gold

Peter Schiff On Gold: ‘We’re Going To Have A Big Rally Probably Beginning Here In The Second Half Of 2014’

It’s been a little over a month since I last blogged about “crash prophet” and head of Euro Pacific Capital Peter Schiff. But tonight, I’ll be talking about the first-ever installment of Peter Schiff’s Gold Videocast (which replaces the monthly Peter Schiff’s Gold Newsletter). Schiff, who also heads up Euro Pacific Precious Metals, told videocast viewers on July 9:

I think that the sellers have been exhausted in the gold market, and the buying continues. And when we run out of sellers- again, there’s only one direction for the price of gold. And I think once all of these speculators that have been shorting gold discover that their premise is wrong- that we’re not going to get this vibrant recovery. And that we’re not going to get less QE, we’re going to get more. That we’re not going to get rate hikes, but the Fed is going to keep interest rates at zero in order to prop up this phony, bubble economy that they’ve inflated. You’re going to have to see this mad rush from all the short sellers who are going to be anxious to buy back their money losing positions. But that’s going to be a lot more difficult, because there’s not going to be a lot of gold around. Because a lot of the gold that was liquidated in the second half of 2013 is not going to be available for sale in the second half of 2014. That gold was probably purchased by entities that never intend to sell it.

So I think we’re going to have a real short squeeze and we’re going to have a big rally probably beginning here in the second half of 2014. But maybe gathering momentum as the year comes to a close.

Schiff, who is credited for calling the U.S. housing bust and 2008 economic crisis, added:

I expect the price of silver to rise. Other precious metals- platinum- and commodities in general are all responding to the inflation that the Fed is creating to prop up this phony economy. All the while denying that inflation is a problem.


“Gold Videocast: Gold’s 2014 Half-Time Report”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Jim Rogers: Some Currencies, Real Assets Could Shine When Coming Bust Arrives

Enough about Chicago already. Let’s talk money.

Last time I blogged about well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers, he shared this warning regarding the ocean of liquidity that’s been created by unprecedented money printing via the world’s central banks:

When it ends, we will all pay a terrible price.

That was the end of May. And now?

Disturbingly, he’s singing the same tune.

Elena Torrijos reported on the Yahoo! Finance Singapore website yesterday:

He doesn’t know when the party is going to end, but he believes when it does, “we’re all going to suffer very, very badly”. He said the US would also fare worse than it has in previous economic setbacks because the country’s debt is now so much higher than before.

“So the next one [economic bust] is going to be much worse… so be worried, be careful and be prepared,” he warned.

Everybody should have a game plan, he said. “Learn how to cut back if you need to, even learn how to sell short. Short sellers are going to earn a lot of money the next time around,” he pointed out.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

The Singapore-based Rogers suggested certain currencies could initially offer refuge when the “bust” arrives. Torrijos added:

He believes some currencies are going to do well in that time of turmoil. “The Chinese renminbi, for instance, will probably continue to do extremely well over the next few years. I even own the US dollar at the moment. The US dollar is a terribly, terribly flawed currency, but at the moment I own it because when the turmoil comes many people will flee to what they see as a safe haven,” he said.

When invariably central banks start printing money to pump prime their economies, he’s not sure which currency he’d flee to. “Maybe the renminbi, maybe gold, probably real assets, because once the floodgates open even more, the value of paper money everywhere is going to go down a great deal,” he said.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

What about commodities- something with which the former investing partner of George Soros is so closely identified with? Back on December 3, 2013, Rogers appeared on The Lang and O’Leary Exchange, a Canadian business news television series which airs weekdays on CBC Television and CBC News Network. He told host Amanda Lang:

This is going to end badly. We’re all floating around on a sea of artificial liquidity right now Amanda. This is not going to last. No, no. And when it ends, the bull market in commodities will probably end too. But, the bull market in a lot of stuff will end.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Source:

Torrijos, Elena. “Jim Rogers reveals his Singapore investment strategy.” Yahoo! Finance Singapore. 14 July 2014. (https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/jim-rogers-reveals-his-singapore-investment-strategy-153319907.html). 15 July 2015.

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Resource Of The Week: Gold & Silver Vault App By GoldSilver.com

I meant to end last week on a high note- with a “Resource Of The Week” post- but was just too spent being sick and all. I’ve recovered. And before I start getting on a roll with this week’s blog material, I wanted to get that ROTW out to readers.

