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Signs Of The Time, Part 105

Lausanne, Switzerland-based IMD World Competitiveness Center, publisher of the World Competitiveness Yearbook, “the leading annual report on the competitiveness of countries,” has just released its 28th edition of the publication. From their website:

The USA toppled as world’s most competitive economy
IMD World Competitiveness rankings released

30 May 2016 – The USA has surrendered its status as the world’s most competitive economy after being overtaken by China Hong Kong and Switzerland, according to the IMD World Competitiveness Center.

The sheer power of the economy of the USA is no longer sufficient to keep it at the top of the prestigious World Competitiveness Ranking, which it has led for the past three years.

The IMD World Competitiveness Center, a research group within IMD business school, has published the ranking each year since 1989 and it is widely regarded as the foremost annual assessment of the competitiveness of countries.

The 2016 edition ranks China Hong Kong first, Switzerland second and the USA third, with Singapore, Sweden, Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway and Canada completing the top 10…

“USA third”

Disappointing to hear, but not altogether shocking.

You can read the entire piece on IMD’s website here.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Wednesday, June 1st, 2016 Asia, Europe, North America, Signs Of The Time Comments Off on Signs Of The Time, Part 105

Jim Rogers: ‘Not All Of Us Are Going To Survive What’s Coming In The Next Few Years’

Well-known investor, financial commentator, and author Jim Rogers was recently interviewed by Jay Taylor (editor of J Taylor’s Gold & Technology Stocks newsletter) for the radio show Turning Hard Times into Good Times. It was a phenomenal discussion about a number of finance/investing related topics.

Regular readers of Survival And Prosperity know that the former investing partner of George Soros is forecasting that the U.S. economy will be in recession “sometime in the next year or two.” He’s also seeing signs of the next economic crisis “already happening.” But does Rogers think the winner of this November’s U.S. presidential election will turn the country around? He lamented:

No matter who of the major candidates, no matter who wins Jay, it’s not going to be good for America or good for the world. If Donald Trump does the things he says he going to do, I mean, we’re going to have trade wars with half the world. Well trade wars have always, always, throughout history led to bankruptcy and led to war. I don’t know if he means what he says, I don’t know if he knows he means what he says. But Sanders of course, Sanders will bankrupt us very, very quickly. Hillary Clinton, for god’s sake, she’s a disaster too! The bankruptcy will just be slower, that’s all, if she’s elected. So, I don’t see any prospects for salvation for the U.S. from the present people who are likely to become President of the United States.

Host Jay Taylor asked the world traveler if he knew of any “safe” place where Americans could weather the approaching economic storm. From their exchange:

TAYLOR: Is there any place- you’re in Singapore, I suspect you feel relatively safe there- but is there any place where people might go, people who cherish freedom and the opportunities to use their God-given talents? Is there any place on Earth besides Singapore, or where can we go? Is there any place to go? It used to be the United States. I felt that we were safe here. Is there any place we can go to be safe? I guess the answer is probably there’s no place you can be sure of, right?
ROGERS: Well, there’s no place at the moment that I know of. Even Singapore, as I said before, the port here is the most important port in Asia and if things blow up, everybody needs that port. And Singapore has a lot of Muslim neighbors too that could turn into a problem some day. Where would one go? I think one needs to find an isolated place. I guess maybe some places in South America. Maybe a way to make it through. Some places in Asia. North Korea, I’m very optimistic. North Korea has dramatic changes taking place. It’s where China was in 1981. But if there’s a war, North Korea is probably going to be involved. All of Korea is probably going to be involved too. But you need to find a place Jay that’s not in the mainstream where people don’t really care too much. But even then you have to be careful because you wind end up in a place where the army’s using you as a highway or a transit point. So you have to be careful.

Rogers concluded the interview with this advice to listeners:

I urge people to get knowledgeable from listening to you and other people like you, because the world is facing some very complicated and difficult times. Once you become knowledgeable, you’re going to get very worried, which you should, and then you might get prepared, because not all of us are going to survive what’s coming in the next few years. I hope I survive, I hope everybody listening to this survives. But it’s going to be a very, very damaging and difficult time. So be worried. Be prepared.


