been so desperately trying to reach. It was received as welcome news…

In the past I argued that even a tiny, symbolic, quarter point increase would be sufficient to prick the enormous bubble that eight years of stimulus had inflated. Early results show that I was likely right on that point. The truth is that the economy may be entering a period of “stagflation” in which very low (or even negative) growth is accompanied by rising prices. This creates terrible conditions for consumers whereby prices rise but incomes don’t. This leads to diminished living standards.

The recent uptick in inflation does not somehow invalidate all the other signs that have pointed to a rapidly decelerating economy. Just because inflation picks up does not mean that things are getting better. It actually means they are about to get a whole lot worse. Stagflation is in fact THE nightmare scenario for the Fed. If inflation catches fire now, the Fed will be completely incapable of controlling it. If a measly 25 basis point increase could inflict the kind of damage already experienced, imagine what would happen if the Fed made a real attempt to raise rates to get out in front of rising inflation? With growth already close to zero, a monetary shock of 1% or 2% rates could send us into a recession that could end up putting Donald Trump into the White House. The Fed would prefer that fantasy never become reality…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, went on to predict a dollar collapse, accelerating consumer price increases, and the U.S. Treasury bubble bursting with this scenario. A grim outlook, which you can read in its entirety on the Euro Pacific Capital website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Peter Schiff: Gold Still On Course For $5,000 An Ounce Or More

In a recent MarketWatch phone interview, Peter Schiff, President and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, repeated his call for the price of gold to reach and possibly surpass $5,000. Myra Saefong reported on the financial news website Friday morning:

“You need to be long gold and there is going to be a huge payday,” Schiff said. “Ultimately,” gold will see $5,000 an ounce and it “could go higher.”

Though gold has been range bound since about mid-2013, Schiff said the turning point for the metal would be a close above the high it saw in January. Gold futures peaked at around $1,300.70 that month, according to FactSet.

“That’ll change the current dynamic,” Schiff argues…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I’ve blogged about that $5,000 number from Schiff before. Back on October 25, 2012, Schiff told viewers of CNBC’s Futures Now TV show:

$1,700? One day we’re going to look back at $1,700 with nostalgia. People are going to be shocked at how inexpensive gold was when it could be snapped up for such a bargain price. It’s not going to take too long. Just in a few years. I mean, we’re talking gold $5,000. That’s not the ceiling. That might end up being the low end of the range that we’re going to be into. Remember, Ben Bernanke has promised to print over a trillion dollars in 2013. I think he’s going to print more than that. It’s not going to revive the economy. It’s not going to create jobs. But it will help destroy the dollar. And that is going to send gold higher…

I think you’re going to see a big move in the next couple of years.

It’s not just physical gold he’s bullish on. Saefong added in that MarketWatch piece:

“I think the upside in gold stocks is phenomenal from here,” Schiff said.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Source:

Saefong, Myra. “Peter Schiff, more bullish than ever, sees gold headed to $5,000 an oz.” MarketWatch. 15 May 2015. (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/peter-schiff-more-bullish-than-ever-sees-gold-headed-to-5000-an-oz-2015-05-15?page=1). 16 May 2015.

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