Now, as I’ve mentioned before on Survival And Prosperity, I’ve been a keen observer of gold and silver for some years now. And people who’ve been following the price action of these precious metals lately will tell you these are very interesting times (gold dropped to a 16-week low, silver to an 11-month low, last week).

Particularly if you hold either of the two as an investment/trading vehicle.

With all that’s been going on lately, more people might desire to keep a close eye on the latest gold and silver news and prices. Perhaps even keep track of the value of their holdings.

Enter the Gold & Silver Vault App by affiliate marketing partner GoldSilver.com. The Santa Monica, California-based gold and silver educator and dealer (reviewed here) now offers a free “app” for the Apple iPhone and Android which lets users track their gold and silver investment value 24/7:


“Gold & Silver Vault Phone App TVC V2”
YouTube Video

Looks very useful and informative. Too bad I don’t own a smartphone (maybe one of these days). But readers might.

Check out the Gold & Silver Vault App on GoldSilver.com via the banner ad below. The app can be found on the “Goldsilver” tab, in the “Knowledge Center” drop-down menu near the top of the page. Please note that by clicking on the ad and purchasing a product from GoldSilver.com, I receive a commission from the sale.


GoldSilver.com - Buy Gold & Silver

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: Link added to SP “Resources” page)

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Quote For The Week

“The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit.”

-Ralph Waldo Emerson (American essayist, lecturer, and poet. 1803-1882)

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Peter Schiff: ‘We Have An Entire Economy That Is Supported On A Foundation Of Bubbles’

Tonight I watched Peter Schiff’s presentation at the MoneyShow Las Vegas back on May 12, 2014. The CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital shared his current assessment of the U.S. financial landscape in “Too Big to Bail: Why the Next Financial Crisis Will Be Worse Than the Last”- as well as where he thinks we’re heading. Schiff warned attendees:

There is no economic recovery in the United States at all. There is no evidence of an economic recovery. The U.S. economy is in far worse shape than it was on the eve of the 2008 financial crisis. We have never been in as worse shape as we are right now. But they say, “Whoa! But the stock market went up.” Yeah, of course the stock market went up. You print enough money, you can make the stock market go up. Yes, the Federal Reserve succeeded in reflating the stock market bubble. But that’s all that it did. That isn’t evidence of a strong economy. Stock prices went up from 2002 to 2007. Does that mean we had a sound economy? No. We were on the verge of a complete implosion. The main difference though between the stock market bubble that we have today and the one that blew up, let’s say, in 2000, is that fewer individuals are participating. This is the bubble for the 1 percent. This is for the hedge funds, the private equity guys… The overwhelming concentration of buyers are very wealthy people. The average American is not participating in the stock market to the extent that he was in the 1990s. And so the Fed is not getting the boost to consumption that you would normally have from the wealth effect because a lot of people aren’t feeling the effects of the wealth because they don’t own stocks.

The same thing is happening in the real estate bubble, which the Fed has managed to reflate. The difference again between the real estate bubble we have now and the real estate bubble that popped in 2007 is again- the average American isn’t participating. Home ownership rates are at 19-year lows. You have hedge funds and private equity companies that are buying up real estate. Last month, I think 43 percent of all the properties purchased in America were purchased for cash. These are not typical Americans buying houses to live in. These are investors buying houses to flip, buying houses to rent out. This is not a healthy market. It is an extremely speculative real estate market thanks to the Federal Reserve.

So the Federal Reserve has managed to reflate two bubbles simultaneously.

And of course, the biggest bubble of them all is the bubble in the bond market.

So we have an entire economy that is supported on a foundation of bubbles…


“Peter Schiff at Las Vegas Moneyshow 2014”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Jim Rogers: ‘We’re All Going To Pay A Terrible Price’ When ‘Artificial Ocean Of Liquidity’ Ends

Tonight, I want to talk about well-known investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers. The former investing partner of George Soros- who I recently heard is worth approximately $300 million (Soros $23 billion)- recently shared his thoughts about the global financial system and potential investment opportunities.

On May 27, Nina Xiang of the China Money Network contributed the following on the Forbes website:

Legendary investor Jim Rogers has been warning about “the ocean of artificial liquidity” as a result of the unprecedented money printing by central banks around the world for quite some time now.