“Where is Jim Rogers Investing His Money Now?”
YouTube Video

Jim Rogers’ latest book…

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Friday, May 13th, 2016 Asia, Bankruptcy, Crash Prophets, Freedom, Preparedness, South America, War Comments Off on Jim Rogers: ‘Not All Of Us Are Going To Survive What’s Coming In The Next Few Years’

Peter Schiff Shares ‘Favorite Countries’ For Dividend-Paying Foreign Stocks

Regular observers of “crash prophet” Peter Schiff have probably noticed that the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital has been known to recommend the following to combat the U.S. financial crash he sees coming:

1. Precious metals in the physical form

2. Foreign stocks

Schiff, who correctly-called last decade’s housing crash and recent global economic crisis, seems to talk more about gold and silver than he does foreign equities. But in an appearance yesterday on the Fox Business TV channel, he zeroed-in on the latter. He told Countdown to the Closing Bell viewers:

You also want to invest outside the U.S. Look at the U.S. dollar index plunging today below 96. This is the weakest it’s been all year. The dollar is falling across the board. And that is going to produce spectacular returns outside the United States. So if you want to buy corporate bonds, look for companies that will pay you in a currency that’s not going to go down. But I would rather invest in dividend-paying foreign stocks, in countries that are going to see substantial appreciation against the dollar, but also where the countries have much better macroeconomics.

When pressed about his “favorite countries” by host Liz Claman, Schiff revealed:

I like New Zealand, like Switzerland, Singapore. Those are a few.


“Lack of Confidence in Economy Driving Trump and Sanders Voters”
YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

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Thursday, March 17th, 2016 Asia, Bonds, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Europe, Investing, Stocks Comments Off on Peter Schiff Shares ‘Favorite Countries’ For Dividend-Paying Foreign Stocks

Marc Faber: ‘I Think The Markets Will Still Go Lower’

For the rest of the day, investing will be the focus of discussion here on Survival And Prosperity. Turning to the “crash prophets,” Swiss-born investment advisor/money manager Marc Faber was interviewed by CNBC-TV18’s Surabhi Upadhyay this past weekend. When asked if he still thought U.S. stock prices would end up falling 40 percent, the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report replied (from a transcript of their exchange):

What I said is that the market in the US would decline between 20 and 40 percent from the high rates last May, which was on the S&P 2,134.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

After U.S. stocks closed higher Friday for their first positive week in four, “Doctor Doom”- as the financial press likes to call him- warned:

I think the markets will still go lower. What we can have is the difficulties — if you print money, basically something will go up and in the case of the last few years what has gone up meaningfully are stocks but that after 2011, stocks did no longer go up…

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

If he’s not bullish on U.S. equities, what is Dr. Faber’s recommending to investors these days? Mark O’Byrne , executive, marketing, and research director at Dublin-based international bullion dealer GoldCore, wrote on their blog last Wednesday:

Marc Faber, editor of the “Gloom, Doom & Boom Report,” has advised investors that now is a good time to invest in gold

Faber says investors would be prudent to diversify into safe haven in gold bullion which has risen 3% this year and is currently at $1,096 an ounce…

Faber favours allocated and segregated coin and bar storage in Singapore.

(Editor’s note: Bold added for emphasis)

Singapore?

Back on May 11, 2015, I blogged about an interview of Dr. Faber by Simon Black over at Sovereign Man, a provider of global financial intelligence and solutions. In the exchange that was uploaded to the Sovereign Man website on May 8, Faber told listeners:

The only currencies that I regard as significantly undervalued at the present time are the precious metals- silver, gold, platinum, palladium. And I would advise any investor to have at least some money in precious metals. The problem is, as a very informed reader of mine said, if precious metals really one day work out- in other words, gold goes to $10,000 an ounce- you can be sure that the government will take it away from you. That is a threat.

As you know in the world- since you are running an organization Sovereign Man- there is a move to curtail freedom, and there is a move to abolish paper money… If I were your listeners and I held gold, if paper money is abandoned or banished, about the last thing you want to hold is gold because it will be taken away as well. So you better close down your accounts at Citi, in my view. Put your money somewhere, anywhere in the world, except in U.S. banks.

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; a qualified professional should be consulted prior to making a financial decision based on material found in this weblog. If this recommended course of action is not pursued, then it must be understood that the decision is the reader’s and the reader’s alone. The creator/Editor of this blog is not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information contained herein.)

Sources:

“Sensex could fall to 20K; China growing at 2-4%: Marc Faber.” CNBC-TV18. 23 Jan. 2016. (http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/fii-view/sensex-could-fall-to-20k-china-growing-at-2-4-marc-faber_5120561.html). 25 Jan. 2016.

O’Byrne, Mark. “Invest In Gold Now As Stock Market To Crash- Faber.” GoldCore.com. 20 Jan. 2016. (http://www.goldcore.com/us/gold-blog/invest-in-gold-now-as-stock-market-to-crash-faber/). 25 Jan. 2016.