But with the U.S. stock market at an all-time high, his cautionary words seem to have hardly been heeded…

“When it ends, we will all pay a terrible price,” says Rogers…

Read it as an advocacy for an alternative attitude that is unpopular at the moment: the attitude of awareness that we are in this “artificial period” and it will end one day; the attitude of fearfulness that there will be more turmoil in the next ten years; the attitude of preparedness, that includes stocking up some extra food, a spare flashlight, and gold coins — instead of gold bars — for when the time of emergency comes…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)


“Jim Rogers: We Will All Pay A Terrible Price For Today’s Artificial Liquidity”
YouTube Video

Note that in the Chinese Money Podcast that was uploaded onto YouTube the same day as that Forbes piece, Xiang and Rogers talked about regional conflicts and the Singapore-based investor predicted:

I would suspect that sometime in the next ten years, the world’s going to have a bigger conflict.

On May 26, the text of another interview with Jim Rogers was published on the website of The Economic Times (India). Rogers, who correctly predicted the commodities rally that started in 1999, talked about the following investment opportunities:

• Gold and silver- “If it goes down, I assure you I will be buying more gold and more silver.”
• Crude oil- “Remember, all the other known reserves in the world are in decline, even if the supply from the US is rising. Everywhere else, there has been declining reserves, because there have been no great oilfield discoveries in over 40 years.”
• Sugar- “I am bullish on sugar.”
• U.S. dollar- “I own the US dollar and have not sold any. In fact, probably I would have bought some more, if I weren’t talking to you.”

Rogers concluded this discussion by sharing that:

I am still trying to find some more things to buy in Russia, maybe some Chinese shares and maybe some more Japanese shares…

Nice job by The Economic Times getting this information from Rogers.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Sources:

Xiang, Nina. “Why We Should All Take A Moment To Listen To Jim Rogers.” Forbes. 27 May 2014. (http://www.forbes.com/sites/ninaxiang/2014/05/27/why-we-should-all-take-a-moment-to-listen-to-jim-rogers/). 29 May 2014.

“Will be excited about investing in India if Narendra Modi delivers: Jim Rogers.” The Economic Times. 26 May 2014. (http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-05-26/news/50098911_1_jim-rogers-commodity-space-gold-imports). 29 May 2014.

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Sino-Russian Natural Gas Deal Blow To U.S. Dollar Supremacy?

“The Obama administration is playing down an increasingly warm relationship between its main global rivals, China and Russia, that it may have inadvertently encouraged.

U.S. officials maintain there is nothing to fear from the growing alliance between Moscow and Beijing, even as each throws its weight around in neighboring regions like Ukraine and the South China Sea and at international forums like the United Nations, where on Thursday they double-vetoed the latest in a series of Security Council resolutions on Syria.

Yet when coupled with growing cooperation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, in other areas- notably, a new $400 billion natural gas deal and apparent agreement on the crisis in Ukraine- many believe Russia and China may now or may soon represent a powerful new alliance challenging not only the United States, but also the Western democratic tradition that the U.S. has championed globally…”

-Associated Press, May 23, 2014

You may have heard about that $400 billion natural gas deal that was just struck between China and Russia. Or maybe you didn’t, as I’ve noticed the mainstream media hasn’t really been talking about it too much. Most of the outlets that did neglected to talk about the potential ramifications for the U.S. dollar.

There were exceptions. From the BBC News website on May 22:

Some papers are also analysing the impact of the deal on the world currency market.

A commentary in the Beijing Youth Daily says the deal will probably encourage more countries to not trade in US dollars if China and Russia decide to switch to clearing payments in Russian roubles and the yuan.

“The world economy and finance will then embark on a process to get rid of the US dollar, and the dominance of the dollar will gradually lose its support. The US will then face more challenges in its ability to control global economics and politics,” it says…

From Liam Halligan on The Telegraph (UK) website yesterday:

The real danger, in my view, is rather more abstract — but deadly important nevertheless. If Russia’s “pivot to Asia” results in Moscow and Beijing trading oil between them in a currency other than the dollar, that will represent a major change in how the global economy operates and a marked loss of power for the US and its allies.

With the dollar as the world’s petrocurrency, it also remains the reserve currency of choice for central banks globally. As such, the US is currently able to borrow with “exorbitant privilege”, as it has for decades, simply printing money to pay off foreign creditors.

With China now the world’s biggest oil importer and the US increasingly stressing domestic production, the days of dollar-priced energy, and therefore dollar-dominance, look numbered. Beijing has recently struck numerous agreements with major trading partners such as Brazil that bypass the dollar. Moscow and Beijing have also set up rouble-yuan swap facilities that push the greenback out of the picture.