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Monday, January 25th, 2016 Asia, Banking, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Federal Reserve, Government, Investing, Monetary Policy, Money Supply, Precious Metals, Stocks Comments Off on Marc Faber: ‘I Think The Markets Will Still Go Lower’

Signs Of The Time, Part 88

The Financial Times (UK) website reported yesterday that Z/Yen, billed as “the City of London’s leading commercial think-tank,” just published its eighteenth Global Financial Centres Index. GFCI 18, as it’s otherwise known, rated 84 of the world’s financial centers. From a Z/Yen press release Wednesday:

London has moved ahead of New York to reclaim the number one position. London climbed 12 points in the ratings to lead New York by eight points…

London, New York, Hong Kong, and Singapore remain remain the four leading global financial centres. New York, in second place is now 33 points ahead of Hong Kong in third. Tokyo, in fifth place, is 25 points behind the leaders…

Toronto (8th), San Francisco (9th), and Washington, D.C. (10th) were other North American cities in the “top ten” of this year’s Index.

You can read the entire Z/Yen press release on their website here (.pdf format).


YouTube Video

Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Thursday, September 24th, 2015 Asia, Europe, North America, Signs Of The Time Comments Off on Signs Of The Time, Part 88

Peter Schiff Bullish On Foreign Stocks, Gold, And Silver

Euro Pacific Capital CEO/Chief Global Strategist Peter Schiff appeared on the FOX Business show Countdown to the Closing Bell last Wednesday. Host Liz Claman asked Schiff, who correctly-predicted the housing market crash and 2008 economic crisis, about where he was investing these days. He replied:

Well, my strategy has been the same for quite some time because I understand the problems that underlie the U.S. economy, how the Federal Reserve is exacerbating them in the name of trying to solve them, and so I want to invest abroad. We still favor equities, but I look at international equities. I look at value. I look at good dividends. And I want to own companies that are not dependent on the consumer…

A map was subsequently displayed that showed “Peter’s Global Area Picks”- Australia, Chile, China, Denmark, Hong Kong, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Singapore, and Sweden.

Claman also brought up precious metals in the discussion. Particularly, silver. From their exchange:

CLAMAN: Let’s put up the miners, because you feel that the miners now have an opportunity to really rise. Silver below $20 an ounce these days. That seems to me like a good buy because it’s so cheap.
SCHIFF: Well, it did get as high as $50 a couple of years ago. But it started the rally from below $4. So, we’re in a big bull market. We’ve been pausing for the last couple of years. But I think it’s the pause that’s going to refresh. I think what drove the metals market lower in 2013 was the false belief in a U.S. recovery, and the idea the Fed was through with QE, and that we were on the verge of a tightening cycle. None of that is true. We are slipping back into recession. Janet Yellen is going to launch an even bigger round of QE than what Bernanke launched. And this is going to be very bullish for gold and silver. But it’s not going to be bullish for the U.S. economy.


“Safeguarding Your Portfolio By Investing Abroad”
YouTube Video

By Christopher E. Hill
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Monday, August 18th, 2014 Asia, Australia, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Emerging Markets, Europe, Federal Reserve, Investing, North America, Precious Metals, Recession, Recovery, Stimulus, Stocks Comments Off on Peter Schiff Bullish On Foreign Stocks, Gold, And Silver

Quote For The Week

“When I was selling my New York house, I almost backed out; I just couldn’t bear the thought of leaving. But now I’m very happy here. I fly to New York and I realize I’m in a Third World airport. Then I get into a Third World taxi onto a Third World highway. The difference now just slaps me in the face. New York is a wonderful place, with the people and the vibrancy, but I can find the same vibrancy, if not more, in Asia.”

-Well-know investor, author, and financial commentator Jim Rogers, talking about his move from New York City to Singapore in 2007 and subsequent return visits to the U.S. in a recent Barron’s interview (discussed here)

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

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Monday, October 28th, 2013 Asia, Crash Prophets, Infrastructure, Quote For The Week Comments Off on Quote For The Week

Marc Faber Shares ‘My Investment Strategy During This Time’

“Doctor Doom” Marc Faber recently spoke to Nophakhun Limsamarnphun over at The Nation (Thailand) about investing. The Swiss-born investment advisor and fund manager shed a good deal of light on his strategy, telling readers on September 14:

My investment strategy during this time is that you have to diversify and minimise your risks from economic, political, geopolitical and other factors. Your portfolio should include properties, stocks and equities, corporate bonds, gold and silver, plus cash. It should be 25 per cent of each, or 125 per cent – just to mimic the US accounting standard where things now do not add up.

What a character.

While a good deal of their discussion focused on Thai investments, the publisher of the monthly investment newsletter The Gloom Boom & Doom Report shared some valuable nuggets as it concerned other areas. From the piece:

On gold and silver, I think people should have 20 per cent of their money in physical gold, not gold papers. I would put the gold bars into deposit boxes at banks. Don’t speculate but buy regularly and keep them safe. We live in a volatile period. Gold is not like other commodities, it’s the only honest currency when paper currencies are not.

On corporate bonds, I like issues from Russia, Kazakhstan and India with yields of 5-6 per cent, but they are not 100 per cent safe unless they are triple-A. Corporate bonds have an equity character. They don’t move much when stock markets crash. When things go bad, government bonds on the other hand tend to go up in value because of flight to safe havens.