If Russia and China now decide to drop dollar energy pricing totally, America’s reserve currency status could unravel fast, seriously undermining the US Treasury market and causing a world of pain for the West. This won’t happen tomorrow or next year. It’s unlikely even by 2020. But by announcing this deal, Russia and China turned the screw half a twist more…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Then there’s this from Max Keiser, an American filmmaker and host of the Keiser Report, a financial show on RT. From The Washington Times website earlier today:

He said the $400 billion, 30-year deal will further the strategic goals of Moscow and Beijing to diminish the status of the U.S. dollar by conducting world trade in critical commodities such as oil and gas using other currencies.

Russia is the world’s biggest producer of commodities such as crude oil, gold and titanium. China is the world’s biggest consumer of these commodities.

Both countries have chafed for years at having to conduct purchases and sales in dollars, as is customary worldwide. The gas deal announced in Beijing on Wednesday would be the first major commodities contract to be settled in Russian rubles and Chinese yuan rather than dollars.

“This means the U.S. dollar’s days as the world reserve currency are numbered,” said Mr. Keiser, noting that Russia and China have been investing heavily in gold.

Many analysts question whether Moscow and Beijing can succeed in displacing the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. If that happens, however, it likely would usher in a period of global financial instability and force Americans to pay much more for the massive amounts of imported energy, Mr. Keiser said…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

According to the Economist Intelligence Unit- the research and analysis division of The Economist Group, the sister company to The Economist newspaper- on May 22, it has been reported payments for the gas will be made in Chinese yuan rather than U.S. dollars.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Sources:

“China media: Russia gas deal.” BBC News. 22 May 2014. (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-27514395). 25 May 2014.

Halligan, Liam. “Russia-China gas deal could ignite a shift in global trading.” The Telegraph. 24 May. 2014. (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/10854595/Russia-China-gas-deal-could-ignite-a-shift-in-global-trading.html). 25 May 2014.

Hill, Patrice. “Russia’s Putin gains strategic victory with Chinese natural gas deal.” The Washington Times. 25 May 2014. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/may/25/russias-putin-gains-strategic-victory-with-chinese/). 25 My 2014.

“The Sino-Russian gas deal.” Economist Intelligence Unit. 22 May 2014. (http://www.eiu.com/industry/article/431836627/the-sino-russian-gas-deal/2014-05-22) 25 May 2014.

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Marc Faber: ‘I Will Never Sell My Gold And I Buy Every Month’

More recently, Swiss-born investor advisor/fund manager Marc Faber has been making headlines about his thoughts on equities. So I’ve been curious to hear what the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report has to say these days about precious metals. In particular, gold.

Dr. Faber appeared on the Bloomberg Television show Street Smart yesterday. From an exchange with host Trish Regan:

BLOOMBERG: Do you continue to invest in gold because of concerns about central banks?

FABER: Yes. I will never sell my gold and I buy every month some gold. I think it may still go down somewhat. But I wouldn’t be short gold.


“Marc Faber: I Will Never Sell My Gold”
(Gold discussion begins around 8:10)
Bloomberg Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Bearish Peter Schiff Debates Bullish Nouriel Roubini

“How long was I warning about the housing bubble and the financial crisis before it happened? It was years. It takes a while for these problems to surface. We do have an inflation problem. We do have a bubble. And commodity prices are rising. Gold prices are rising.”

-Peter Schiff, debating with noted “bear”-turned-“bull” Nouriel Roubini on CNBC’s Fast Money yesterday


“Roubini vs. Schiff: Who’s “Doomier” on US Economy?
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Richard Russell Warns ‘In A Matter Of Months, I See The Dollar Crashing’

Speaking of high-profile supporters of gold, how many readers have heard of Richard Russell? I had this to say about Mr. Russell of Dow Theory Letters-fame back on September 21, 2011:

Russell gained wide recognition from a series of over thirty Dow Theory and technical articles that he wrote for Barron’s during the late fifties through the nineties. Russell was the first (in 1960) to recommend gold stocks. He called the top of the 1949-66 bull market. And almost to the day he called the bottom of the great 1972-74 bear market, and the beginning of the great bull market which started in December 1974. Did I mention he’s been bullish about gold for almost a decade now?

Russell’s made some great calls over the years, and now he’s making headlines with another gigantic call. From the King World News Blog on April 22:

I think we are seeing the greatest transfer of wealth (West to East) in all history. China is amassing a huge hoard of gold while I don’t know how much the US and the English speaking nations actually have. The western central banks’ policy of selling gold to knock down the price is a disaster (and China must love it). The US will lose its reserve currency advantage within a few years or probably less time. Our defense against a weak economy is always to print more money. In a matter of months, I see the dollar crashing.”

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I was about to hit the sack the other evening when I read that last sentence, and knowing all too well Russell’s reputation, it gave me some late night jitters.

I’m not going to steal the thunder away from the King World News Blog, so check out everything that Russell’s had to say over there.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Peter Schiff On Gold: ‘Most Likely Prices Have Bottomed’

A little more than a week ago, Euro Pacific Capital’s Peter Schiff- who correctly called the housing bust and 2008 economic crisis- told CNBC viewers that gold prices would eventually head north of $5,000 an ounce (blogged about here).

Schiff did an e-mail interview with MarketWatch this week, and the CEO of Euro Pacific Precious Metals talked more about the yellow metal. From that exchange:

Q: What would you say to investors who are discouraged by gold’s performance so far this year? (Futures are prices up around 7% year to date, but only partially making up for last year’s plunge.)

Be patient. Many investors in the 90’s believed that gold was a dead asset class. But in the 10 years from 2001 to 2011, gold increased almost 900%. The moves come in waves.

Q: With prices currently under $1,300 an ounce, have prices hit bottom for this year? Is gold a bargain at these levels — is it a good time to buy now? Please explain.

Most likely prices have bottomed, as too many speculators are looking for lower prices. The fundamental case for gold has also never been stronger. From a gold short seller’s perspective, this will prove to be the equivalent of a perfect storm. Their losses will be severe…

I’ve been following gold closely for a decade now. I can’t remember any time in those last ten years when the amount of hate directed at the precious metal was ever greater. Particularly in the mainstream financial media and accompanying reader comment sections. Just check out some of the comments in the MarketWatch article I’ve been discussing if you don’t believe me.

I can’t help but wonder sometimes if paid “trolls” aren’t out in force these days in the various comment areas and forums with the mission of talking down gold and its highest-profile supporters at any chance they get.

Then again, many of these comments could just be coming from individuals who fear a rising gold price for some reason or another.

“Where you stand is where you sit”?

I just know one thing. I don’t see stocks catching nearly the same kind of flak as this particular “shiny lump of metal,” as one “correspondent” recently called gold.

Like Mr. Schiff pointed out- before the recent pullback, the price of one ounce of that “shiny lump of metal” increased almost 900 percent in the decade prior.

Anyone want to give me their “shiny lumps of metal”? It’s going to plummet past $1,000 to almost nothing anyway- if one believes what’s claimed in many comments and forums these days.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Source:

Saefong, Myra P. “Peter Schiff: Reckless Fed may push gold to $5,000.” MarketWatch.com. 25 Apr. 2014. (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/peter-schiff-reckless-fed-may-push-gold-to-5000-2014-04-25?pagenumber=1). 25 Apr. 2014.

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Gallup Poll: U.S. Adults Think Real Estate, Followed By Gold And Stocks, Is Best Long-Term Investment

Gallup just conducted an Economy and Personal Finances telephone poll from April 3-6 where they asked 1,026 U.S. adults the following question:

Which of the following do you think is the best long-term investment — [ROTATED: bonds, real estate, savings accounts or CDs, stocks or mutual funds, (or) gold]?

Their findings?:

-30 percent said real estate
-24 percent said gold
-24 percent said stocks/mutual funds
-14 percent said savings accounts/CDs
-6 percent said bonds

Now here’s something interesting. Rebecca Rifkin reported on the Gallup website yesterday:

Lower-income Americans, those living in households with less than $30,000 in annual income, are the most likely of all income groups to say gold is the best long-term investment choice, at 31%. Upper-income Americans are the least likely to name gold, at 18%…

Upper-income Americans are much more likely to say real estate and stocks are the best investment, possibly because of their experience with these types of investments…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Last April, real estate (25 percent) edged out gold (24 percent) in the poll, with stocks/mutual funds coming in at 22 percent.

In April 2012 and 2011, gold (28 and 34 percent, respectively) beat out runner-up real estate (20 and 19 percent, respectively) by significant margins.

Anyone else starting to think that the overall selection of “best long-term investment” for any particular year may be correlated with recent performance?

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Sources:

Riffkin, Rebecca. “Americans Sold on Real Estate as Best Long-Term Investment.” Gallup.com. 17 Apr. 2014. (http://www.gallup.com/poll/168554/americans-sold-real-estate-best-long-term-investment.aspx). 18 Apr. 2014.