In terms of cash and paper currencies, I like Malaysian ringgit and Singapore dollars, while the Thai baht is just OK.

As for equities? Dr. Faber talked about Thai stocks. However, I blogged back on September 9 about his appearance on CNBC Asia’s Cash Flow that morning and how he told viewers:

I don’t think that stocks are the greatest bargain anymore.

Great job by Limsamarnphun for getting Doctor Doom to divulge this information.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

Source:

Limsamarnphun, Nophakhun “Investment guru favours diversity, physical gold amid US-fuelled volatility.” The Nation. 14 Sep. 2013. (http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Investment-guru-favours-diversity-physical-gold-am-30214804.html). 17 Sep. 2013.

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Tuesday, September 17th, 2013 Asia, Bonds, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Currencies, Emerging Markets, Europe, Investing, Precious Metals, Stocks Comments Off on Marc Faber Shares ‘My Investment Strategy During This Time’

Jim Rogers: Chinese Stocks Are ‘Getting Closer To A Buy’

This morning I read a pretty good interview of well-known investor Jim Rogers that took place on June 13 on Fusion MarketSite, the official blog for New York City-based financial services holding company Fusion Analytics Holdings LLC. The former investing partner of George Soros shared the following nuggets with readers:

• Still bullish on China, but noted they have a water problem. Rogers suggested:

If you want to make a lot of money find companies that are working to fix that problem.

• Chinese stocks are “getting closer to a buy.” Rogers revealed:

I bought a few shares on Friday. Their market is getting to the point it should be bought.

• Thinks bond markets worldwide are in a bubble. He’s short junk bonds.

• While still bullish on agriculture, suggested:

Before we talk agriculture, I would look at natural gas, as any commodity that has that big a collapse should be looked at.

• And as for his home these days, Jim Rogers thinks Singapore is becoming the Switzerland of the East. He explained:

Overall, Singapore is doing well. Singapore is becoming the new Switzerland as its sits right next to China and has been helped by problems with offshore havens like Switzerland and Cyprus. It will be the fastest growing money center in the next 10 years.

You can read the entire interview on Fusion MarketSite here.

By Christopher E. Hill, Editor
Survival And Prosperity (www.survivalandprosperity.com)

(Editor’s notes: Info added to “Crash Prophets” page; I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein.)

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Tuesday, June 18th, 2013 Agriculture, Asia, Banking, Bonds, Commodities, Crash Prophets, Emerging Markets, Energy, Europe, Investing, Natural Resources, Stocks, Water Comments Off on Jim Rogers: Chinese Stocks Are ‘Getting Closer To A Buy’

Gold Flowing From West To East

“While the current world hubs for gold trading and storage are London, Zurich, and New York, stores of physical metal are also beginning to migrate east. Gold storage facilities are springing up all over Asia like mushrooms after a summer rain.”

-Tim Staermose, Chief Investment Strategist, SovereignMan.com, July 30, 2012

Some time ago, I remember well-known investor and China bull Jim Rogers say that capital is flowing from West to East.

I hear the gold is heading that way too these days.

Clementine Wallop pointed out on the Wall Street Journal website this morning:

Investors in Asia are increasingly dealing with a seemingly anachronistic problem: finding a place to stash their bars of gold.

Gold is a popular choice for those seeking to diversify their holdings and spread risk, but it isn’t the most mobile of assets. Still, gold has been moving east, and that has created opportunities for security companies in Singapore, Hong Kong and Shanghai—financial hubs where the metal’s popularity is soaring.

Security companies are busy ordering two-ton steel doors and sophisticated monitoring systems, and hiring more armed guards as they expand their high-security vault capacity in Asia…


“Asians Using Gold Vaults to Store Designer Bags”
WSJ Video

So are Western vaults no longer a safe place to store gold bullion? Not necessarily. Wallop added:

Vault operators say banks are among those seeking to spread their risk by holding gold in a variety of locations, rather than a single stronghold in London or Zurich.

She did note:

Some private investors fret about tougher rules and the scrutiny of Swiss and other Western banks, they say.

Still, reputation and the stability of the countries these vaults are located within remain a draw for many owners of the yellow metal.

(Editor’s note: I am not responsible for any personal liability, loss, or risk incurred as a consequence of the use and application, either directly or indirectly, of any information presented herein)

Source:

Wallop, Clementine. “Going for Gold? Don’t Forget the Vault.” Wall Street Journal. 20 Dec. 2012. (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578190841374704164.html). 20 Dec. 2012.

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Thursday, December 20th, 2012 Asia, Commodities, Europe, Investing, North America, Precious Metals Comments Off on Gold Flowing From West To East
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