Jacobe, Dennis. “Gold Loses Luster in U.S. as Investment; Real Estate Gains.” Gallup.com. 16 Apr. 2013. (http://www.gallup.com/poll/161909/gold-loses-luster-investment-real-estate-gains.aspx). 18 Apr. 2014.

Saad, Lydia. “Gold Still Americans’ Top Pick Among Long-Term Investments.” Gallup. 27 Apr. 2012. (http://www.gallup.com/poll/154232/gold-americans-top-pick-among-long-term-investments.aspx). 18 Apr. 2014.

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Peter Schiff Predicts Gold Going Higher Than $5,000 An Ounce

Peter Schiff, the CEO and Chief Strategist over at Euro Pacific Capital, appeared on the CNBC TV show Futures Now on April 15. Schiff, who correctly-called the U.S. housing bust and Great Recession, told viewers:

I’ve been buying gold for the same reason for the last decade, and it’s because central banks are creating too much money, there’s too much inflation, interest rates are too low, and so I want to store my purchasing power in something that central banks can’t print. Meanwhile, during that time period, gold has gone from under $300 an ounce to a high of $1,900. We’ve pulled back. I think we are headed much, much higher, because they are not going to stop these presses. They are going to run them in overdrive…

I don’t know the time period. They’re just going to trend higher. They’re going to go a lot higher. I’ve said $5,000. They’ll go higher than that.


“I’m Off Base, You’re Not Even in the Ballpark!”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Peter Schiff Predicts Future Fed Moves

Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital released a new entry Monday on The Schiff Report YouTube vlog. The “crash prophet” talked about a number of financial topics, including future activity by the U.S. central bank. Schiff predicted:

I think that with the weakening in the stock market, the softness we’re seeing now in the real estate market- with the fact that we’re going to be getting weaker jobs numbers in the spring that cannot be rationalized away based on the weather- the Fed is going to have come forward at some point and acknowledge which should have already been obvious. That they were mistaken. They were overly-optimistic on their assessment of the economy. That for whatever reason they’ll come up with an excuse to save face- they can blame it on some external factor- but the Fed is going to have to come out and they’re going to have to halt the tapering process, and ultimately reverse it.

How much time there will be between the pause and the reversal?

I don’t know. I don’t think it will be more than a couple of meetings, at best. But that’s what’s coming….

Schiff, who correctly-called the U.S. housing bubble and subsequent burst along with the 2008 global economic crisis, went on to speculate what all this might mean for gold and stocks.


“Warmer Weather’s Failure to Stoke Jobs Chills Stocks”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

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Venezuela Food Shortages Give Rise To Registration

In the 2008 film The Hurt Locker, there’s a part where the main character, a U.S. Army Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) specialist, returns home. While shopping for groceries, he becomes overwhelmed by the enormity of choices and amount available for purchase…


“The Hurt Locker- grocery store scene”
YouTube Video

It was a humorous yet sobering reminder of the abundance of food in our society.

At least for now.

Compare that to present-day Venezuela, where food shortages are becoming a serious problem. From the Associated Press on Tuesday:

Battling food shortages, the Venezuelan government is rolling out a new ID system that is either a grocery loyalty card with extra muscle or the most dramatic step yet towards rationing in Venezuela, depending on who is describing it.

President Nicolás Maduro’s administration says the cards to track families’ purchases will foil people who stock up on groceries at subsidised prices and then illegally resell them for several times the amount. Critics say it’s another sign the oil-rich Venezuelan economy is headed toward Cuba-style dysfunction.

Registration begins at more than 100 government-run supermarkets across the country on Tuesday and working-class shoppers – who sometimes endure hours-long queues at the stores to buy cut-price groceries – are welcoming the plan…

Rigid currency controls and a shortage of US dollars make it increasingly difficult for Venezuelans to find imported basic products such as milk, flour, toilet paper and cooking oil.

In January, more than a quarter of basic staples were out of stock in Venezuelan stores, according to the central bank’s scarcity index. The shortages are among the problems cited by Maduro’s opponents who have been staging protests since mid-February…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

I feel bad for the Venezuelans that these shortages are taking place.

At the same time, it’s a good reminder for Americans that prepping for hard times isn’t all about socking away just guns and gold.

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

Source:

“Venezuela tackles food shortage with ID card system.” Associated Press. 1 Apr. 2014. (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/01/venezuela-food-shortage-id-cards). 3 Apr. 2014.

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Christopher E. Hill, Editor
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